S188 GER Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

SMT Scharf AG · Industrials · Railroads

Latest close 6.20 EUR
0.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 23.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a -3.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 37 out of 100
Latest Close 6.20 EUR 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.0% latest completed week
4W Return -3.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return -13.3% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 46.2% 24 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 6.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -9.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 23.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a -3.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 6.7x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2112-week average 0.54

12-week confirmation

Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership2/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.21Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -3.1% over four weeks, -13.3% over 12 weeks, and -31.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.0%
4W-3.1%
12W-13.3%
26W10.7%
52W-31.9%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year24
Trend breadth46.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.96Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-9.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-14.69Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-4.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 88% Model confidence 84%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength75/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Value93/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Quality27/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Momentum25/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Growth78/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 23; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework36/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
7.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
43.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
14.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
3.1%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
20.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
11.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-2.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 4 relevant articles.

0 positive · 4 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-33.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.0%Week of 20 Mar.
Worst week-14.5%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains5
Flat weeks7
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol2.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split15/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.1% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20266.20 EUR0.0%6.88 EUR6.75 EUR-0.96-14.6929.8KOff
24 Jul 20266.20 EUR-0.8%6.86 EUR6.77 EUR-0.97-13.742.4KOff
17 Jul 20266.25 EUR-2.3%6.85 EUR6.79 EUR-0.93-12.437.5KOff
10 Jul 20266.40 EUR0.0%6.83 EUR6.81 EUR-0.88-11.538.1KOff
3 Jul 20266.40 EUR0.0%6.81 EUR6.83 EUR-0.87-14.08749Off
26 Jun 20266.40 EUR-3.8%6.79 EUR6.85 EUR-0.81-10.350Off
19 Jun 20266.65 EUR-0.7%6.77 EUR6.87 EUR-0.71-8.080On
12 Jun 20266.70 EUR-5.0%6.75 EUR6.88 EUR-0.58-6.130On
5 Jun 20267.05 EUR0.0%6.74 EUR6.90 EUR-0.43-1.75693On
29 May 20267.05 EUR-4.7%6.72 EUR6.92 EUR-0.27-2.982.9KOn
22 May 20267.40 EUR3.5%6.72 EUR6.93 EUR-0.042.72199On
15 May 20267.15 EUR0.0%6.71 EUR6.94 EUR0.153.174.2KOn
8 May 20267.15 EUR-6.5%6.71 EUR6.96 EUR0.561.561.3KOn
1 May 20267.65 EUR0.0%6.73 EUR6.97 EUR0.948.845.5KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.