ARKO NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Arko Corp · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Latest close 7.99 USD
0.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a -0.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 52/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 60 out of 100
Latest Close 7.99 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.8% latest completed week
4W Return -0.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 16.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 73.1% 38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 34-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.74% based on similar historical setup states.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 20.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 85.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a -0.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9812-week average 0.84

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.98Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -0.6% over four weeks, 16.8% over 12 weeks, and 104.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 34 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.8%
4W-0.6%
12W16.8%
26W51.9%
52W104.8%
Active trend streak34 weeks
Active weeks in one year38
Trend breadth73.1%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.43Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-65.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership28.55Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-1.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 96%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength75/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Value68/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Quality20/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Momentum91/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Growth68/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework27/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
30.9x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
11.6x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
9.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
11.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
1.8%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
3.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
3.4%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-10.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
228.2%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-18.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.5%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
2.8%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
7.7x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

ARKO shows volatility options pressure with a 52/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 16.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction52/100
Expected move16.3%
Put/call volume0.00
Pressure88
Speculation7
Volatility96
Trend agreement15
Open options detail
Insider activity9 / 4

9 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 42 relevant articles.

17 positive · 24 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move16.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-8.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+25.0%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-13.2%Week of 19 Jun.
Latest week+0.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses6
Recent vol6.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.5% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20267.99 USD0.8%6.62 USD5.91 USD0.4328.552.9MOn
24 Jul 20267.93 USD-0.4%6.50 USD5.91 USD0.6929.542.5MOn
17 Jul 20267.96 USD-1.4%6.39 USD5.91 USD1.0328.933.1MOn
10 Jul 20268.07 USD0.4%6.28 USD5.91 USD1.1426.362.8MOn
3 Jul 20268.04 USD4.3%6.18 USD5.90 USD1.2529.043.3MOn
26 Jun 20267.71 USD2.9%6.08 USD5.90 USD1.2125.666.3MOn
19 Jun 20267.49 USD-13.2%5.98 USD5.90 USD1.1217.395.4MOn
12 Jun 20268.63 USD15.2%5.87 USD5.90 USD1.0639.474.3MOn
5 Jun 20267.49 USD-3.5%5.73 USD5.89 USD0.8725.003.2MOn
29 May 20267.76 USD1.7%5.62 USD5.89 USD0.8824.394.0MOn
22 May 20267.63 USD9.6%5.51 USD5.88 USD0.7326.544.2MOn
15 May 20266.96 USD1.7%5.40 USD5.88 USD0.6517.364.4MOn
8 May 20266.84 USD1.8%5.30 USD5.88 USD0.7515.005.7MOn
1 May 20266.72 USD0.4%5.20 USD5.88 USD0.5419.234.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.