- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
XPEV
NYSE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Xpeng Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Auto Manufacturers
Latest close
13.00 USD
5.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -20.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 7.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.4%, after a -0.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 42/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 16d.
Setup score
19
out of 100
Latest Close
13.00 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
5.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-16.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
19.2%
10 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
5.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.6%.
Indicator stack
11/24
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.69%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bullish
42/100 conviction; expected move 5.4%.
News sentiment
50/100
60 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
16d
Next report is scheduled for 18 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -20.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 7.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 5.4%, after a -0.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0212-week average 0.07
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.02Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.6% over four weeks, -16.8% over 12 weeks, and -28.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year10
Trend breadth19.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.41Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-8.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-35.84Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change4.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 81%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength61/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Value93/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 8; rank 1 is best.
Quality22/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Momentum10/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 91; rank 1 is best.
Growth86/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.2x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 34.8% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 19.9% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -5.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 15.8% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -6.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 46.7% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 7/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.0% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 0.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -11.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
XPEV shows bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.32, expected move of 5.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction42/100
Expected move5.4%
Put/call volume0.32
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 60 relevant articles.
13 positive · 37 neutral · 10 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings16dNext report is scheduled for 18 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move5.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-54.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher8 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.3%Week of 13 Mar.
Worst week-12.1%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+5.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains3
Flat weeks1
Modest losses10
Sharp losses7
Recent vol5.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.3% / -5.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank59 / 100
Group average1.4%
Trend breadth37.0%
Trend37.0%active weekly trend signals
MD54.0%positive activity pressure
RS34.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Auto Manufacturers
4-week rank15 / 26
Group average-0.3%
Trend breadth23.1%
Trend23.1%active weekly trend signals
MD42.3%positive activity pressure
RS15.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape17/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 17/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.02; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.69%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.69% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors46/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 56; Small Cap Core rank 14 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options43/100XPEV shows bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.32, expected move of 5.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 5.4% Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 60 relevant articles.
Enterprise value to EBITDA forward of XPeng, Inc. ADS A Cert Deposito Arg Repr 0.25 ADS A – BCBA:XPEVD Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings16dNext report is scheduled for 18 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 13.00 USD | 5.4% | 16.34 USD | 15.19 USD | -1.41 | -35.84 | 27.0M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 12.33 USD | -8.9% | 16.59 USD | 15.23 USD | -1.35 | -39.00 | 32.5M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 13.53 USD | 3.8% | 16.87 USD | 15.30 USD | -1.31 | -34.08 | 34.7M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 13.03 USD | -0.4% | 17.08 USD | 15.31 USD | -1.39 | -37.98 | 30.5M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 13.08 USD | 8.2% | 17.28 USD | 15.31 USD | -1.30 | -37.37 | 39.4M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 12.09 USD | -8.5% | 17.51 USD | 15.32 USD | -1.12 | -41.37 | 37.2M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 13.21 USD | -8.8% | 17.83 USD | 15.33 USD | -0.78 | -38.02 | 32.8M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 14.49 USD | -9.2% | 18.07 USD | 15.31 USD | -0.60 | -32.00 | 35.0M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 15.95 USD | -3.0% | 18.42 USD | 15.29 USD | -0.43 | -25.29 | 35.7M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 16.45 USD | 5.5% | 18.64 USD | 15.24 USD | -0.54 | -25.43 | 39.0M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 15.59 USD | -0.2% | 18.87 USD | 15.19 USD | -0.71 | -28.84 | 31.9M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 15.62 USD | 0.0% | 19.07 USD | 15.14 USD | -0.64 | -28.73 | 40.2M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 15.62 USD | -1.3% | 19.26 USD | 15.10 USD | -0.56 | -29.23 | 22.6M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 15.83 USD | -5.0% | 19.44 USD | 15.06 USD | -0.58 | -27.24 | 33.0M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.