DUOL NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Duolingo Inc · Technology · Software - Application

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Latest close 134.8 USD
10.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 15.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 12.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.3%, after a 7.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 42/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 3d.

Setup score 32 out of 100
Latest Close 134.8 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 10.3% latest completed week
4W Return 7.2% short-term follow-through
12W Return 24.8% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.58% based on similar historical setup states.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 10.3% Latest completed week; four-week move 7.2%. Indicator stack 0/72 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Buy Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 42.58% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 42/100 conviction; expected move 15.6%. News sentiment 53/100 65 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 3d Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 15.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 12.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 10.3%, after a 7.2% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3112-week average 0.17

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.31Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals4Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 7.2% over four weeks, 24.8% over 12 weeks, and -60.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W10.3%
4W7.2%
12W24.8%
26W0.6%
52W-60.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure1.23Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-1.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-32.37Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change29.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength19/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 82; rank 1 is best.
Value23/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 78; rank 1 is best.
Quality92/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Momentum2/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 99; rank 1 is best.
Growth97/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
13.5x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
5.2x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
21.3x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
9.7%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
72.1%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
18.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
40.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
44.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
35.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
336.6%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
40.7%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.2%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-4.8x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

DUOL shows bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.39, expected move of 15.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction42/100
Expected move15.6%
Put/call volume0.39
Pressure47
Speculation41
Volatility96
Trend agreement16
Open options detail
Insider activity14 / 6

14 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 65 relevant articles.

16 positive · 44 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalFresh

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Fresh buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings3dNext report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move15.6%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-71.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+12.5%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-10.9%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week+10.3%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains6
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses6
Recent vol5.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.7% / -6.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape23/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 23/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis35/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.31; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.58%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.58% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors34/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 73; Small Cap Core rank 86 Patient CapitalFresh

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Fresh buy signal Options47/100

DUOL shows bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.39, expected move of 15.6%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 15.6% Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 65 relevant articles.

Is Duolingo’s (DUOL) Luckin Coffee Tie-Up a Small Promo or a Bigger Brand Shift? Insiders14 / 6

14 acquisitions and 6 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings3d

Next report is scheduled for 05 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026134.8 USD10.3%117.2 USD238.4 USD1.23-32.376.1MOff
24 Jul 2026122.2 USD-8.7%118.6 USD238.4 USD1.17-40.004.2MOff
17 Jul 2026133.8 USD7.3%120.6 USD238.6 USD1.28-37.244.5MOff
10 Jul 2026124.8 USD-0.8%122.3 USD238.7 USD1.22-45.545.2MOff
3 Jul 2026125.8 USD3.5%124.7 USD238.9 USD1.25-45.764.8MOff
26 Jun 2026121.5 USD-3.2%127.2 USD238.9 USD1.21-48.7610.0MOff
19 Jun 2026125.6 USD2.4%129.5 USD239.1 USD1.06-51.065.5MOff
12 Jun 2026122.6 USD12.5%131.1 USD239.2 USD1.00-52.838.5MOff
5 Jun 2026109.0 USD-2.1%133.2 USD239.4 USD0.92-58.727.6MOff
29 May 2026111.4 USD4.5%136.2 USD239.7 USD0.96-61.363.9MOff
22 May 2026106.6 USD-4.9%141.5 USD240.0 USD0.94-63.487.0MOff
15 May 2026112.1 USD3.8%148.4 USD240.2 USD0.86-62.697.6MOff
8 May 2026108.0 USD-2.9%155.5 USD240.5 USD0.65-65.5118.0MOff
1 May 2026111.2 USD7.5%162.7 USD240.7 USD0.21-63.937.7MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.