- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
VITL
NASDAQ
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Vital Farms Inc · Consumer Defensive · Farm Products
Latest close
12.73 USD
-2.2%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -22.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.2%, after a -0.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 42/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 5d.
Setup score
32
out of 100
Latest Close
12.73 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-2.2%
latest completed week
4W Return
-0.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
42.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
21.2%
11 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.2%
Latest completed week; four-week move -0.2%.
Indicator stack
12/67
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Bullish
42/100 conviction; expected move 18.4%.
News sentiment
49/100
58 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
5d
Next report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -22.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 10.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.2%, after a -0.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1812-week average 0.05
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.18Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -0.2% over four weeks, 42.4% over 12 weeks, and -63.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year11
Trend breadth21.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.70Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change56.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-57.02Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change7.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 97%
Model confidence 93%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength54/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 47; rank 1 is best.
Value89/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 12; rank 1 is best.
Quality22/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Momentum3/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 98; rank 1 is best.
Growth92/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework81/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 11.7x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.7x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 6.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 19.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 35.2% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 8.8% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 14.0% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 14.2% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 26.4% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- -6.6% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 43.7% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 2/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- -0.7% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- -0.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 0.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
VITL shows bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.18, expected move of 18.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction42/100
Expected move18.4%
Put/call volume0.18
Insider activity20 / 0
20 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.
13 positive · 28 neutral · 17 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move18.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-76.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility12.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher11 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+19.5%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-37.0%Week of 8 May.
Latest week-2.2%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains7
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses11
Recent vol12.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split22/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.4% / -7.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Defensive
4-week rank- / 100
Group average0.9%
Trend breadth48.0%
Trend48.0%active weekly trend signals
MD57.0%positive activity pressure
RS36.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Farm Products
4-week rank9 / 17
Group average-4.1%
Trend breadth23.5%
Trend23.5%active weekly trend signals
MD41.2%positive activity pressure
RS11.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape25/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 25/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis22/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.18; No reversal markers Factors42/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 76; Small Cap Core rank 39 SVQF81/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 139.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options43/100VITL shows bullish options pressure with a 42/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.18, expected move of 18.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 18.4% Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 58 relevant articles.
Bronstein, Gewirtz & Grossman, LLC Announces an Investigation Against Vital Farms, Inc. (VITL) and Encourages Shareholders to Learn More About the Investigation Insiders20 / 020 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 12.73 USD | -2.2% | 16.49 USD | 27.73 USD | 0.70 | -57.02 | 6.1M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 13.02 USD | -3.9% | 17.06 USD | 27.73 USD | 0.69 | -56.68 | 8.1M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 13.55 USD | 4.6% | 17.69 USD | 27.72 USD | 0.68 | -56.50 | 7.3M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 12.95 USD | 1.5% | 18.35 USD | 27.70 USD | 0.59 | -60.95 | 7.9M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 12.76 USD | 14.0% | 19.06 USD | 27.69 USD | 0.45 | -61.66 | 7.4M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 11.19 USD | 7.5% | 19.69 USD | 27.68 USD | 0.25 | -66.80 | 15.4M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 10.41 USD | -1.8% | 20.41 USD | 27.68 USD | -0.12 | -71.15 | 15.1M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 10.60 USD | 5.6% | 21.13 USD | 27.70 USD | -0.43 | -70.48 | 10.1M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 10.04 USD | 0.3% | 21.85 USD | 27.72 USD | -0.68 | -71.89 | 11.4M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 10.01 USD | -1.2% | 22.67 USD | 27.74 USD | -0.81 | -73.67 | 10.2M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 10.13 USD | 19.5% | 23.43 USD | 27.77 USD | -0.77 | -73.07 | 18.1M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 8.48 USD | -5.1% | 24.37 USD | 27.81 USD | -0.86 | -77.60 | 20.9M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 8.94 USD | -37.0% | 25.45 USD | 27.85 USD | -0.96 | -76.94 | 38.2M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 14.18 USD | 12.2% | 26.60 USD | 27.88 USD | -1.06 | -62.17 | 17.2M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.