IP NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

International Paper · Consumer Cyclical · Packaging & Containers

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Latest close 42.16 USD
12.2% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 11.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 53.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.2%, after a 8.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 68/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 0d.

Setup score 47 out of 100
Latest Close 42.16 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 12.2% latest completed week
4W Return 8.8% short-term follow-through
12W Return 34.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 12.2% Latest completed week; four-week move 8.8%. Indicator stack 0/71 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 68/100 conviction; expected move 8.4%. News sentiment 56/100 44 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 0d Next report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 11.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 53.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 12.2%, after a 8.8% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2712-week average 0.13

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.27Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 8.8% over four weeks, 34.7% over 12 weeks, and -20.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W12.2%
4W8.8%
12W34.7%
26W0.4%
52W-20.6%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.70Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change101.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.91Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change83.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 91% Model confidence 87%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength40/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 61; rank 1 is best.
Value76/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Quality12/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Momentum15/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Growth81/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.9x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
15.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
27.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-11.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
18.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-9.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
25.5%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
132.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.4%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.1%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-202.6x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

IP shows volatility options pressure with a 68/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 10.09, expected move of 8.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction68/100
Expected move8.4%
Put/call volume10.09
Pressure-91
Speculation46
Volatility89
Trend agreement41
Open options detail
Insider activity11 / 5

11 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.

15 positive · 25 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings0dNext report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-21.3%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.5%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-12.1%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+12.2%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains9
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses4
Sharp losses8
Recent vol5.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.3% / -5.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape38/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis22/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.27; No reversal markers Factors35/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 40 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options52/100

IP shows volatility options pressure with a 68/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 10.09, expected move of 8.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 8.4% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 44 relevant articles.

International Paper Co (IP) Shares Fall 3.3% -- What GF Score of 63 Tells Investors Insiders11 / 5

11 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings0d

Next report is scheduled for 30 Jul 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202642.16 USD12.2%37.67 USD40.52 USD0.70-1.9133.3MOff
17 Jul 202637.56 USD-1.0%37.56 USD40.45 USD0.67-13.9026.1MOff
10 Jul 202637.93 USD-2.2%37.55 USD40.39 USD0.69-15.1424.4MOff
3 Jul 202638.79 USD0.1%37.54 USD40.32 USD0.65-12.9017.1MOff
26 Jun 202638.76 USD5.3%37.52 USD40.25 USD0.34-11.8131.1MOff
19 Jun 202636.82 USD1.9%37.51 USD40.18 USD-0.12-18.7731.2MOff
12 Jun 202636.15 USD7.6%37.51 USD40.12 USD-0.55-20.1435.0MOff
5 Jun 202633.61 USD0.4%37.52 USD40.07 USD-0.95-25.9227.1MOff
29 May 202633.47 USD7.0%37.62 USD40.03 USD-0.96-28.7623.3MOff
22 May 202631.29 USD4.9%37.75 USD39.99 USD-0.85-33.1329.6MOff
15 May 202629.82 USD-8.4%38.27 USD39.96 USD-0.77-36.4529.2MOff
8 May 202632.55 USD4.0%38.77 USD39.94 USD-0.67-31.3236.1MOff
1 May 202631.30 USD-2.7%39.16 USD39.91 USD-0.65-33.0357.5MOff
24 Apr 202632.17 USD-12.1%39.63 USD39.89 USD-0.72-31.1936.4MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.