- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
GSM
NASDAQ
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Ferroglobe PLC · Basic Materials · Other Industrial Metals & Mining
Latest close
3.18 USD
-5.4%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -25.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.4%, after a -2.8% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is volatility with 48/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 46/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 2d.
Setup score
24
out of 100
Latest Close
3.18 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-5.4%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-21.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
57.7%
30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-5.4%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.8%.
Indicator stack
32/23
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Volatility
48/100 conviction; expected move 17.1%.
News sentiment
46/100
26 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
2d
Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -25.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 3.8% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -5.4%, after a -2.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1112-week average 0.13
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.11Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.8% over four weeks, -21.6% over 12 weeks, and -19.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.16Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-74.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-33.10Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change7.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 85%
Model confidence 81%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength34/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 67; rank 1 is best.
Value75/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Quality5/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 96; rank 1 is best.
Momentum14/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Growth22/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.5x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- - Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 9.0% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 2.8% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -10.3% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 5.6% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -13.1% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -2.8% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -44.1% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 3/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.3% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.0% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -2.5x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
GSM shows volatility options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 17.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction48/100
Expected move17.1%
Put/call volume0.00
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment46/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.
1 positive · 21 neutral · 4 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move17.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-44.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher13 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.4%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-18.2%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week-5.4%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains6
Modest gains7
Flat weeks1
Modest losses3
Sharp losses9
Recent vol6.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.6% / -6.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-4.2%
Trend breadth27.0%
Trend27.0%active weekly trend signals
MD22.0%positive activity pressure
RS29.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Other Industrial Metals & Mining
4-week rank8 / 40
Group average-15.3%
Trend breadth12.5%
Trend12.5%active weekly trend signals
MD7.5%positive activity pressure
RS17.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape25/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 25/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis10/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.11; No reversal markers Factors31/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 37; Small Cap Core rank 35 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options34/100GSM shows volatility options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.00, expected move of 17.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 17.1% Sentiment46/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.
Ferroglobe PLC Revenue Breakdown – NASDAQ:GSM Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings2dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 3.18 USD | -5.4% | 4.25 USD | 4.50 USD | -1.16 | -33.10 | 7.4M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 3.36 USD | 0.3% | 4.30 USD | 4.51 USD | -1.11 | -29.41 | 4.3M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 3.35 USD | 2.4% | 4.34 USD | 4.52 USD | -0.89 | -31.31 | 5.6M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 3.27 USD | 0.0% | 4.39 USD | 4.53 USD | -0.73 | -36.27 | 14.4M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 3.27 USD | -1.8% | 4.43 USD | 4.54 USD | -0.66 | -35.75 | 7.8M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.33 USD | -14.5% | 4.47 USD | 4.55 USD | -0.68 | -34.58 | 9.5M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 3.89 USD | -4.4% | 4.51 USD | 4.56 USD | -0.73 | -27.30 | 7.6M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.07 USD | 6.0% | 4.51 USD | 4.56 USD | -0.66 | -22.28 | 6.4M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 3.84 USD | -10.9% | 4.50 USD | 4.57 USD | -0.78 | -25.27 | 7.2M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 4.31 USD | 0.9% | 4.50 USD | 4.58 USD | -0.64 | -20.44 | 4.4M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 4.27 USD | 8.3% | 4.52 USD | 4.58 USD | -0.61 | -19.12 | 10.9M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 3.94 USD | -2.8% | 4.54 USD | 4.58 USD | -0.68 | -24.73 | 6.2M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 4.06 USD | -13.5% | 4.58 USD | 4.58 USD | -0.66 | -23.14 | 8.0M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 4.69 USD | 4.0% | 4.60 USD | 4.59 USD | -0.79 | -6.73 | 4.5M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.