BUE Equity Snapshot

BABA Weekly Equity Report

Alibaba Group Holding Limited

Latest Close 18,740 ARS 12 Jun 2026
1W Return -7.7% latest completed week
4W Return -14.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -6.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 59.6% 31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Alibaba Group Holding Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides technology infrastructure and marketing reach to help merchants, brands, retailers, and other businesses in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It operates through the Alibaba China E-Commerce Group, Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group, Cloud Intelligence Group, and All Others segments. The Alibaba China E-commerce Group segment operates Taobao and Tmall, which are digital retail platforms; Taobao Instant Commerce, a local services and on-demand delivery platform; 1688.com, a domestic wholesale marketplace; and Xianyu, a consumer-to-consumer community and marketplace for idle goods. Its Alibaba International Digital Commerce Group …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

BABA closed the latest completed week at 18,740 ARS. The 4-week return is -14.4% and the 12-week return is -6.5%. Trend Signal is inactive, Market Dynamics is -0.20. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 22/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Inactive
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend -21.3%
Volume 0.8x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 33 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 11 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 52 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 0 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 36 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 0 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
23,817 ARS
Vs Trend Line
-21.3%
Fair Value
15,059 ARS
Vs Fair Value
24.4%
52W High
33,760 ARS
52W Low
14,200 ARS
Drawdown
-44.5%
Range Position
23.2%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W -7.7%
4W -14.4%
12W -6.5%
26W -28.4%
52W 26.0%

Trend read

Active Streak
0 weeks
52W Active Weeks
31
52W Active Breadth
59.6%
Sector Scope
AR Consumer Cyclical
Sector Rank
34 of 34
Sector Percentile
0.0%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.20
4W MD Change
72.1%
Relative Strength
-39.19
4W RS Change
-216.9%
Expectation
Positive
Probability
56.53%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
149.7K
13W Average
176.8K
52W Average
211.4K
Vs 13W
0.8x
Vs 52W
0.7x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
4.9%
52W Volatility
6.3%
Upside Weeks
26
Downside Weeks
26
Downside Breadth
50.0%
Avg Gain / Loss
5.2% / -4.0%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
BUE
Country
AR
Sector
Consumer Cyclical
Industry
Internet Retail
Currency
ARS
Market Cap
3598125.2B

Opportunity signals

  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

Risk signals

  • Trend Signal is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
  • The latest week was a sharp negative move.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 18,740 ARS -7.7% 23,817 ARS 15,059 ARS -0.20 -39.19 149.7K Off
5 Jun 2026 20,310 ARS -1.1% 24,034 ARS 14,972 ARS -0.13 -28.57 170.5K Off
29 May 2026 20,540 ARS -4.3% 24,262 ARS 14,872 ARS -0.24 -29.75 145.8K Off
22 May 2026 21,470 ARS -1.9% 24,526 ARS 14,770 ARS -0.43 -18.34 325.7K Off
15 May 2026 21,880 ARS -5.4% 24,822 ARS 14,661 ARS -0.72 -12.37 368.3K Off
8 May 2026 23,120 ARS 5.0% 25,049 ARS 14,551 ARS -0.76 -9.23 166.4K Off
1 May 2026 22,020 ARS -2.4% 25,226 ARS 14,431 ARS -0.90 -15.36 100.5K Off
24 Apr 2026 22,550 ARS -1.5% 25,554 ARS 14,317 ARS -0.92 -13.52 137.0K Off
17 Apr 2026 22,900 ARS 9.7% 25,737 ARS 14,200 ARS -0.97 -13.52 269.2K Off
10 Apr 2026 20,870 ARS 1.9% 25,916 ARS 14,082 ARS -1.17 -23.83 118.7K Off
3 Apr 2026 20,480 ARS 1.8% 26,068 ARS 13,975 ARS -1.17 -25.29 77.8K Off
27 Mar 2026 20,120 ARS 0.3% 26,081 ARS 13,872 ARS -1.07 -21.43 74.3K Off
20 Mar 2026 20,050 ARS -9.2% 26,087 ARS 13,773 ARS -1.01 -19.89 193.9K Off
13 Mar 2026 22,070 ARS 1.7% 26,025 ARS 13,668 ARS -1.02 -9.17 115.8K Off