- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.65% based on similar historical setup states.
- Latest weekly return ranks in the strongest part of its sector group.
BABA
BUE
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Alibaba Group Holding Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Latest close
21,390 ARS
7.3%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.3%, after a 24.8% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
39
out of 100
Latest Close
21,390 ARS
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
7.3%
latest completed week
4W Return
24.8%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-7.5%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
50.0%
26 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
7.3%
Latest completed week; four-week move 24.8%.
Indicator stack
28/62
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.65%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
34 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -3.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 30.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 7.3%, after a 24.8% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0512-week average 0.08
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure1/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.05Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 24.8% over four weeks, -7.5% over 12 weeks, and 20.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year26
Trend breadth50.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.13Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change121.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-27.42Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change33.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 34 relevant articles.
7 positive · 21 neutral · 6 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-36.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.8%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-10.7%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week+7.3%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses9
Recent vol6.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split26/26Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.5% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorAR Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank1 / 34
Group average2.5%
Trend breadth38.2%
Trend38.2%active weekly trend signals
MD76.5%positive activity pressure
RS5.9%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryAR Internet Retail
4-week rank1 / 5
Group average11.7%
Trend breadth60.0%
Trend60.0%active weekly trend signals
MD100.0%positive activity pressure
RS20.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape32/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 32/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis11/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 1/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.05; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.65%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.65% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 34 relevant articles.
Heavy AI And Cloud Spending Turning 2026 Cash Flow Negative Could Be A Game Changer For Alibaba (BABA) Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 21,390 ARS | 7.3% | 22,101 ARS | 15,662 ARS | 0.13 | -27.42 | 99.9K | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 19,930 ARS | -1.1% | 22,280 ARS | 15,565 ARS | -0.05 | -32.41 | 141.4K | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 20,160 ARS | 3.3% | 22,488 ARS | 15,477 ARS | -0.21 | -30.10 | 195.1K | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 19,510 ARS | 13.8% | 22,681 ARS | 15,383 ARS | -0.43 | -34.29 | 257.2K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 17,140 ARS | 5.1% | 22,903 ARS | 15,294 ARS | -0.60 | -40.97 | 294.1K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 16,310 ARS | -10.7% | 23,221 ARS | 15,217 ARS | -0.65 | -42.73 | 57.8K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 18,260 ARS | -2.6% | 23,562 ARS | 15,143 ARS | -0.54 | -39.44 | 6.4K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 18,740 ARS | -6.9% | 23,811 ARS | 15,058 ARS | -0.32 | -39.18 | 28.3K | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 20,128 ARS | -2.0% | 24,028 ARS | 14,971 ARS | -0.20 | -29.20 | 30.5K | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 20,540 ARS | -4.3% | 24,262 ARS | 14,872 ARS | -0.24 | -29.75 | 145.8K | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 21,470 ARS | -1.9% | 24,526 ARS | 14,770 ARS | -0.43 | -18.34 | 325.7K | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 21,880 ARS | -5.4% | 24,822 ARS | 14,661 ARS | -0.72 | -12.37 | 368.3K | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 23,120 ARS | 5.0% | 25,049 ARS | 14,551 ARS | -0.76 | -9.23 | 166.4K | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 22,020 ARS | -2.4% | 25,226 ARS | 14,431 ARS | -0.90 | -15.36 | 100.5K | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.