ORI NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Old Republic International Corp · Financial Services · Insurance - Property & Casualty

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Latest close 42.29 USD
0.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 5.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.1%, after a 2.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 35/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 84d.

Setup score 57 out of 100
Latest Close 42.29 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.1% latest completed week
4W Return 2.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 8.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 59.6% 31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 62.75% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 2.6%. Indicator stack 33/84 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 62.75% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 35/100 conviction; expected move 9.1%. News sentiment 56/100 59 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 84d Next report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is 5.2% above the Trend Line and sits at 88.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.1%, after a 2.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3512-week average 0.27

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.35Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 2.6% over four weeks, 8.6% over 12 weeks, and 28.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.1%
4W2.6%
12W8.6%
26W13.3%
52W28.5%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.74Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change255.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-1.07Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change46.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength94/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Value91/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 10; rank 1 is best.
Quality68/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Momentum75/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Growth80/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 21; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
9.0x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
1.1x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
8.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
9.6%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
51.9%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
15.2%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
12.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
14.6%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
11.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
27.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
8.8%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
9.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

ORI shows bullish options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.76, expected move of 9.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction35/100
Expected move9.1%
Put/call volume0.76
Pressure22
Speculation42
Volatility51
Trend agreement42
Open options detail
Insider activity3 / 4

3 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

20 positive · 35 neutral · 4 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings84dNext report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-2.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 268 weeks finished lower.
Best week+6.6%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-5.5%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+0.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains13
Flat weeks1
Modest losses5
Sharp losses3
Recent vol2.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split33/18Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -3.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape56/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis18/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.35; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 62.75%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 62.75% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors81/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Cornerstone Growth rank 37; Buyback Yield rank 29; Small Cap Core rank 9 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options51/100

ORI shows bullish options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.76, expected move of 9.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 9.1% Sentiment56/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 59 relevant articles.

OLD REPUBLIC INTERNATIONAL CORP SEC Filing (Jul 28, 2026) Insiders3 / 4

3 acquisitions and 4 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings84d

Next report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202642.29 USD0.1%40.21 USD32.02 USD0.74-1.076.2MOff
17 Jul 202642.24 USD2.0%40.25 USD31.90 USD0.68-1.605.9MOff
10 Jul 202641.43 USD-1.1%40.25 USD31.76 USD0.43-4.905.9MOff
3 Jul 202641.87 USD1.6%40.28 USD31.63 USD0.07-2.5610.5MOff
26 Jun 202641.23 USD6.6%40.21 USD31.49 USD-0.47-1.986.3MOff
19 Jun 202638.69 USD0.3%40.26 USD31.36 USD-0.82-10.2310.5MOff
12 Jun 202638.57 USD1.1%40.38 USD31.24 USD-1.00-9.875.8MOff
5 Jun 202638.16 USD3.3%40.46 USD31.12 USD-1.05-10.507.3MOff
29 May 202636.93 USD-5.4%40.46 USD31.01 USD-0.99-15.747.0MOff
22 May 202639.03 USD0.1%40.44 USD30.90 USD-0.87-9.966.3MOff
15 May 202639.00 USD0.2%40.39 USD30.78 USD-0.77-9.464.9MOff
8 May 202638.94 USD0.0%40.37 USD30.66 USD-0.55-9.616.6MOff
1 May 202638.94 USD-2.8%40.40 USD30.54 USD-0.60-7.768.5MOff
24 Apr 202640.06 USD-5.1%40.44 USD30.42 USD-0.75-4.4610.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.