ASTS NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Ast Spacemobile Inc · Technology · Communication Equipment

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Latest close 56.20 USD
-2.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -35.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.8%, after a -21.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 41/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 52/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 11d.

Setup score 20 out of 100
Latest Close 56.20 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -2.8% latest completed week
4W Return -21.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -20.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 84.6% 44 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.7x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -2.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -21.3%. Indicator stack 47/0 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Bullish 41/100 conviction; expected move 8.1%. News sentiment 52/100 57 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 11d Next report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -35.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 20.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.8%, after a -21.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.7x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.3612-week average 0.41

12-week confirmation

Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership4/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.36Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -21.3% over four weeks, -20.7% over 12 weeks, and 3.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-2.8%
4W-21.3%
12W-20.7%
26W-50.5%
52W3.4%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year44
Trend breadth84.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.84Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-575.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-31.91Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-100.9%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 78%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength72/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Value61/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Quality59/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 42; rank 1 is best.
Momentum61/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
Growth61/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 40; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
197.7x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
6.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-27.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-708.7%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
1312.6%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-22.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
651.0%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-17.5%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-17.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.1x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

ASTS shows bullish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.35, expected move of 8.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction41/100
Expected move8.1%
Put/call volume0.35
Pressure55
Speculation42
Volatility88
Trend agreement0
Open options detail
Insider activity8 / 12

8 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

10 positive · 44 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-58.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility14.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher9 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+26.5%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-21.2%Week of 17 Jul.
Latest week-2.8%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains1
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses11
Recent vol14.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol13.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew13.3% / -8.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape24/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 24/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis35/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 5/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 4/12.

Activity pressure 0.36; 2 reversal markers Factors63/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 90; Small Cap Core rank 48 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options42/100

ASTS shows bullish options pressure with a 41/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.35, expected move of 8.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 8.1% Sentiment52/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 57 relevant articles.

AST SpaceMobile (NASDAQ:ASTS) Stock Price Down 3% - What's Next? Insiders8 / 12

8 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings11d

Next report is scheduled for 10 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202656.20 USD-2.8%86.96 USD36.49 USD-0.84-31.9171.3MOff
17 Jul 202657.80 USD-21.2%87.48 USD36.15 USD-0.71-31.24121.6MOff
10 Jul 202673.32 USD-13.9%88.08 USD35.81 USD-0.56-16.6852.8MOff
3 Jul 202685.13 USD19.1%88.20 USD35.37 USD-0.30-1.2291.8MOff
26 Jun 202671.45 USD-11.4%87.82 USD34.85 USD-0.12-15.88115.8MOff
19 Jun 202680.66 USD-2.1%87.31 USD34.42 USD0.34-9.15106.3MOn
12 Jun 202682.41 USD-12.0%86.34 USD33.95 USD0.62-4.37136.8MOn
5 Jun 202693.60 USD-17.5%85.64 USD33.46 USD0.5511.86107.3MOn
29 May 2026113.4 USD7.1%84.82 USD32.89 USD0.2531.00161.4MOn
22 May 2026105.9 USD26.5%83.72 USD32.20 USD-0.3628.10121.9MOn
15 May 202683.67 USD11.5%82.65 USD31.56 USD-0.744.22136.5MOff
8 May 202675.05 USD5.9%82.64 USD31.06 USD-0.81-5.7593.2MOff
1 May 202670.89 USD-7.2%82.87 USD30.61 USD-0.77-5.2269.5MOff
24 Apr 202676.40 USD-10.7%82.77 USD30.19 USD-0.614.65111.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.