PETR3 BUE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras · Energy · Oil & Gas Integrated

Latest close 15,370 ARS
3.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive trend

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 82.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a 18.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 58/100.

Setup score 74 out of 100
Latest Close 15,370 ARS 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 3.0% latest completed week
4W Return 18.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return 4.6% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 90.4% 47 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.1x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 47-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 59.86% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 14.5% above the Trend Line and sits at 82.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 3.0%, after a 18.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.4312-week average 0.71

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership7/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.43Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 18.6% over four weeks, 4.6% over 12 weeks, and 77.9% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 47 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W3.0%
4W18.6%
12W4.6%
26W28.1%
52W77.9%
Active trend streak47 weeks
Active weeks in one year47
Trend breadth90.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.41Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change51.5%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership9.44Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change337.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.

7 positive · 11 neutral · 2 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-9.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.8%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-10.9%Week of 8 May.
Latest week+3.0%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew4.5% / -3.6%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202615,370 ARS3.0%13,420 ARS10,390 ARS-0.419.4428.8KOn
24 Jul 202614,920 ARS5.1%13,215 ARS10,324 ARS-0.566.9011.6KOn
17 Jul 202614,190 ARS5.0%13,024 ARS10,263 ARS-0.684.7345.5KOn
10 Jul 202613,520 ARS4.3%12,855 ARS10,210 ARS-0.78-2.3743.7KOn
3 Jul 202612,960 ARS3.3%12,716 ARS10,165 ARS-0.84-3.9832.9KOn
26 Jun 202612,550 ARS-4.6%12,591 ARS10,126 ARS-0.86-4.749.2KOn
19 Jun 202613,160 ARS-3.8%12,495 ARS10,092 ARS-0.79-5.041.2KOn
12 Jun 202613,680 ARS0.5%12,382 ARS10,048 ARS-0.55-3.052.2KOn
5 Jun 202613,610 ARS-2.2%12,254 ARS9,995 ARS-0.265.092.7KOn
29 May 202613,920 ARS-4.7%12,117 ARS9,942 ARS0.025.3125.3KOn
22 May 202614,610 ARS-1.5%11,947 ARS9,883 ARS0.5023.6873.7KOn
15 May 202614,830 ARS1.0%11,768 ARS9,811 ARS0.7833.3146.6KOn
8 May 202614,690 ARS-10.9%11,573 ARS9,734 ARS0.9730.6018.4KOn
1 May 202616,490 ARS7.1%11,376 ARS9,656 ARS1.3244.6952.1KOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.