BUE Equity Snapshot
UGP Weekly Equity Report
Ultrapar Participações S.A.
What the company does
Ultrapar Participações S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates in the energy, mobility, and logistics infrastructure sectors in Brazil, the rest of Europe, the United States, Canada, other Latin American countries, Oceania, and internationally. It operates through Ultragaz, Ipiranga, Ultracargo, and Hidrovias segments. The company distributes and sells oil-related products, biofuels, gasoline, ethanol, diesel, fuel oil, kerosene, natural gas for vehicles, and additive fuels under the Ipimax brand to carriers, resellers, and retailers; operates service stations under the Ipiranga brand and convenience stores under the AmPm brand; and produces and sells lubricants under the ICONIC brand. It …
What the weekly tape is saying
UGP closed the latest completed week at 7,300 ARS. The 4-week return is -13.9% and the 12-week return is 1.4%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.88. Setup signature: Risk-first tape with a 36/100 composite read.
A compressed read of the whole setup
The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.
Scoreboard
16-week signal tape
Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value
Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.
52-week price path
Price map
- Trend Line
- 7,310 ARS
- Vs Trend Line
- -0.1%
- Fair Value
- 5,024 ARS
- Vs Fair Value
- 45.3%
- 52W High
- 9,120 ARS
- 52W Low
- 3,600 ARS
- Drawdown
- -20.0%
- Range Position
- 67.0%
Returns and trend persistence
Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.
Return windows
Trend read
- Active Streak
- 53 weeks
- 52W Active Weeks
- 52
- 52W Active Breadth
- 100.0%
- Sector Scope
- AR Energy
- Sector Rank
- 7 of 14
- Sector Percentile
- 53.8%
Sector and industry pulse
Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.
AR Energy
- Tracked Peers
- 14
- 4W Rank
- 14 of 14
- Avg 1W
- 1.6%
- Avg 4W
- 2.0%
- Trend Breadth
- 78.6%
- Positive MD
- 28.6%
AR Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
- Tracked Peers
- 1
- 4W Rank
- 1 of 1
- Avg 1W
- 0.0%
- Avg 4W
- -13.9%
- Trend Breadth
- 100.0%
- Positive RS
- 0.0%
Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation
Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.
Dynamics path
Signal state
- Market Dynamics
- -0.88
- 4W MD Change
- -161.0%
- Relative Strength
- -11.29
- 4W RS Change
- -136.2%
- Expectation
- Positive
- Probability
- 55.73%
Participation and confirmation
Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.
52-week volume profile
Volume map
- Latest Volume
- 5.3K
- 13W Average
- 5.9K
- 52W Average
- 10.3K
- Vs 13W
- 0.9x
- Vs 52W
- 0.5x
Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape
A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.
26-week return distribution
Risk map
- 13W Volatility
- 5.1%
- 52W Volatility
- 4.7%
- Upside Weeks
- 30
- Downside Weeks
- 21
- Downside Breadth
- 40.4%
- Avg Gain / Loss
- 4.6% / -3.1%
Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points
Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.
Classification
- Exchange
- BUE
- Country
- AR
- Sector
- Energy
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing
- Currency
- ARS
- Market Cap
- 8128.0B
Opportunity signals
- Trend Signal is active with a 53-week active streak.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Risk signals
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.
Watch next
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Recent completed weeks
The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend | Fair Value | MD | RS | Volume | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun 2026 | 7,300 ARS | 0.0% | 7,310 ARS | 5,024 ARS | -0.88 | -11.29 | 5.3K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 7,300 ARS | -4.4% | 7,274 ARS | 4,989 ARS | -0.50 | -3.26 | 6.6K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 7,635 ARS | -9.4% | 7,234 ARS | 4,954 ARS | 0.32 | -0.86 | 2.1K | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 8,430 ARS | -0.5% | 7,179 ARS | 4,917 ARS | 1.11 | 22.65 | 781 | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 8,475 ARS | -6.2% | 7,101 ARS | 4,873 ARS | 1.43 | 31.17 | 2.2K | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 9,035 ARS | 0.2% | 7,016 ARS | 4,830 ARS | 1.64 | 38.50 | 14.0K | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 9,015 ARS | 4.8% | 6,910 ARS | 4,782 ARS | 1.54 | 36.95 | 18.1K | On |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 8,600 ARS | -0.1% | 6,808 ARS | 4,734 ARS | 1.30 | 31.82 | 754 | On |
| 17 Apr 2026 | 8,610 ARS | -2.7% | 6,716 ARS | 4,687 ARS | 1.21 | 31.20 | 2.2K | On |
| 10 Apr 2026 | 8,850 ARS | 5.4% | 6,629 ARS | 4,641 ARS | 1.07 | 31.50 | 7.2K | On |
| 3 Apr 2026 | 8,395 ARS | 6.4% | 6,522 ARS | 4,592 ARS | 0.77 | 26.04 | 3.5K | On |
| 27 Mar 2026 | 7,890 ARS | 9.6% | 6,420 ARS | 4,545 ARS | 0.66 | 28.22 | 3.9K | On |
| 20 Mar 2026 | 7,200 ARS | 0.6% | 6,321 ARS | 4,502 ARS | 0.62 | 21.14 | 10.6K | On |
| 13 Mar 2026 | 7,155 ARS | -2.3% | 6,230 ARS | 4,462 ARS | 0.76 | 25.21 | 8.6K | On |