LITE MEX Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Name: LITE weekly investor report
Creator: Sharemaestro
License: https://sharemaestro.com/data-license/

Lumentum Holdings Inc. · Technology · Communication Equipment

Open interactive chart View report data Download investor PDF

Latest close 14,820 MXN

14.4% latest week

Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 78.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 14.4%, after a 5.0% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.

Setup score 55 out of 100

Latest Close 14,820 MXN 24 Jul 2026

1W Return 14.4% latest completed week

4W Return 5.0% short-term follow-through

12W Return -7.5% quarterly tape

Trend Breadth 92.3% 48 of 52 weeks active

Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average

What is working

The trend backdrop is active with a 48-week active streak.
Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Activity pressure is constructive, supporting the smart-money activity read.

What could go wrong

Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
Next-week expectancy is negative at 36.51% based on similar historical setup states.
2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.

What to watch next

Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.

Price follow-through 14.4% Latest completed week; four-week move 5.0%. Indicator stack 96/31 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 36.51% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 50/100 20 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.

01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 18.8% above the Trend Line and sits at 78.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 14.4%, after a 5.0% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Position in the 52-week range

Close Trend Fair

1,294 MXN 78.6% 18,500 MXN

Range location78.6%Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.

Trend distance18.8%Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.

Fair-value gap306.7%Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.

High-water gap-19.9%Distance from the latest 52-week high.

02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction

30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul

Up week Down week

Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7512-week average 0.85

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.

Positive pressure6/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.

Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.

Activity pressure0.75Current proprietary activity-pressure read.

Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.

Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 5.0% over four weeks, -7.5% over 12 weeks, and 1045.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 48 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W14.4%

4W5.0%

12W-7.5%

26W151.2%

52W1045.3%

Active trend streak48 weeks

Active weeks in one year48

Trend breadth92.3%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership

Pressure-0.85Latest activity-pressure read.

Pressure change-40.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.

Leadership69.97Latest relative-leadership reading.

RS change-11.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.

04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.

3 positive · 15 neutral · 2 negative

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal

06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.

Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.

52-week drawdown-19.9%Distance below the 52-week high.

13-week volatility7.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

30 Jan 27 Feb 27 Mar 24 Apr 22 May 19 Jun 24 Jul

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.

Best week+38.2%Week of 6 Feb.

Worst week-10.0%Week of 3 Jul.

Latest week+14.4%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains12

Modest gains3

Flat weeks0

Modest losses6

Sharp losses5

Recent vol7.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.

Base vol13.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.

Up/down split27/19Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.

Average skew14.0% / -4.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.

07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

SectorMX Technology

4-week rank30 / 100

Group average-3.6%

Trend breadth60.0%

Trend60.0%active weekly trend signals

MD67.0%positive activity pressure

RS55.0%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

OKTA · MEX31.8%WDAY · MEX26.0%IOT · MEX25.5%NTNX · MEX21.4%TOST · MEX18.4%

IndustryMX Communication Equipment

4-week rank2 / 9

Group average-8.7%

Trend breadth77.8%

Trend77.8%active weekly trend signals

MD22.2%positive activity pressure

RS77.8%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

ERICN · MEX6.2%LITE · MEX5.0%HPE · MEX1.3%MSI · MEX-0.4%CSCO · MEX-3.7%

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape59/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 59/100 tape read.

Indicator analysis73/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 6/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.75; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 36.51%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 36.51% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 20 relevant articles.

Lumentum Holdings Inc. $LITE is Value Aligned Research Advisors LLC's 5th Largest Position Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

Week	Close	Return	Trend Line	Fair Value	Pressure	Leadership	Volume	Trend
24 Jul 2026	14,820 MXN	14.4%	12,480 MXN	3,644 MXN	-0.85	69.97	1.7K	On
17 Jul 2026	12,950 MXN	-7.1%	12,221 MXN	3,555 MXN	-0.84	52.42	4.9K	On
10 Jul 2026	13,940 MXN	9.8%	12,009 MXN	3,478 MXN	-0.80	68.78	5.6K	On
3 Jul 2026	12,701 MXN	-10.0%	11,762 MXN	3,395 MXN	-0.75	57.03	2.1K	On
26 Jun 2026	14,110 MXN	-4.9%	11,539 MXN	3,320 MXN	-0.61	78.78	2.4K	On
19 Jun 2026	14,830 MXN	-1.8%	11,263 MXN	3,235 MXN	-0.44	92.48	0	On
12 Jun 2026	15,100 MXN	-1.3%	10,911 MXN	3,146 MXN	0.12	101.95	0	On
5 Jun 2026	15,300 MXN	3.0%	10,551 MXN	3,056 MXN	0.69	117.84	339	On
29 May 2026	14,850 MXN	-9.3%	10,186 MXN	2,964 MXN	1.29	111.91	1.6K	On
22 May 2026	16,380 MXN	-3.1%	9,802 MXN	2,875 MXN	1.78	143.52	1.2K	On
15 May 2026	16,904 MXN	8.4%	9,367 MXN	2,776 MXN	1.86	163.83	860	On
8 May 2026	15,600 MXN	-2.7%	8,900 MXN	2,674 MXN	1.93	148.41	2.3K	On
1 May 2026	16,030 MXN	5.7%	8,485 MXN	2,580 MXN	1.94	174.54	1.1K	On
24 Apr 2026	15,160 MXN	-1.2%	8,056 MXN	2,483 MXN	1.83	167.26	1.1K	On

How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.