VIRC NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Virco Manufacturing Corporation · Consumer Cyclical · Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances

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Latest close 6.05 USD
0.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 24.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a -4.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is mixed with 29/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 33d.

Setup score 27 out of 100
Latest Close 6.05 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.8% latest completed week
4W Return -4.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.2% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 0.0% 0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 41.84% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 0.8% Latest completed week; four-week move -4.4%. Indicator stack 0/65 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Recent Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 41.84% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Mixed 29/100 conviction; expected move 16.4%. News sentiment 49/100 46 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 33d Next report is scheduled for 04 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -2.2% below the Trend Line and sits at 24.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.8%, after a -4.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1912-week average 0.22

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.19Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -4.4% over four weeks, 0.2% over 12 weeks, and -21.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.8%
4W-4.4%
12W0.2%
26W-12.7%
52W-21.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.98Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-36.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-17.48Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change11.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Apr 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength43/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 58; rank 1 is best.
Value81/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Quality11/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 90; rank 1 is best.
Momentum13/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 88; rank 1 is best.
Growth14/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
23.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
13.3%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
39.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-0.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
8.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-0.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-22.4%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-34.2%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
1.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.2%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
6.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningMixed

VIRC shows mixed options pressure with a 29/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 16.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction29/100
Expected move16.4%
Put/call volume
Pressure12
Speculation0
Volatility87
Trend agreement57
Open options detail
Insider activity14 / 0

14 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 46 relevant articles.

6 positive · 31 neutral · 9 negative
Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings33dNext report is scheduled for 04 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move16.4%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-32.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.8%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+13.3%Week of 17 Apr.
Worst week-8.8%Week of 10 Apr.
Latest week+0.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains3
Modest gains7
Flat weeks1
Modest losses10
Sharp losses5
Recent vol3.8%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.6% / -3.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape24/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 24/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis33/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 12/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.19; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 41.84%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 41.84% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors36/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Tiny Titans rank 45; Buyback Yield rank 39; Small Cap Core rank 32 Patient CapitalRecent

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options46/100

VIRC shows mixed options pressure with a 29/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of n/a, expected move of 16.4%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Mixed · Options-market disagreement · Expected move 16.4% Sentiment49/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 46 relevant articles.

Wade Massad details Virco Mfg Corporation (VIRC) direct and indirect holdings Insiders14 / 0

14 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings33d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20266.05 USD0.8%6.19 USD9.25 USD0.98-17.48265.7KOff
24 Jul 20266.00 USD-2.8%6.19 USD9.24 USD1.15-18.47165.4KOff
17 Jul 20266.17 USD-3.0%6.21 USD9.23 USD1.49-18.32128.4KOff
10 Jul 20266.36 USD0.5%6.21 USD9.21 USD1.46-20.00207.1KOff
3 Jul 20266.33 USD1.8%6.22 USD9.20 USD1.53-19.69273.3KOff
26 Jun 20266.22 USD1.6%6.25 USD9.18 USD1.40-21.211.8MOff
19 Jun 20266.12 USD-5.2%6.28 USD9.17 USD1.23-26.67188.1KOff
12 Jun 20266.45 USD11.1%6.30 USD9.15 USD1.17-21.49248.7KOff
5 Jun 20265.81 USD-3.3%6.31 USD9.13 USD0.99-28.44414.1KOff
29 May 20266.01 USD0.8%6.34 USD9.12 USD0.82-30.18149.0KOff
22 May 20265.96 USD-0.8%6.38 USD9.11 USD0.77-29.66159.0KOff
15 May 20266.01 USD-0.5%6.43 USD9.09 USD0.80-29.09236.2KOff
8 May 20266.04 USD0.0%6.47 USD9.08 USD0.94-29.86126.3KOff
1 May 20266.04 USD-0.8%6.49 USD9.06 USD0.89-27.08139.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.