- The trend backdrop is active with a 2-week active streak.
- Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
ALKA
JKT
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PT Alakasa Industrindo Tbk · Basic Materials · Aluminum
Latest close
1,715 IDR
24.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Constructive, but selective
The weekly trend is active. Price is 154.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 100.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 24.7%, after a 226.7% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
50
out of 100
Latest Close
1,715 IDR
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
24.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
226.7%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
174.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
86.5%
45 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.1x
vs 13-week average
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 38.76% based on similar historical setup states.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
- Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
24.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 226.7%.
Indicator stack
55/73
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 38.76%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
50/100
1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is active. Price is 154.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 100.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 24.7%, after a 226.7% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.1x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.3812-week average 0.50
12-week confirmation
Trend active8/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.38Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 226.7% over four weeks, 174.4% over 12 weeks, and 456.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 2 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak2 weeks
Active weeks in one year45
Trend breadth86.5%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.57Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change157.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership270.79Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change576.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown0.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility27.1%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher11 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+89.7%Week of 24 Jul.
Worst week-30.7%Week of 6 Feb.
Latest week+24.7%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains10
Modest gains1
Flat weeks2
Modest losses4
Sharp losses9
Recent vol27.1%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol20.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/20Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew15.7% / -8.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorID Basic Materials
4-week rank1 / 83
Group average13.7%
Trend breadth13.3%
Trend13.3%active weekly trend signals
MD34.9%positive activity pressure
RS62.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryID Aluminum
4-week rank1 / 2
Group average129.9%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD50.0%positive activity pressure
RS100.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape47/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 47/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis50/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 8/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 12/12.
Activity pressure 0.38; 2 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 38.76%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 38.76% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.
PT Alakasa Industrindo, Tbk Class A Revenue Breakdown – IDX:ALKA Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 1,715 IDR | 24.7% | 674.9 IDR | 454.5 IDR | 0.57 | 270.79 | 192.7K | On |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 1,375 IDR | 89.7% | 629.9 IDR | 449.4 IDR | 0.04 | 218.52 | 7.0M | On |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 725.0 IDR | 35.5% | 596.1 IDR | 445.5 IDR | -0.60 | 77.45 | 5.9M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 535.0 IDR | 1.9% | 583.7 IDR | 444.5 IDR | -1.04 | 39.59 | 540.9K | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 525.0 IDR | 0.0% | 577.7 IDR | 443.4 IDR | -0.98 | 40.04 | 580.0K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 525.0 IDR | -7.9% | 572.0 IDR | 442.3 IDR | -0.98 | 41.48 | 94.7K | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 570.0 IDR | -5.8% | 566.5 IDR | 441.2 IDR | -0.96 | 48.61 | 63.3K | On |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 605.0 IDR | -0.8% | 559.5 IDR | 439.9 IDR | -0.99 | 64.54 | 182.2K | On |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 610.0 IDR | 10.9% | 551.3 IDR | 438.3 IDR | -0.98 | 81.09 | 748.4K | On |
| 29 May 2026 | 550.0 IDR | 20.6% | 543.1 IDR | 436.8 IDR | -0.90 | 52.04 | 1.8M | On |
| 22 May 2026 | 456.0 IDR | -20.7% | 536.9 IDR | 435.6 IDR | -0.78 | 27.28 | 1.9M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 575.0 IDR | -8.0% | 533.6 IDR | 434.9 IDR | -0.57 | 48.61 | 2.5M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 625.0 IDR | 0.0% | 525.5 IDR | 433.7 IDR | -0.32 | 58.01 | 6.1M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 625.0 IDR | -2.3% | 516.0 IDR | 432.2 IDR | -0.03 | 60.69 | 551.1K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.