BAJA JKT Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Name: BAJA weekly investor report
Creator: Sharemaestro
License: https://sharemaestro.com/data-license/

PT Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk · Basic Materials · Steel

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Latest close 244.0 IDR

47.9% latest week

Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 56.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 47.9%, after a 57.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100.

Setup score 63 out of 100

Latest Close 244.0 IDR 31 Jul 2026

1W Return 47.9% latest completed week

4W Return 57.4% short-term follow-through

12W Return 55.4% quarterly tape

Trend Breadth 55.8% 29 of 52 weeks active

Volume Ratio 9.9x vs 13-week average

What is working

The trend backdrop is active with a 1-week active streak.
Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.

What could go wrong

Next-week expectancy is negative at 44.89% based on similar historical setup states.
Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
1 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.

What to watch next

Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.

Price follow-through 47.9% Latest completed week; four-week move 57.4%. Indicator stack 34/100 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 44.89% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 50/100 1 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.

01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 56.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 47.9%, after a 57.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Position in the 52-week range

Close Trend Fair

106.0 IDR 81.2% 276.0 IDR

Range location81.2%Shows where the latest close sits between the 52-week low and high.

Trend distance56.6%Price premium or discount versus the weekly Trend Line.

Fair-value gap92.4%Premium demand or model discount versus Sharemaestro Fair Value.

High-water gap-11.6%Distance from the latest 52-week high.

02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 9.9x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction

6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul

Up week Down week

Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2812-week average 0.23

12-week confirmation

Trend active1/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.

Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.

Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.

Activity pressure0.28Current proprietary activity-pressure read.

Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.

Reversal markers11 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 1 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 57.4% over four weeks, 55.4% over 12 weeks, and 89.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 1 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W47.9%

4W57.4%

12W55.4%

26W67.1%

52W89.1%

Active trend streak1 weeks

Active weeks in one year29

Trend breadth55.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership

Pressure0.91Latest activity-pressure read.

Pressure change1641.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.

Leadership88.65Latest relative-leadership reading.

RS change167.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.

04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.

0 positive · 1 neutral · 0 negative

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal

06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.

Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.

52-week drawdown-11.6%Distance below the 52-week high.

13-week volatility15.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

6 Feb 6 Mar 3 Apr 1 May 29 May 26 Jun 31 Jul

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.

Best week+47.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Worst week-11.1%Week of 13 Mar.

Latest week+47.9%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10

Modest gains3

Flat weeks0

Modest losses5

Sharp losses8

Recent vol15.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.

Base vol10.4%52-week weekly-return volatility.

Up/down split26/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.

Average skew8.4% / -5.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.

07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

SectorID Basic Materials

4-week rank2 / 83

Group average13.7%

Trend breadth13.3%

Trend13.3%active weekly trend signals

MD34.9%positive activity pressure

RS62.7%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

ALKA · JKT226.7%BAJA · JKT57.4%SMLE · JKT55.4%KKES · JKT50.0%BLES · JKT43.9%

IndustryID Steel

4-week rank1 / 7

Group average17.3%

Trend breadth28.6%

Trend28.6%active weekly trend signals

MD57.1%positive activity pressure

RS71.4%positive relative leadership

Four-week leaders

BAJA · JKT57.4%GDST · JKT22.8%ISSP · JKT14.6%KRAS · JKT12.6%LABA · JKT6.7%

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape56/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 56/100 tape read.

Indicator analysis45/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 1/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 12/12.

Activity pressure 0.28; 1 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 44.89%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 44.89% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100

No published factor snapshot is available yet.

Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 1 relevant articles.

PT Saranacentral Bajatama Tbk Revenue Breakdown – IDX:BAJA Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

Earnings50/100

No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.

Week	Close	Return	Trend Line	Fair Value	Pressure	Leadership	Volume	Trend
31 Jul 2026	244.0 IDR	47.9%	155.8 IDR	126.8 IDR	0.91	88.65	294.6M	On
24 Jul 2026	165.0 IDR	-1.2%	153.2 IDR	126.2 IDR	0.62	31.07	8.2M	Off
17 Jul 2026	167.0 IDR	4.4%	153.1 IDR	126.1 IDR	0.51	34.13	23.7M	Off
10 Jul 2026	160.0 IDR	3.2%	152.9 IDR	125.9 IDR	0.42	35.27	4.2M	Off
3 Jul 2026	155.0 IDR	2.0%	153.4 IDR	125.8 IDR	0.05	33.19	19.7M	Off
26 Jun 2026	152.0 IDR	-7.9%	154.2 IDR	125.7 IDR	-0.28	30.85	535.3K	Off
19 Jun 2026	165.0 IDR	31.0%	155.0 IDR	125.7 IDR	-0.45	36.72	9.9M	Off
12 Jun 2026	126.0 IDR	-7.4%	155.2 IDR	125.6 IDR	-0.72	8.37	476.2K	Off
5 Jun 2026	136.0 IDR	-7.5%	156.6 IDR	125.7 IDR	-0.46	25.94	256.0K	Off
29 May 2026	147.0 IDR	5.0%	157.4 IDR	125.8 IDR	-0.17	25.12	2.4M	Off
22 May 2026	140.0 IDR	-6.0%	157.5 IDR	125.8 IDR	0.10	19.51	3.9M	Off
15 May 2026	149.0 IDR	-5.1%	158.1 IDR	125.8 IDR	0.23	17.37	2.3M	Off
8 May 2026	157.0 IDR	-1.3%	159.1 IDR	125.7 IDR	0.19	20.55	15.6M	Off
1 May 2026	159.0 IDR	-1.2%	159.2 IDR	125.6 IDR	-0.05	23.63	70.6M	Off

How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.