- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
KRAS
JKT
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PT Krakatau Steel (Persero) Tbk · Basic Materials · Steel
Latest close
224.0 IDR
-2.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -19.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.6%, after a 12.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 49/100.
Setup score
33
out of 100
Latest Close
224.0 IDR
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
-2.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
12.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-19.4%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
59.6%
31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Next-week expectancy is negative at 36.61% based on similar historical setup states.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-2.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move 12.6%.
Indicator stack
33/49
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 36.61%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
49/100
34 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -19.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -2.6%, after a 12.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0612-week average 0.06
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership1/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.06Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 12.6% over four weeks, -19.4% over 12 weeks, and -18.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.39Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change76.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-9.08Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change38.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 34 relevant articles.
4 positive · 24 neutral · 6 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-48.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher10 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.1%Week of 17 Jul.
Worst week-15.4%Week of 5 Jun.
Latest week-2.6%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains8
Modest gains2
Flat weeks1
Modest losses5
Sharp losses10
Recent vol7.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split24/27Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.8% / -5.5%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorID Basic Materials
4-week rank27 / 83
Group average13.7%
Trend breadth13.3%
Trend13.3%active weekly trend signals
MD34.9%positive activity pressure
RS62.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryID Steel
4-week rank4 / 7
Group average17.3%
Trend breadth28.6%
Trend28.6%active weekly trend signals
MD57.1%positive activity pressure
RS71.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape30/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 30/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis11/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 1/12.
Activity pressure 0.06; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 36.61%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 36.61% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 34 relevant articles.
Japan Steel Works (TSE:5631) Stock Price Meets Softer Earnings And Premium P E Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 224.0 IDR | -2.6% | 279.1 IDR | 198.1 IDR | -0.39 | -9.08 | 22.0M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 230.0 IDR | -4.2% | 282.9 IDR | 198.1 IDR | -0.79 | -6.08 | 24.5M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 240.0 IDR | 11.1% | 286.9 IDR | 198.2 IDR | -1.13 | -1.91 | 40.4M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 216.0 IDR | 8.5% | 290.5 IDR | 198.0 IDR | -1.49 | -7.76 | 34.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 199.0 IDR | 0.0% | 295.5 IDR | 197.9 IDR | -1.65 | -14.65 | 23.4M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 199.0 IDR | -2.5% | 301.8 IDR | 197.9 IDR | -1.70 | -15.43 | 5.1M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 204.0 IDR | 4.6% | 308.0 IDR | 198.0 IDR | -1.80 | -17.15 | 5.8M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 195.0 IDR | 7.7% | 313.9 IDR | 198.2 IDR | -1.87 | -18.48 | 11.3M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 181.0 IDR | -15.4% | 320.0 IDR | 198.4 IDR | -1.82 | -18.66 | 7.6M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 214.0 IDR | -7.8% | 325.6 IDR | 198.7 IDR | -1.67 | -11.66 | 17.2M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 232.0 IDR | -12.1% | 329.6 IDR | 198.8 IDR | -1.51 | -4.01 | 30.1M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 264.0 IDR | -5.0% | 332.7 IDR | 199.0 IDR | -1.43 | 1.04 | 18.5M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 278.0 IDR | -4.1% | 334.1 IDR | 199.0 IDR | -1.37 | 3.72 | 39.7M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 290.0 IDR | -2.0% | 336.7 IDR | 199.1 IDR | -1.39 | 9.57 | 63.5M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.