JCI NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Johnson Controls International PLC · Industrials · Building Products & Equipment

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Latest close 143.4 USD
2.1% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.1%, after a 3.6% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers. Options positioning is bullish with 40/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 4d.

Setup score 59 out of 100
Latest Close 143.4 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.1% latest completed week
4W Return 3.6% short-term follow-through
12W Return -0.9% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 100.0% 52 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.6x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 64-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Next-week expectancy is positive at 57.40% based on similar historical setup states.
What could go wrong
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
  • 16 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 2.1% Latest completed week; four-week move 3.6%. Indicator stack 100/6 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Positive 57.40% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 40/100 conviction; expected move 6.3%. News sentiment 58/100 52 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 4d Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 6.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 84.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.1%, after a 3.6% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7312-week average 0.78

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure4/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.73Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers1616 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 16 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 3.6% over four weeks, -0.9% over 12 weeks, and 30.0% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 64 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.1%
4W3.6%
12W-0.9%
26W26.9%
52W30.0%
Active trend streak64 weeks
Active weeks in one year52
Trend breadth100.0%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.56Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-417.0%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership6.84Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change27.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Sep 2025 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength27/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Value7/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 94; rank 1 is best.
Quality69/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 32; rank 1 is best.
Momentum76/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 25; rank 1 is best.
Growth92/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 9; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
24.8x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.6x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
27.0x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
2.2%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
36.6%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
11.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
8.8%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
10.1%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
5.1%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
41.0%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-44.6%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
6/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
0.6%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
6.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.9%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.5x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

JCI shows bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.63, expected move of 6.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction40/100
Expected move6.3%
Put/call volume0.63
Pressure29
Speculation26
Volatility52
Trend agreement65
Open options detail
Insider activity3 / 12

3 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

23 positive · 28 neutral · 1 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings4dNext report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move6.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-5.2%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility3.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher17 of 269 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.4%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-8.2%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.1%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains13
Flat weeks0
Modest losses7
Sharp losses2
Recent vol3.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.9%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.9% / -2.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape61/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 61/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis63/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 12/12, activity pressure 4/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.73; 16 reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 57.40%

Next-week expectancy is positive with a 57.40% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors43/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 9 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options60/100

JCI shows bullish options pressure with a 40/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.63, expected move of 6.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 6.3% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.

Is Market Not Aligned With Johnson Controls’ Management? Insiders3 / 12

3 acquisitions and 12 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings4d

Next report is scheduled for 04 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 2026143.4 USD2.1%135.1 USD88.29 USD-0.566.8412.3MOn
17 Jul 2026140.5 USD-1.6%134.4 USD87.79 USD-0.424.2616.9MOn
10 Jul 2026142.8 USD1.5%133.7 USD87.31 USD-0.104.5417.1MOn
3 Jul 2026140.8 USD1.7%132.7 USD86.81 USD0.124.6728.0MOn
26 Jun 2026138.4 USD-4.4%131.8 USD86.31 USD0.185.3529.7MOn
19 Jun 2026144.8 USD0.2%131.0 USD85.84 USD-0.057.8419.0MOn
12 Jun 2026144.6 USD0.9%129.9 USD85.30 USD-0.278.9222.0MOn
5 Jun 2026143.3 USD7.2%129.0 USD84.77 USD-0.458.8422.0MOn
29 May 2026133.7 USD-3.1%128.3 USD84.24 USD-0.43-0.7313.4MOn
22 May 2026138.0 USD-3.3%127.6 USD83.76 USD-0.014.0018.0MOn
15 May 2026142.7 USD2.6%126.7 USD83.25 USD0.238.6917.7MOn
8 May 2026139.1 USD-3.8%125.6 USD82.71 USD0.476.5422.4MOn
1 May 2026144.7 USD2.2%124.4 USD82.20 USD0.5113.7213.6MOn
24 Apr 2026141.5 USD0.7%123.2 USD81.64 USD0.3112.8411.7MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.