ORGN NASDAQ Week ended 10 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Origin Materials Inc · Basic Materials · Chemicals

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Latest close 0.95 USD
0.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -72.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a -14.4% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 39/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 11d.

Setup score 19 out of 100
Latest Close 0.95 USD 10 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.0% latest completed week
4W Return -14.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return -54.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 5.8% 3 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio - vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 42.86% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
Price follow-through 0.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -14.4%. Indicator stack 3/100 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 42.86% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. News sentiment 39/100 62 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 11d Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -72.4% below the Trend Line and sits at 0.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a -14.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is - the 13-week average. Participation data is incomplete.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
16 Jan 23 Jan 30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.0012-week average 0.00

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.00Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -14.4% over four weeks, -54.5% over 12 weeks, and -94.8% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.0%
4W-14.4%
12W-54.5%
26W-86.0%
52W-94.8%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year3
Trend breadth5.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.42Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change972.2%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-91.55Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-0.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 78%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength46/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
Value48/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Quality46/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
Momentum48/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Growth48/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.4x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
10.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
-4.4%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
-1719.9%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
6.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
-195.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-53.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
4/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-0.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment39/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.

2 positive · 40 neutral · 20 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings11dNext report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-96.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility16.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher10 of 2615 weeks finished lower.
Best week+27.5%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-48.5%Week of 8 May.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 10 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains3
Flat weeks1
Modest losses3
Sharp losses12
Recent vol16.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol16.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split20/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew11.2% / -13.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape23/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 23/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis26/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.00; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.86%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.86% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors46/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 50 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment39/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 62 relevant articles.

Are Basic Materials Stocks Lagging Almonty Industries Inc. (ALM) This Year? Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings11d

Next report is scheduled for 13 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
10 Jul 20260.95 USD0.0%3.44 USD23.93 USD0.42-91.550Off
3 Jul 20260.95 USD9.6%3.82 USD24.70 USD0.26-91.72248.0KOff
26 Jun 20260.87 USD-20.5%4.23 USD25.42 USD0.25-92.65766.9KOff
19 Jun 20261.09 USD-1.8%4.68 USD26.23 USD0.09-91.42281.0KOff
12 Jun 20261.11 USD-15.3%5.08 USD27.01 USD-0.05-91.26904.7KOff
5 Jun 20261.31 USD-12.1%5.53 USD27.85 USD0.01-89.70352.4KOff
29 May 20261.49 USD-2.6%6.02 USD28.74 USD-0.06-89.10395.8KOff
22 May 20261.53 USD7.0%6.58 USD29.60 USD-0.06-88.751.7MOff
15 May 20261.43 USD4.4%7.25 USD30.43 USD-0.08-89.6424.7MOff
8 May 20261.37 USD-48.5%7.85 USD31.25 USD-0.27-90.333.1MOff
1 May 20262.66 USD8.1%8.34 USD32.15 USD-0.36-80.91557.2KOff
24 Apr 20262.46 USD17.7%8.78 USD32.94 USD-0.43-82.70305.8KOff
17 Apr 20262.09 USD7.2%9.20 USD33.68 USD-0.45-85.56507.7KOff
10 Apr 20261.95 USD-10.3%9.65 USD34.44 USD-0.54-86.14479.5KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.