UAL MEX Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

United Airlines Holdings, Inc. · Industrials · Airlines

Latest close 2,121 MXN
2.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.5%, after a -8.4% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100.

Setup score 52 out of 100
Latest Close 2,121 MXN 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 2.5% latest completed week
4W Return -8.4% short-term follow-through
12W Return 20.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 55.8% 29 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 5-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
  • Recent volatility is running well above the one-year baseline.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.9% above the Trend Line and sits at 67.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.5%, after a -8.4% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.6812-week average 0.39

12-week confirmation

Trend active5/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure10/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership9/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.68Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -8.4% over four weeks, 20.0% over 12 weeks, and 32.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 5 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W2.5%
4W-8.4%
12W20.0%
26W15.9%
52W32.6%
Active trend streak5 weeks
Active weeks in one year29
Trend breadth55.8%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.75Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-24.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership10.00Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-51.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.

Open full factor analysis

No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.

05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.

10 positive · 35 neutral · 8 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-11.6%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility8.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+16.8%Week of 26 Jun.
Worst week-10.8%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+2.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses6
Recent vol8.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.5% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 20262,121 MXN2.5%1,878 MXN1,408 MXN0.7510.002.2KOn
24 Jul 20262,070 MXN1.0%1,874 MXN1,400 MXN0.878.512.6KOn
17 Jul 20262,049 MXN-9.9%1,875 MXN1,393 MXN1.007.141.4KOn
10 Jul 20262,275 MXN-1.8%1,873 MXN1,386 MXN1.0719.21568On
3 Jul 20262,316 MXN-3.5%1,863 MXN1,377 MXN1.0020.752.7KOn
26 Jun 20262,400 MXN16.8%1,851 MXN1,368 MXN0.8025.5640Off
19 Jun 20262,054 MXN5.9%1,834 MXN1,359 MXN0.757.390Off
12 Jun 20261,940 MXN4.9%1,823 MXN1,351 MXN0.591.4038Off
5 Jun 20261,850 MXN-8.8%1,817 MXN1,345 MXN0.27-0.37328Off
29 May 20262,028 MXN16.6%1,815 MXN1,338 MXN0.155.373.1KOff
22 May 20261,740 MXN5.5%1,806 MXN1,331 MXN-0.36-9.094.8KOff
15 May 20261,650 MXN-6.6%1,809 MXN1,325 MXN-0.62-13.29260Off
8 May 20261,767 MXN12.7%1,815 MXN1,320 MXN-0.52-9.763.1KOff
1 May 20261,568 MXN-2.3%1,820 MXN1,314 MXN-0.66-17.651.9KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.