- Next-week expectancy is positive at 58.65% based on similar historical setup states.
CNM
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Core & Main Inc · Industrials · Industrial Distribution
Latest close
43.62 USD
-3.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 4.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.6%, after a -11.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bearish with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 51/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 40d.
Setup score
22
out of 100
Latest Close
43.62 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
-3.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
-11.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-11.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
15.4%
8 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.8x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-3.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move -11.2%.
Indicator stack
8/14
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 58.65%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Bearish
50/100 conviction; expected move 9.1%.
News sentiment
51/100
21 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
40d
Next report is scheduled for 08 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -14.0% below the Trend Line and sits at 4.5% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -3.6%, after a -11.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1012-week average 0.06
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure3/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.10Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -11.2% over four weeks, -11.0% over 12 weeks, and -33.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year8
Trend breadth15.4%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.76Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-278.9%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-23.46Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-46.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Jan 2026
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 94%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength68/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 33; rank 1 is best.
Value70/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 31; rank 1 is best.
Quality81/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 20; rank 1 is best.
Momentum12/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Growth72/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework75/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 18.2x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.1x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 11.2x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 6.7% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 27.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 9.9% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 9.2% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 13.3% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 0.5% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 7.9% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- 6.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 8/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- - Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 2.5% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.4x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBearish
CNM shows bearish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 3.86, expected move of 9.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction50/100
Expected move9.1%
Put/call volume3.86
Insider activity14 / 5
14 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment51/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
6 positive · 9 neutral · 6 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings40dNext report is scheduled for 08 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.1%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-35.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.0%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+8.1%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-8.9%Week of 30 Jan.
Latest week-3.6%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains8
Flat weeks0
Modest losses9
Sharp losses5
Recent vol4.0%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol5.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split27/25Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.3% / -4.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Industrials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-0.7%
Trend breadth52.0%
Trend52.0%active weekly trend signals
MD53.0%positive activity pressure
RS56.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Industrial Distribution
4-week rank18 / 22
Group average-1.5%
Trend breadth50.0%
Trend50.0%active weekly trend signals
MD54.5%positive activity pressure
RS45.5%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape22/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 22/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis15/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 3/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.10; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 58.65%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 58.65% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors59/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Cornerstone Growth rank 94; Buyback Yield rank 20; Small Cap Core rank 42 SVQF75/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 254.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options49/100CNM shows bearish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 3.86, expected move of 9.1%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bearish · Put-side pressure · Expected move 9.1% Sentiment51/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 21 relevant articles.
Form 4 Core & Main Inc For: 23 July By Investing.com Insiders14 / 514 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings40dNext report is scheduled for 08 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 43.62 USD | -3.6% | 50.74 USD | 48.93 USD | -0.76 | -23.46 | 8.8M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 45.24 USD | -1.4% | 51.09 USD | 48.86 USD | -0.36 | -21.97 | 10.3M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 45.86 USD | 2.1% | 51.38 USD | 48.76 USD | -0.04 | -22.86 | 9.9M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 44.93 USD | -8.6% | 51.72 USD | 48.67 USD | 0.25 | -24.12 | 12.8M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 49.14 USD | 1.2% | 51.89 USD | 48.58 USD | 0.42 | -16.03 | 15.6M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 48.58 USD | 0.5% | 51.87 USD | 48.46 USD | 0.12 | -19.57 | 16.6M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 48.33 USD | -7.0% | 51.77 USD | 48.34 USD | -0.27 | -19.85 | 17.2M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 51.97 USD | 5.1% | 51.73 USD | 48.21 USD | -0.60 | -13.94 | 9.6M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 49.45 USD | 4.6% | 51.69 USD | 48.06 USD | -0.84 | -20.72 | 8.2M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 47.27 USD | 1.1% | 51.79 USD | 47.92 USD | -0.88 | -23.63 | 9.0M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 46.77 USD | -4.7% | 52.03 USD | 47.79 USD | -0.71 | -24.29 | 12.9M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 49.09 USD | 0.1% | 52.21 USD | 47.66 USD | -0.55 | -20.89 | 9.0M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 49.02 USD | -1.0% | 52.22 USD | 47.52 USD | -0.51 | -19.62 | 10.4M | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 49.50 USD | -2.5% | 52.33 USD | 47.38 USD | -0.45 | -18.59 | 17.0M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.