GER Equity Snapshot

CTO Weekly Equity Report

Costco Wholesale Corporation

Latest Close 841.2 EUR 12 Jun 2026
1W Return 0.8% latest completed week
4W Return -6.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return -0.5% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 28.8% 15 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.9x vs 13-week average
Company Brief

What the company does

Costco Wholesale Corporation, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the operation of membership warehouses in the United States, Puerto Rico, Canada, Mexico, Japan, the United Kingdom, Korea, Australia, Taiwan, China, Spain, France, Iceland, New Zealand, and Sweden. It offers merchandise, including sundries, dry groceries, candies, coolers, freezers, deli, liquor, and tobacco; non-food merchandise comprising appliances, small electronics, health and beauty aids, hardware, lawn and garden, sporting goods, tires, toys and seasonal, automotive, stamps, tickets, apparel, furniture, domestics, housewares, special order kiosks, and jewelry; and fresh food, such as meat, produce, service deli, and bakery products. …

Snapshot

What the weekly tape is saying

CTO closed the latest completed week at 841.2 EUR. The 4-week return is -6.5% and the 12-week return is -0.5%. Trend Signal is active, Market Dynamics is -0.28. Setup signature: Balanced read with a 46/100 composite read.

Trend Signal Active
Market Dynamics No fresh buy
Price vs Trend 2.1%
Volume 0.9x
Setup Cockpit

A compressed read of the whole setup

The radar blends trend persistence, momentum, Market Dynamics, Relative Strength, volume confirmation, and risk control into one weekly cockpit.

Composite setup radar

Scoreboard

Trend 61 Persistence of active Trend Signal over the last year and current streak.
Momentum 35 Blend of 4-week and 12-week follow-through.
Dynamics 32 Latest Market Dynamics and whether pressure has improved over four weeks.
Relative Strength 44 Relative leadership and short-term RS change.
Volume 37 Participation compared with the 13-week volume baseline.
Risk Control 66 Drawdown and recent weekly volatility pressure.

16-week signal tape

27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun
Weekly return bar Trend Signal dot Positive Market Dynamics dot
Price Action

Price, Trend Line, and Fair Value

Weekly price context with the latest close, trend position, Fair Value gap, drawdown, and 52-week range location.

52-week price path

Price Trend Line Fair Value

Price map

Trend Line
824.0 EUR
Vs Trend Line
2.1%
Fair Value
752.2 EUR
Vs Fair Value
11.8%
52W High
944.3 EUR
52W Low
720.2 EUR
Drawdown
-10.9%
Range Position
54.0%
Momentum

Returns and trend persistence

Return windows separate the latest week from short-term and medium-term follow-through.

Return windows

1W 0.8%
4W -6.5%
12W -0.5%
26W 13.1%
52W -1.6%

Trend read

Active Streak
15 weeks
52W Active Weeks
15
52W Active Breadth
28.8%
Sector Scope
DE Consumer Defensive
Sector Rank
28 of 38
Sector Percentile
27.0%
Peer Context

Sector and industry pulse

Peer breadth helps separate a stock-specific move from a broader group rotation.

Market Dynamics

Pressure, Relative Strength, and expectation

Market Dynamics and Relative Strength show whether buying pressure and relative leadership are confirming the price move.

Dynamics path

Market Dynamics Relative Strength

Signal state

Market Dynamics
-0.28
4W MD Change
-157.3%
Relative Strength
0.61
4W RS Change
-93.9%
Expectation
Positive
Probability
58.57%
Volume

Participation and confirmation

Volume tells us whether the latest weekly move is being confirmed by unusual participation.

52-week volume profile

Volume map

Latest Volume
403
13W Average
456
52W Average
589
Vs 13W
0.9x
Vs 52W
0.7x
Risk Anatomy

Volatility, downside weeks, and return shape

A compact risk profile shows whether the move is steady, volatile, or being driven by sharp one-week jumps.

26-week return distribution

Risk map

13W Volatility
2.4%
52W Volatility
2.7%
Upside Weeks
23
Downside Weeks
29
Downside Breadth
55.8%
Avg Gain / Loss
2.4% / -1.9%
Context

Classification, opportunities, risks, and watch points

Top-level read across company classification, constructive evidence, caution points, and the next things that matter.

Classification

Exchange
GER
Country
DE
Sector
Consumer Defensive
Industry
Discount Stores
Currency
EUR
Market Cap
376.5B

Opportunity signals

  • Trend Signal is active with a 15-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.

Risk signals

  • Market Dynamics is negative, which weakens the current setup.

Watch next

  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Market Dynamics is the pressure gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Weekly Tape

Recent completed weeks

The latest weekly rows behind the report snapshot.

Week Close Return Trend Fair Value MD RS Volume Signal
12 Jun 2026 841.2 EUR 0.8% 824.0 EUR 752.2 EUR -0.28 0.61 403 On
5 Jun 2026 834.7 EUR -1.6% 822.3 EUR 749.8 EUR 0.14 -0.79 446 On
29 May 2026 848.6 EUR -4.4% 821.6 EUR 747.4 EUR 0.47 -0.68 268 On
22 May 2026 887.6 EUR -1.3% 819.7 EUR 744.9 EUR 0.57 4.54 707 On
15 May 2026 899.6 EUR 4.8% 816.8 EUR 742.1 EUR 0.49 9.98 844 On
8 May 2026 858.8 EUR 0.1% 813.4 EUR 739.1 EUR 0.26 3.27 752 On
1 May 2026 858.2 EUR -0.2% 811.6 EUR 736.5 EUR 0.33 3.26 153 On
24 Apr 2026 859.5 EUR 3.0% 808.8 EUR 733.7 EUR 0.57 3.94 350 On
17 Apr 2026 834.4 EUR -2.2% 806.3 EUR 731.0 EUR 0.76 -1.58 396 On
10 Apr 2026 853.3 EUR -0.2% 805.3 EUR 728.5 EUR 0.99 4.06 315 On
3 Apr 2026 854.7 EUR 0.2% 804.1 EUR 725.7 EUR 1.03 6.79 212 On
27 Mar 2026 852.8 EUR 0.9% 802.7 EUR 723.0 EUR 1.10 10.43 488 On
20 Mar 2026 845.5 EUR -4.0% 801.0 EUR 720.2 EUR 1.10 9.10 595 On
13 Mar 2026 880.3 EUR 2.5% 800.2 EUR 717.6 EUR 1.10 8.52 348 On