NWPX NASDAQ Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Northwest Pipe Company · Basic Materials · Steel

Latest close 123.1 USD
-4.8% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 25.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 74.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.8%, after a -10.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 50/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 57/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 5d.

Setup score 64 out of 100
Latest Close 123.1 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return -4.8% latest completed week
4W Return -10.1% short-term follow-through
12W Return 9.4% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 94.2% 49 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 49-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 8 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 25.1% above the Trend Line and sits at 74.2% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -4.8%, after a -10.1% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.8x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9712-week average 0.94

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.97Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers88 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 8 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -10.1% over four weeks, 9.4% over 12 weeks, and 203.6% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 49 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-4.8%
4W-10.1%
12W9.4%
26W82.5%
52W203.6%
Active trend streak49 weeks
Active weeks in one year49
Trend breadth94.2%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.62Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-63.8%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership43.42Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-33.8%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks strongly; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 97% Model confidence 93%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength63/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 38; rank 1 is best.
Value22/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 79; rank 1 is best.
Quality79/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 22; rank 1 is best.
Momentum99/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Growth82/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 19; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework30/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
29.7x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
2.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
17.5x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
8.4%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
20.2%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
10.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
20.4%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
8.9%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
10.6%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
27.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
5.5%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
9/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
1.7%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
1.7%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
1.2x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

NWPX shows bullish options pressure with a 50/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.68, expected move of 9.2%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction50/100
Expected move9.2%
Put/call volume0.68
Pressure29
Speculation41
Volatility68
Trend agreement86
Open options detail
Insider activity6 / 0

6 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment57/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 26 relevant articles.

11 positive · 12 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move9.2%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-19.0%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.3%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher16 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+26.2%Week of 1 May.
Worst week-7.5%Week of 3 Jul.
Latest week-4.8%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains10
Modest gains6
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses4
Recent vol5.3%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split31/21Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.7% / -2.7%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 2026123.1 USD-4.8%98.36 USD52.21 USD0.6243.421.7MOn
24 Jul 2026129.3 USD-6.4%96.36 USD51.62 USD0.9654.01993.7KOn
17 Jul 2026138.2 USD3.2%94.19 USD51.00 USD1.3764.92850.9KOn
10 Jul 2026133.9 USD-2.2%91.72 USD50.32 USD1.5756.27948.9KOn
3 Jul 2026136.9 USD-7.5%89.37 USD49.66 USD1.7265.62987.4KOn
26 Jun 2026148.0 USD6.3%86.80 USD48.97 USD1.7784.081.6MOn
19 Jun 2026139.2 USD8.0%83.82 USD48.22 USD1.6269.13712.7KOn
12 Jun 2026128.8 USD9.4%81.04 USD47.51 USD1.5663.99728.7KOn
5 Jun 2026117.8 USD-0.2%78.65 USD46.88 USD1.5256.23921.6KOn
29 May 2026118.0 USD5.1%76.69 USD46.32 USD1.5951.96557.0KOn
22 May 2026112.3 USD1.3%74.77 USD45.74 USD1.7251.16674.3KOn
15 May 2026110.8 USD-1.5%72.86 USD45.20 USD1.6153.22630.8KOn
8 May 2026112.5 USD5.2%70.89 USD44.66 USD1.5257.41946.6KOn
1 May 2026107.0 USD26.2%68.79 USD44.11 USD1.2760.361.1MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.