DOW NYSE Week ended 31 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Dow Inc · Basic Materials · Chemicals

Open interactive chart View report data
Latest close 30.29 USD
1.5% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 47.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a 9.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 37/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 58/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 82d.

Setup score 38 out of 100
Latest Close 30.29 USD 31 Jul 2026
1W Return 1.5% latest completed week
4W Return 9.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return -17.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 40.4% 21 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.0x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
  • Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through 1.5% Latest completed week; four-week move 9.3%. Indicator stack 22/29 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Next-Week Expectancy Negative 42.88% Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed. Options pressure Bullish 37/100 conviction; expected move 4.8%. News sentiment 58/100 35 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 82d Next report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -8.1% below the Trend Line and sits at 47.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 1.5%, after a 9.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul 31 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.2412-week average 0.64

12-week confirmation

Trend active6/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure2/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership6/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.24Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 9.3% over four weeks, -17.0% over 12 weeks, and 46.2% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W1.5%
4W9.3%
12W-17.0%
26W12.4%
52W46.2%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year21
Trend breadth40.4%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.10Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-10.1%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-2.27Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change78.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 94%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength67/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 34; rank 1 is best.
Value73/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 28; rank 1 is best.
Quality12/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 89; rank 1 is best.
Momentum72/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 29; rank 1 is best.
Growth24/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 77; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.5x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
17.4x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
22.0%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
9.8%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
0.5%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
21.3%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
0.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-1.2%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
108.8%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
3/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
4.7%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.4%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
4.3%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
7.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningBullish

DOW shows bullish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.68, expected move of 4.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Conviction37/100
Expected move4.8%
Put/call volume0.68
Pressure18
Speculation40
Volatility49
Trend agreement58
Open options detail
Insider activity13 / 0

13 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 35 relevant articles.

13 positive · 19 neutral · 3 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings82dNext report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move4.8%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility4.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher15 of 2611 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.4%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-8.7%Week of 17 Apr.
Latest week+1.5%Week of 31 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses2
Sharp losses9
Recent vol4.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.4% / -4.8%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape35/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 35/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis38/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 6/12, activity pressure 2/12, relative leadership 6/12.

Activity pressure 0.24; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.88%

Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.88% historical one-week setup read.

Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors54/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 75 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options56/100

DOW shows bullish options pressure with a 37/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.68, expected move of 4.8%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.

Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 4.8% Sentiment58/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 35 relevant articles.

Stock Market Today: S&P 500, Dow, Nasdaq 100 Futures Gain Amid Cooler June PCE Inflation Data and Slower Insiders13 / 0

13 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings82d

Next report is scheduled for 22 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
31 Jul 202630.29 USD1.5%32.97 USD37.08 USD-1.10-2.2757.4MOff
24 Jul 202629.84 USD-0.3%32.75 USD37.17 USD-1.20-2.3656.0MOff
17 Jul 202629.92 USD3.1%32.51 USD37.28 USD-1.15-2.5845.4MOff
10 Jul 202629.03 USD4.8%32.27 USD37.38 USD-1.11-7.0853.7MOff
3 Jul 202627.71 USD-4.6%32.09 USD37.48 USD-1.00-10.3951.1MOff
26 Jun 202629.04 USD-8.5%31.91 USD37.58 USD-0.89-4.3476.2MOff
19 Jun 202631.73 USD-6.3%31.72 USD37.69 USD-0.871.9254.4MOn
12 Jun 202633.85 USD-0.4%31.38 USD37.76 USD-0.729.6262.1MOn
5 Jun 202633.97 USD0.7%30.99 USD37.83 USD-0.5310.5149.8MOn
29 May 202633.75 USD-5.3%30.57 USD37.89 USD-0.257.0559.8MOn
22 May 202635.64 USD-7.1%30.21 USD37.95 USD0.2114.6656.4MOn
15 May 202638.35 USD5.1%29.82 USD37.99 USD0.6824.5741.4MOn
8 May 202636.49 USD-8.5%29.25 USD38.02 USD0.9419.0160.9MOn
1 May 202639.88 USD4.2%28.70 USD38.07 USD1.4033.1457.3MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.