- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
PEP
NASDAQ
Week ended 31 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
PepsiCo Inc · Consumer Defensive · Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
Latest close
139.6 USD
2.1%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 18.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.1%, after a -3.2% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. Options positioning is bullish with 35/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 68d.
Setup score
38
out of 100
Latest Close
139.6 USD
31 Jul 2026
1W Return
2.1%
latest completed week
4W Return
-3.2%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-8.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
69.2%
36 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.1x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.1%
Latest completed week; four-week move -3.2%.
Indicator stack
38/27
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Bullish
35/100 conviction; expected move 3.3%.
News sentiment
49/100
52 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
68d
Next report is scheduled for 08 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -6.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 18.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.1%, after a -3.2% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.1x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
31 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1412-week average 0.42
12-week confirmation
Trend active2/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -3.2% over four weeks, -8.8% over 12 weeks, and 4.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year36
Trend breadth69.2%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.07Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-43.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-12.94Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change10.2%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks strongly versus its universe; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 30 Jun 2026
Field coverage 100%
Model confidence 100%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength31/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 70; rank 1 is best.
Value26/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 75; rank 1 is best.
Quality86/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 15; rank 1 is best.
Momentum27/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 74; rank 1 is best.
Growth29/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework62/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 17.8x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 12.3x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 7.7% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 54.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 14.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 18.2% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 17.5% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- 0.4% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- 50.2% Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -14.2% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 5/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 4.2% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.5% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 4.7% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 2.3x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningBullish
PEP shows bullish options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.66, expected move of 3.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction35/100
Expected move3.3%
Put/call volume0.66
Insider activity11 / 0
11 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.
9 positive · 33 neutral · 10 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings68dNext report is scheduled for 08 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move3.3%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-16.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.2%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
6 Feb
6 Mar
3 Apr
1 May
29 May
26 Jun
31 Jul
Weeks higher12 of 2614 weeks finished lower.
Best week+11.0%Week of 6 Feb.
Worst week-6.2%Week of 20 Mar.
Latest week+2.1%Week of 31 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains1
Modest gains11
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses4
Recent vol2.2%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.1%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split23/29Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -1.9%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Defensive
4-week rank79 / 100
Group average0.5%
Trend breadth49.0%
Trend49.0%active weekly trend signals
MD56.0%positive activity pressure
RS33.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
4-week rank10 / 16
Group average-3.1%
Trend breadth56.3%
Trend56.2%active weekly trend signals
MD43.8%positive activity pressure
RS43.8%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape38/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 38/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis15/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 2/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.14; No reversal markers Factors42/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 36 SVQF62/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 278.0 of 726 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options51/100PEP shows bullish options pressure with a 35/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.66, expected move of 3.3%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Bullish · Call-side pressure · Expected move 3.3% Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 52 relevant articles.
Groupe la Francaise Invests $4.23 Million in PepsiCo, Inc. $PEP Insiders11 / 011 acquisitions and 0 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings68dNext report is scheduled for 08 Oct 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Research flow1 items0 recent research articles and 1 Market Watch posts are available.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul 2026 | 139.6 USD | 2.1% | 149.2 USD | 148.3 USD | -1.07 | -12.94 | 44.2M | Off |
| 24 Jul 2026 | 136.6 USD | -0.4% | 149.2 USD | 148.5 USD | -1.00 | -14.57 | 38.7M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 137.1 USD | -0.2% | 149.4 USD | 148.7 USD | -0.89 | -15.95 | 39.7M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 137.4 USD | -4.7% | 149.6 USD | 148.9 USD | -0.80 | -19.61 | 55.1M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 144.2 USD | 2.0% | 150.0 USD | 149.1 USD | -0.75 | -14.40 | 46.6M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 141.4 USD | -0.4% | 149.9 USD | 149.2 USD | -0.82 | -15.58 | 43.3M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 142.0 USD | -1.6% | 150.0 USD | 149.4 USD | -0.85 | -19.22 | 47.6M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 144.3 USD | 1.7% | 150.0 USD | 149.6 USD | -0.77 | -16.05 | 45.9M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 141.9 USD | -0.5% | 149.9 USD | 149.7 USD | -0.83 | -15.78 | 43.5M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 142.7 USD | -4.2% | 149.8 USD | 149.9 USD | -0.81 | -19.36 | 36.9M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 149.0 USD | 1.0% | 149.8 USD | 150.0 USD | -0.68 | -13.68 | 39.8M | On |
| 15 May 2026 | 147.6 USD | -3.6% | 149.7 USD | 150.1 USD | -0.64 | -13.72 | 31.4M | On |
| 8 May 2026 | 153.0 USD | -1.8% | 149.7 USD | 150.2 USD | -0.36 | -11.06 | 26.2M | On |
| 1 May 2026 | 155.8 USD | 1.3% | 149.5 USD | 150.4 USD | -0.20 | -4.77 | 24.8M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.