M NYSE Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Macy’s Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Department Stores

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Latest close 23.38 USD
-1.3% latest week
Weekly setup

Mixed setup

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.3%, after a -9.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 46/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 59/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 34d.

Setup score 49 out of 100
Latest Close 23.38 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -1.3% latest completed week
4W Return -9.9% short-term follow-through
12W Return 19.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 59.6% 31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.8x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 4-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • 2 reversal markers appear in the recent smart-money tape.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -1.3% Latest completed week; four-week move -9.9%. Indicator stack 47/52 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. Options pressure Volatility 46/100 conviction; expected move 8.0%. News sentiment 59/100 5 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 34d Next report is scheduled for 02 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 12.0% above the Trend Line and sits at 81.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.3%, after a -9.9% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.8x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.7812-week average 0.48

12-week confirmation

Trend active4/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure8/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership11/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.78Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers22 reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. 2 reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -9.9% over four weeks, 19.7% over 12 weeks, and 85.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 4 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-1.3%
4W-9.9%
12W19.7%
26W17.3%
52W85.5%
Active trend streak4 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.42Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-63.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership11.35Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-61.5%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Jan 2026 Field coverage 100% Model confidence 100%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength99/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 2; rank 1 is best.
Value97/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 4; rank 1 is best.
Quality75/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 26; rank 1 is best.
Momentum94/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 7; rank 1 is best.
Growth28/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 73; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Value-quality framework75/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
9.2x
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
0.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
5.1x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
20.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
36.5%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
4.6%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
9.1%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
9.3%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-0.3%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
19.5%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
14.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
3.2%
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
3.3%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
6.5%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
2.0x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Options positioningVolatility

M shows volatility options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.54, expected move of 8.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Conviction46/100
Expected move8.0%
Put/call volume0.54
Pressure30
Speculation41
Volatility75
Trend agreement66
Open options detail
Insider activity12 / 8

12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.

3 positive · 2 neutral · 0 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings34dNext report is scheduled for 02 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move8.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-10.4%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+14.5%Week of 12 Jun.
Worst week-11.7%Week of 27 Feb.
Latest week-1.3%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains8
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses6
Sharp losses7
Recent vol6.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol7.2%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.1% / -4.4%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape50/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 50/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis58/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 4/12, activity pressure 8/12, relative leadership 11/12.

Activity pressure 0.78; 2 reversal markers Factors90/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 17; Small Cap Core rank 3 SVQF75/100

Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.

Composite rank 255.0 of 1013 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Options53/100

M shows volatility options pressure with a 46/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.54, expected move of 8.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal active.

Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 8.0% Sentiment59/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 5 relevant articles.

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Macy's, Inc. (NYSE:M)? Insiders12 / 8

12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

 Earnings34d

Next report is scheduled for 02 Sep 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202623.38 USD-1.3%20.88 USD16.02 USD0.4211.3521.7MOn
17 Jul 202623.68 USD4.6%20.84 USD15.96 USD0.6813.0024.0MOn
10 Jul 202622.64 USD-2.6%20.83 USD15.90 USD0.817.3522.3MOn
3 Jul 202623.25 USD-10.4%20.86 USD15.85 USD1.0412.5523.2MOn
26 Jun 202625.96 USD7.5%20.82 USD15.79 USD1.1629.4432.4MOff
19 Jun 202624.14 USD-4.1%20.68 USD15.71 USD0.9218.9728.3MOff
12 Jun 202625.17 USD14.5%20.53 USD15.64 USD0.7126.5037.0MOff
5 Jun 202621.99 USD1.8%20.34 USD15.57 USD0.2012.3854.1MOff
29 May 202621.59 USD5.3%20.27 USD15.51 USD-0.178.3925.9MOff
22 May 202620.50 USD12.2%20.18 USD15.46 USD-0.385.1132.9MOff
15 May 202618.27 USD-5.5%20.11 USD15.41 USD-0.57-4.9429.7MOff
8 May 202619.33 USD-1.1%20.08 USD15.38 USD-0.651.1721.4MOff
1 May 202619.54 USD-2.0%19.97 USD15.34 USD-0.825.1821.3MOff
24 Apr 202619.95 USD2.9%19.91 USD15.30 USD-1.048.9321.0MOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.