- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
BABA80
SET
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Alibaba Group Holding Limited · Consumer Cyclical · Internet Retail
Latest close
4.72 THB
-1.7%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 23.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.7%, after a 23.6% four-week move. The latest news-sentiment score is 56/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal.
Setup score
31
out of 100
Latest Close
4.72 THB
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
-1.7%
latest completed week
4W Return
23.6%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-11.0%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
26.9%
14 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.9x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-1.7%
Latest completed week; four-week move 23.6%.
Indicator stack
15/46
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 42.97%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
56/100
17 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 23.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -1.7%, after a 23.6% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.9x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0212-week average 0.05
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.02Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 23.6% over four weeks, -11.0% over 12 weeks, and -2.5% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year14
Trend breadth26.9%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.44Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change53.3%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-30.94Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change25.7%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
A published fundamentals and factor snapshot is not available for this company.
No published fundamental snapshot is available for this company.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment56/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
6 positive · 11 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-39.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility7.5%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher8 of 2617 weeks finished lower.
Best week+17.0%Week of 10 Jul.
Worst week-13.6%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-1.7%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains4
Modest gains4
Flat weeks1
Modest losses9
Sharp losses8
Recent vol7.5%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol6.5%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split19/30Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.9% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorTH Consumer Cyclical
4-week rank3 / 100
Group average3.4%
Trend breadth55.0%
Trend55.0%active weekly trend signals
MD76.0%positive activity pressure
RS13.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryTH Internet Retail
4-week rank2 / 6
Group average13.6%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD16.7%positive activity pressure
RS0.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape21/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 21/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.02; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 42.97%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 42.97% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors50/100No published factor snapshot is available yet.
Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment56/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 17 relevant articles.
Alibaba's AI Bet Is Powering a Rival Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 4.72 THB | -1.7% | 5.36 THB | 5.50 THB | -0.44 | -30.94 | 48.2M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 4.80 THB | 2.6% | 5.40 THB | 5.51 THB | -0.59 | -29.92 | 82.0M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 4.68 THB | 17.0% | 5.43 THB | 5.52 THB | -0.84 | -31.27 | 123.7M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 4.00 THB | 4.7% | 5.49 THB | 5.54 THB | -1.00 | -41.15 | 106.9M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 3.82 THB | -13.6% | 5.56 THB | 5.56 THB | -0.95 | -41.65 | 104.0M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 4.42 THB | -4.7% | 5.65 THB | 5.59 THB | -0.81 | -34.34 | 3.5M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 4.64 THB | -8.3% | 5.70 THB | 5.61 THB | -0.59 | -32.39 | 5.5M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 5.06 THB | 1.0% | 5.76 THB | 5.63 THB | -0.36 | -26.25 | 4.8M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 5.01 THB | -2.9% | 5.82 THB | 5.64 THB | -0.32 | -26.66 | 39.1M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 5.16 THB | -4.6% | 5.88 THB | 5.65 THB | -0.57 | -23.32 | 41.3M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 5.40 THB | -6.0% | 5.95 THB | 5.66 THB | -0.86 | -18.82 | 48.9M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 5.75 THB | 8.4% | 5.98 THB | 5.66 THB | -1.12 | -12.91 | 38.3M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 5.30 THB | -1.8% | 6.02 THB | 5.66 THB | -1.39 | -19.47 | 15.3M | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 5.40 THB | -0.9% | 6.10 THB | 5.67 THB | -1.42 | -16.12 | 29.3M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.