- Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
- Volume is elevated versus the 13-week average, confirming attention.
- Next-week expectancy is positive at 55.75% based on similar historical setup states.
NTH
GER
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Northrop Grumman Corporation · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense
Latest close
474.6 EUR
2.0%
latest week
Weekly setup
Mixed setup
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a 7.1% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 55/100.
Setup score
50
out of 100
Latest Close
474.6 EUR
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
2.0%
latest completed week
4W Return
7.1%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-2.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
73.1%
38 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
2.5x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
2.0%
Latest completed week; four-week move 7.1%.
Indicator stack
40/44
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Positive 55.75%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
News sentiment
55/100
13 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -10.7% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.4% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 2.0%, after a 7.1% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 2.5x the 13-week average. Participation is unusually strong and confirms that the move is attracting attention.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.0512-week average 0.24
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.05Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is 7.1% over four weeks, -2.6% over 12 weeks, and 0.1% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year38
Trend breadth73.1%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-0.54Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change52.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-10.98Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change28.4%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026
Field coverage 88%
Model confidence 88%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength18/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 83; rank 1 is best.
Value33/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 68; rank 1 is best.
Quality41/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 60; rank 1 is best.
Momentum36/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 65; rank 1 is best.
Growth42/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 59; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework49/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 15.0x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 1.6x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 10.9x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 4.5% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 20.1% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 10.7% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 8.5% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 10.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 6/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 1.7% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 1.2% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 2.9% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 1.9x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Insider activity-
No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.
News sentiment55/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.
4 positive · 9 neutral · 0 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings-No event is currently stored.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-28.9%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility2.9%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher13 of 2613 weeks finished lower.
Best week+7.2%Week of 3 Jul.
Worst week-13.9%Week of 24 Apr.
Latest week+2.0%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains10
Flat weeks0
Modest losses8
Sharp losses5
Recent vol2.9%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol3.8%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split28/24Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew2.7% / -3.0%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorDE Industrials
4-week rank18 / 100
Group average-1.0%
Trend breadth51.0%
Trend51.0%active weekly trend signals
MD54.0%positive activity pressure
RS54.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryDE Aerospace & Defense
4-week rank2 / 15
Group average-0.6%
Trend breadth33.3%
Trend33.3%active weekly trend signals
MD53.3%positive activity pressure
RS53.3%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape47/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 47/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis9/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.05; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyPositive 55.75%Next-week expectancy is positive with a 55.75% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors30/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 27; Small Cap Core rank 68 SVQF49/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 192.0 of 372 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Sentiment55/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 13 relevant articles.
German American Bancorp Inc. Purchases 5,054 Shares of Northrop Grumman Corporation $NOC Insiders50/100No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.
Earnings50/100No stored earnings event is currently attached to this ticker.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 474.6 EUR | 2.0% | 531.2 EUR | 453.1 EUR | -0.54 | -10.98 | 751 | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 465.5 EUR | -0.5% | 531.7 EUR | 452.5 EUR | -0.83 | -11.80 | 55 | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 467.7 EUR | -1.6% | 532.1 EUR | 452.0 EUR | -0.93 | -12.17 | 337 | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 475.2 EUR | 7.2% | 532.5 EUR | 451.4 EUR | -1.01 | -13.15 | 552 | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 443.2 EUR | -4.1% | 532.2 EUR | 450.9 EUR | -1.13 | -15.33 | 251 | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 462.0 EUR | -2.8% | 533.8 EUR | 450.6 EUR | -1.12 | -12.79 | 1 | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 475.2 EUR | 0.0% | 534.7 EUR | 450.2 EUR | -1.11 | -9.00 | 84 | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 475.0 EUR | 0.8% | 534.6 EUR | 449.7 EUR | -1.13 | -9.43 | 72 | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 471.2 EUR | -0.5% | 534.9 EUR | 449.2 EUR | -1.14 | -11.23 | 357 | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 473.5 EUR | 1.8% | 535.8 EUR | 448.7 EUR | -1.17 | -9.86 | 250 | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 465.4 EUR | 0.5% | 536.9 EUR | 448.1 EUR | -1.11 | -7.79 | 444 | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 463.0 EUR | -5.0% | 538.1 EUR | 447.6 EUR | -1.00 | -9.55 | 708 | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 487.4 EUR | 0.4% | 540.6 EUR | 447.1 EUR | -0.79 | -4.48 | 92 | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 485.6 EUR | -13.9% | 541.4 EUR | 446.4 EUR | -0.40 | -4.02 | 1.8K | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.