- Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
FLO
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Flowers Foods Inc · Consumer Defensive · Packaged Foods
Latest close
7.74 USD
-8.8%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 11.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.8%, after a -2.9% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 48/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 15d.
Setup score
25
out of 100
Latest Close
7.74 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
-8.8%
latest completed week
4W Return
-2.9%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-9.8%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
0.0%
0 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
0.6x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-8.8%
Latest completed week; four-week move -2.9%.
Indicator stack
0/67
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Recent
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Options pressure
Volatility
48/100 conviction; expected move 10.0%.
News sentiment
50/100
68 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
15d
Next report is scheduled for 14 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -11.9% below the Trend Line and sits at 11.9% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -8.8%, after a -2.9% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 0.6x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.1412-week average 0.10
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure7/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.14Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals1Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -2.9% over four weeks, -9.8% over 12 weeks, and -48.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year0
Trend breadth0.0%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.80Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change38.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-30.37Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change4.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 91%
Model confidence 87%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength51/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 50; rank 1 is best.
Value83/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Quality25/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 76; rank 1 is best.
Momentum6/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 95; rank 1 is best.
Growth17/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 84; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Value-quality framework35/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- 22.5x Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.3x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 10.5x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 14.9% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 48.0% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- 3.4% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 10.4% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- 3.8% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- - Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- - Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 11.2% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 0.2% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 11.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- 5.8x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
FLO shows volatility options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.08, expected move of 10.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction48/100
Expected move10.0%
Put/call volume0.08
Insider activity12 / 8
12 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment50/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 68 relevant articles.
14 positive · 44 neutral · 10 negativePatient CapitalRecent
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings15dNext report is scheduled for 14 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move10.0%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-50.1%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility6.6%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher10 of 2616 weeks finished lower.
Best week+10.6%Week of 22 May.
Worst week-14.9%Week of 15 May.
Latest week-8.8%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains5
Modest gains5
Flat weeks0
Modest losses11
Sharp losses5
Recent vol6.6%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol4.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split21/31Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew3.1% / -4.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Consumer Defensive
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-0.3%
Trend breadth49.0%
Trend49.0%active weekly trend signals
MD58.0%positive activity pressure
RS33.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Packaged Foods
4-week rank34 / 58
Group average-4.1%
Trend breadth34.5%
Trend34.5%active weekly trend signals
MD53.4%positive activity pressure
RS22.4%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape24/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 24/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis23/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 7/12, relative leadership 0/12.
Activity pressure 0.14; No reversal markers Factors41/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 39; Small Cap Core rank 9 SVQF35/100Value and quality alignment from the Sharemaestro SVQF framework.
Composite rank 663.5 of 1013 Patient CapitalRecentActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
Recent buy signal in the last 8 weeks Options34/100FLO shows volatility options pressure with a 48/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 0.08, expected move of 10.0%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 10.0% Sentiment50/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 68 relevant articles.
Flowers Foods: Dividend Finally Cut, But Still Not A Buy (NYSE:FLO) Insiders12 / 812 acquisitions and 8 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings15dNext report is scheduled for 14 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 7.74 USD | -8.8% | 8.79 USD | 15.85 USD | 0.80 | -30.37 | 21.8M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 8.49 USD | 1.8% | 8.88 USD | 15.93 USD | 1.02 | -25.34 | 19.1M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 8.34 USD | -3.4% | 8.94 USD | 16.01 USD | 0.98 | -28.82 | 27.2M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 8.63 USD | 8.3% | 9.01 USD | 16.09 USD | 0.90 | -26.48 | 36.1M | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 7.97 USD | 2.4% | 9.07 USD | 16.16 USD | 0.57 | -31.66 | 57.8M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 7.78 USD | -0.1% | 9.14 USD | 16.25 USD | 0.21 | -35.90 | 31.0M | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 7.79 USD | 5.8% | 9.21 USD | 16.33 USD | 0.07 | -36.31 | 32.2M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 7.36 USD | -2.1% | 9.31 USD | 16.41 USD | -0.21 | -40.47 | 33.7M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 7.52 USD | -3.8% | 9.44 USD | 16.50 USD | -0.23 | -41.78 | 34.8M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 7.81 USD | 10.6% | 9.56 USD | 16.59 USD | -0.24 | -39.73 | 67.8M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 7.07 USD | -14.9% | 9.69 USD | 16.68 USD | -0.37 | -45.96 | 82.7M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 8.31 USD | -3.2% | 9.85 USD | 16.77 USD | -0.36 | -37.51 | 27.7M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 8.58 USD | -0.9% | 9.97 USD | 16.87 USD | -0.53 | -35.07 | 23.8M | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 8.66 USD | 3.4% | 10.09 USD | 16.97 USD | -0.71 | -34.99 | 21.1M | Off |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.