- No strong opportunity cluster is confirmed yet; monitor trend and activity pressure.
AMR
NYSE
Week ended 24 Jul 2026
Weekly Investor Report
Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc · Basic Materials · Coking Coal
Latest close
142.9 USD
-0.6%
latest week
Weekly setup
Weak trend
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -24.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.6%, after a -13.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers. Options positioning is volatility with 53/100 conviction, while the latest news-sentiment score is 49/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 8d.
Setup score
19
out of 100
Latest Close
142.9 USD
24 Jul 2026
1W Return
-0.6%
latest completed week
4W Return
-13.5%
short-term follow-through
12W Return
-21.6%
quarterly tape
Trend Breadth
59.6%
31 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio
1.0x
vs 13-week average
- The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
- Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
- Price is below Fair Value, so the market is still discounting the latest tape.
- Activity pressure is negative, which weakens the current setup.
- Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
- Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
- A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through
-0.6%
Latest completed week; four-week move -13.5%.
Indicator stack
33/7
Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window.
Trend backdrop
Active
The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime.
Patient Capital
Quiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing.
Next-Week Expectancy
Negative 37.96%
Historical one-week expectancy contributes to the evidence score when direction is confirmed.
Options pressure
Volatility
53/100 conviction; expected move 13.9%.
News sentiment
49/100
53 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read.
Event risk
8d
Next report is scheduled for 07 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action
Study the full chart
Where price is—and whether the trend supports it
The weekly trend is not active. Price is -24.5% below the Trend Line and sits at 21.3% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -0.6%, after a -13.5% four-week move.
52-week price path
Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price
Trend Line
Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand
Is real participation confirming the move?
Latest weekly volume is 1.0x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.
26-week volume confirmation
Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan
6 Feb
13 Feb
20 Feb
27 Feb
6 Mar
13 Mar
20 Mar
27 Mar
3 Apr
10 Apr
17 Apr
24 Apr
1 May
8 May
15 May
22 May
29 May
5 Jun
12 Jun
19 Jun
26 Jun
3 Jul
10 Jul
17 Jul
24 Jul
Up week
Down week
Demand beneath price
Activity pressure and institutional-style signals
These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.
Activity pressure path
Latest 0.2312-week average 0.30
12-week confirmation
Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure0/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership3/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.23Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers
No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.
03 · Momentum and leadership
Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?
Performance is -13.5% over four weeks, -21.6% over 12 weeks, and 6.4% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.
Performance by holding period
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year31
Trend breadth59.6%
Activity pressure vs relative leadership
Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure-1.27Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-256.7%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-25.54Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-100.0%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation
Open full factor analysis
What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it
The latest factor snapshot indicates quality ranks weakly versus its universe; growth ranks weakly; valuation is inexpensive relative to peers.
Factor week 26 Jul 2026
Financial statements through 31 Dec 2025
Field coverage 94%
Model confidence 90%
Relative factor standing
Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.
Overall factor strength57/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 44; rank 1 is best.
Value83/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Quality9/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 92; rank 1 is best.
Momentum35/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 66; rank 1 is best.
Growth14/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 87; rank 1 is best.
Quality and valuation are separate questions
A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.
Valuation
How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.
- P/E
- - Price divided by trailing earnings.
- Price / sales
- 0.9x Market value relative to trailing revenue.
- EV / EBITDA
- 11.1x Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
- Free-cash-flow yield
- 18.6% Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.
Business quality
Margins and the return generated on invested capital.
- Gross margin
- 1.7% Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
- Operating margin
- -2.6% Operating profit retained from revenue.
- Free-cash-flow margin
- 13.2% Free cash flow generated from revenue.
- Return on invested capital
- -3.4% Operating return generated on invested capital.
Growth and financial strength
Recent business growth and accounting strength.
- Revenue growth
- -19.1% Latest one-year revenue growth.
- EPS growth
- - Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
- Free-cash-flow growth
- -51.5% Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
- Piotroski F-score
- 4/9 Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.
Shareholder return and balance sheet
Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.
- Dividend yield
- 0.0% Cash dividends relative to market value.
- Buyback yield
- 3.5% Net share repurchases relative to market value.
- Shareholder yield
- 3.5% Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
- Net debt / EBITDA
- -2.2x Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment
What other market participants are doing
Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.
Options positioningVolatility
AMR shows volatility options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.41, expected move of 13.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Conviction53/100
Expected move13.9%
Put/call volume2.41
Insider activity15 / 5
15 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.News sentiment49/100
Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.
8 positive · 34 neutral · 11 negativePatient CapitalQuiet
Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk
What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been
Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.
Next earnings8dNext report is scheduled for 07 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move13.9%Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-43.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.
Weekly gains and losses
Latest 26 completed weeksEach bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.
30 Jan
27 Feb
27 Mar
24 Apr
22 May
19 Jun
24 Jul
Weeks higher7 of 2619 weeks finished lower.
Best week+15.3%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-11.0%Week of 26 Jun.
Latest week-0.6%Week of 24 Jul.
Shape of recent returns
Strong gains3
Modest gains4
Flat weeks0
Modest losses10
Sharp losses9
Recent vol5.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.3%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split18/34Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew9.3% / -4.2%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context
Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?
Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.
SectorUS Basic Materials
4-week rank- / 100
Group average-3.2%
Trend breadth28.0%
Trend28.0%active weekly trend signals
MD26.0%positive activity pressure
RS37.0%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
IndustryUS Coking Coal
4-week rank4 / 6
Group average-9.7%
Trend breadth16.7%
Trend16.7%active weekly trend signals
MD16.7%positive activity pressure
RS16.7%positive relative leadership
Four-week leaders
08 · Evidence and weekly data
The underlying research record
Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.
Weekly tape22/100
Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 22/100 tape read.
Indicator analysis17/100Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 0/12, relative leadership 3/12.
Activity pressure 0.23; No reversal markers Next-Week ExpectancyNegative 37.96%Next-week expectancy is negative with a 37.96% historical one-week setup read.
Adds short-term historical context without overriding trend, activity, or relative leadership. Factors45/100O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.
Buyback Yield rank 16; Small Cap Core rank 25 Patient CapitalQuietActivity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.
No recent buy signal Options62/100AMR shows volatility options pressure with a 53/100 conviction score, put-call volume ratio of 2.41, expected move of 13.9%, and Sharemaestro trend signal inactive.
Volatility · Volatility expansion watch · Expected move 13.9% Sentiment49/100Weighted news tone is neutral across 53 relevant articles.
Diluted earnings per share (diluted EPS) of AMR Resources Acquisition Corp – NASDAQ:AMACU Insiders15 / 515 acquisitions and 5 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.
Earnings8dNext report is scheduled for 07 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
| Week | Close | Return | Trend Line | Fair Value | Pressure | Leadership | Volume | Trend |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jul 2026 | 142.9 USD | -0.6% | 189.3 USD | 216.2 USD | -1.27 | -25.54 | 1.2M | Off |
| 17 Jul 2026 | 143.8 USD | -2.0% | 191.4 USD | 216.3 USD | -1.21 | -25.64 | 1.0M | Off |
| 10 Jul 2026 | 146.7 USD | -8.3% | 193.5 USD | 216.5 USD | -1.07 | -25.35 | 1.3M | Off |
| 3 Jul 2026 | 160.0 USD | -3.2% | 194.8 USD | 216.5 USD | -0.76 | -17.49 | 799.4K | Off |
| 26 Jun 2026 | 165.2 USD | -11.0% | 195.4 USD | 216.5 USD | -0.36 | -12.77 | 1.4M | Off |
| 19 Jun 2026 | 185.8 USD | -7.5% | 195.2 USD | 216.5 USD | -0.11 | -3.89 | 966.7K | Off |
| 12 Jun 2026 | 200.8 USD | -0.8% | 194.3 USD | 216.4 USD | -0.15 | 5.39 | 1.2M | Off |
| 5 Jun 2026 | 202.4 USD | 1.7% | 192.9 USD | 216.1 USD | -0.41 | 7.46 | 1.3M | Off |
| 29 May 2026 | 199.0 USD | 13.5% | 191.8 USD | 215.7 USD | -0.68 | 3.69 | 1.6M | Off |
| 22 May 2026 | 175.3 USD | -2.4% | 190.9 USD | 215.4 USD | -0.97 | -6.82 | 1.2M | Off |
| 15 May 2026 | 179.7 USD | -2.4% | 190.6 USD | 215.1 USD | -0.93 | -3.41 | 1.4M | Off |
| 8 May 2026 | 184.1 USD | 1.0% | 189.7 USD | 214.9 USD | -0.93 | -0.60 | 1.2M | Off |
| 1 May 2026 | 182.4 USD | -2.6% | 188.9 USD | 214.7 USD | -0.86 | 1.14 | 1.0M | Off |
| 24 Apr 2026 | 187.2 USD | -2.3% | 188.5 USD | 214.5 USD | -0.72 | 5.02 | 1.4M | On |
How to use this report
This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.