OPXS NASDAQ Week ended 24 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Optex Systems Holdings, Inc. Common Stock · Industrials · Aerospace & Defense

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Latest close 11.10 USD
-13.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Weak trend

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -13.0%, after a -13.3% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive. The latest news-sentiment score is 53/100. Near-term considerations: earnings are due in 13d.

Setup score 30 out of 100
Latest Close 11.10 USD 24 Jul 2026
1W Return -13.0% latest completed week
4W Return -13.3% short-term follow-through
12W Return 0.7% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 57.7% 30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 1.3x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • The trend backdrop is inactive, so price action has not confirmed a constructive regime.
  • Price is below the Trend Line, which keeps downside pressure in focus.
  • Activity pressure is weak, so confirmation is not yet broad enough.
  • The share remains more than 20% below its 52-week high.
What to watch next
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
Price follow-through -13.0% Latest completed week; four-week move -13.3%. Indicator stack 32/59 Trend and activity pressure are weighted against the latest 12-week confirmation window. Trend backdrop Active The trend backdrop defines the current weekly regime. Patient Capital Quiet Activity-pressure buy-signal status for institutional accumulation timing. News sentiment 53/100 55 relevant articles in the latest sentiment read. Event risk 13d Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is not active. Price is -12.8% below the Trend Line and sits at 17.0% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned -13.0%, after a -13.3% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 1.3x the 13-week average. Participation is around or above normal and provides reasonable confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul 17 Jul 24 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.1512-week average 0.10

12-week confirmation

Trend active0/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure5/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership0/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.15Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is -13.3% over four weeks, 0.7% over 12 weeks, and -8.3% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 0 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W-13.0%
4W-13.3%
12W0.7%
26W-30.5%
52W-8.3%
Active trend streak0 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.43Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change13.4%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership-22.57Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change-51.1%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is neither clearly cheap nor expensive.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 30 Sep 2025 Field coverage 94% Model confidence 90%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength47/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 54; rank 1 is best.
Value48/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Quality46/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 55; rank 1 is best.
Momentum48/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
Growth48/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 53; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
-
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
-
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
-
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
29.3%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
12.4%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
1988.0%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
0.0%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
10.0%
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-15.7%
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
14051.9%
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
7/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
-455.3x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity-

No recent insider transactions are stored for this company.

News sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

13 positive · 37 neutral · 5 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings13dNext report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-37.5%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility5.7%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher14 of 2612 weeks finished lower.
Best week+9.4%Week of 27 Feb.
Worst week-19.3%Week of 20 Feb.
Latest week-13.0%Week of 24 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains7
Modest gains7
Flat weeks0
Modest losses5
Sharp losses7
Recent vol5.7%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol8.0%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split29/23Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew5.9% / -7.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

Weekly tape32/100

Trend, activity pressure, participation, and risk combine to a 32/100 tape read.

 Indicator analysis20/100

Latest 12-week confirmation: trend 0/12, activity pressure 5/12, relative leadership 0/12.

Activity pressure 0.15; No reversal markers Factors46/100

O'Shaughnessy factor stack blends value, quality, momentum, and confidence.

Buyback Yield rank 50; Small Cap Core rank 56 Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal Sentiment53/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 55 relevant articles.

Boeing Stock Rises Even as Earnings Are Weaker Than Expected Insiders50/100

No recent insider transaction evidence is stored.

 Earnings13d

Next report is scheduled for 11 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
24 Jul 202611.10 USD-13.0%12.73 USD8.93 USD0.43-22.57251.6KOff
17 Jul 202612.76 USD1.1%12.83 USD8.88 USD0.57-12.83105.1KOff
10 Jul 202612.62 USD-5.9%12.85 USD8.82 USD0.54-17.87144.1KOff
3 Jul 202613.41 USD4.8%12.94 USD8.77 USD0.62-11.41176.6KOff
26 Jun 202612.80 USD-1.6%12.97 USD8.70 USD0.38-14.93306.9KOff
19 Jun 202613.01 USD2.3%13.03 USD8.64 USD-0.04-17.6459.1KOff
12 Jun 202612.71 USD4.5%13.02 USD8.58 USD-0.48-17.57297.3KOff
5 Jun 202612.17 USD7.1%13.07 USD8.52 USD-0.91-19.25218.9KOff
29 May 202611.36 USD4.7%13.16 USD8.46 USD-1.25-28.07172.1KOff
22 May 202610.86 USD0.8%13.36 USD8.41 USD-1.46-29.35223.4KOff
15 May 202610.77 USD5.6%13.57 USD8.36 USD-1.51-29.13345.5KOff
8 May 202610.20 USD-7.4%13.73 USD8.31 USD-1.58-33.16123.8KOff
1 May 202611.02 USD3.9%13.86 USD8.26 USD-1.48-23.78134.7KOff
24 Apr 202610.61 USD-7.6%13.92 USD8.21 USD-1.32-25.29186.4KOff
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.