OLPX NASDAQ Week ended 10 Jul 2026

Weekly Investor Report

Olaplex Holdings Inc · Consumer Cyclical · Specialty Retail

Latest close 2.07 USD
0.0% latest week
Weekly setup

Constructive, but selective

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 1.5% four-week move. The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers. The latest news-sentiment score is 50/100. Near-term considerations: price is close to its 52-week high; volume confirmation is below normal; earnings are due in 5d.

Setup score 62 out of 100
Latest Close 2.07 USD 10 Jul 2026
1W Return 0.0% latest completed week
4W Return 1.5% short-term follow-through
12W Return 2.0% quarterly tape
Trend Breadth 57.7% 30 of 52 weeks active
Volume Ratio 0.5x vs 13-week average
What is working
  • The trend backdrop is active with a 24-week active streak.
  • Price is above the Trend Line, keeping the weekly tape constructive.
  • Price is above Fair Value, showing premium demand versus the model.
  • Activity pressure is positive on the latest completed week.
What could go wrong
  • Next-week expectancy is negative at 43.59% based on similar historical setup states.
What to watch next
  • Price is close to its 52-week high; watch for continuation or exhaustion.
  • Trend Line remains the key weekly regime level.
  • Activity pressure is the gauge to monitor for confirmation or fade.
  • A volume ratio above 1.5x would show stronger participation in the next move.
01 · Price action

Where price is—and whether the trend supports it

The weekly trend is active. Price is 16.6% above the Trend Line and sits at 98.6% of its 52-week range. The latest completed week returned 0.0%, after a 1.5% four-week move.

Study the full chart

52-week price path

Price vs Trend Line and Fair Value
Price Trend Line Fair Value
02 · Volume and demand

Is real participation confirming the move?

Latest weekly volume is 0.5x the 13-week average. Participation is below its recent norm, so price strength is not receiving full volume confirmation.

26-week volume confirmation

Bar height shows volume; colour shows the weekly price direction
16 Jan 23 Jan 30 Jan 6 Feb 13 Feb 20 Feb 27 Feb 6 Mar 13 Mar 20 Mar 27 Mar 3 Apr 10 Apr 17 Apr 24 Apr 1 May 8 May 15 May 22 May 29 May 5 Jun 12 Jun 19 Jun 26 Jun 3 Jul 10 Jul
Up week Down week
Demand beneath price

Activity pressure and institutional-style signals

These indicators assess whether participation is improving beneath the headline price move. They are supporting evidence, not proof of institutional buying.

Activity pressure path

Latest 0.9512-week average 0.86

12-week confirmation

Trend active12/12Active trend-backdrop weeks in the latest 12-week window.
Positive pressure12/12Weeks with constructive activity pressure in the latest 12-week window.
Positive leadership12/12Weeks with positive relative leadership in the latest 12-week window.
Activity pressure0.95Current proprietary activity-pressure read.
Buy signals0Accumulation signal count in the latest 12 weeks.
Reversal markers0No reversal markers

No recent accumulation markers. No reversal markers.

03 · Momentum and leadership

Is performance persistent—and is the stock leading?

Performance is 1.5% over four weeks, 2.0% over 12 weeks, and 43.7% over one year. The current trend has remained active for 24 consecutive weeks.

Performance by holding period

1W0.0%
4W1.5%
12W2.0%
26W22.5%
52W43.7%
Active trend streak24 weeks
Active weeks in one year30
Trend breadth57.7%

Activity pressure vs relative leadership

Activity pressureRelative leadership
Pressure0.35Latest activity-pressure read.
Pressure change-55.6%Four-week change in activity pressure.
Leadership14.39Latest relative-leadership reading.
RS change3.3%Four-week change in relative leadership.
04 · Fundamentals and valuation

What investors are paying for—and the quality behind it

The latest factor snapshot indicates quality is middle-of-the-pack; growth is moderate; valuation is expensive relative to peers.

Open full factor analysis
Factor week 26 Jul 2026 Financial statements through 31 Mar 2026 Field coverage 82% Model confidence 78%

Relative factor standing

Higher display scores are better. Each score is converted from the underlying universe rank, where rank 1 is best.

Overall factor strength20/100Blend of value, momentum, and quality. Underlying universe rank 81; rank 1 is best.
Value15/100Relative valuation strength. Underlying universe rank 86; rank 1 is best.
Quality29/100Profitability and accounting quality. Underlying universe rank 72; rank 1 is best.
Momentum83/100Medium-term price momentum. Underlying universe rank 18; rank 1 is best.
Growth37/100Revenue and earnings growth. Underlying universe rank 64; rank 1 is best.
How to read this

Quality and valuation are separate questions

A strong company can still carry a demanding valuation. This report shows profitability, growth, balance-sheet strength, and the price paid for those characteristics separately.

Valuation

How much investors are paying for earnings, sales, and cash flow.

P/E
-
Price divided by trailing earnings.
Price / sales
3.3x
Market value relative to trailing revenue.
EV / EBITDA
19.7x
Enterprise value relative to operating cash earnings.
Free-cash-flow yield
4.8%
Free cash flow as a share of enterprise value.

Business quality

Margins and the return generated on invested capital.

Gross margin
70.0%
Gross profit retained from each unit of revenue.
Operating margin
1.3%
Operating profit retained from revenue.
Free-cash-flow margin
15.9%
Free cash flow generated from revenue.
Return on invested capital
0.5%
Operating return generated on invested capital.

Growth and financial strength

Recent business growth and accounting strength.

Revenue growth
-
Latest one-year revenue growth.
EPS growth
-
Latest one-year earnings-per-share growth.
Free-cash-flow growth
-
Latest one-year free-cash-flow growth.
Piotroski F-score
5/9
Nine-point accounting-strength checklist.

Shareholder return and balance sheet

Cash returned to owners and financial leverage.

Dividend yield
-
Cash dividends relative to market value.
Buyback yield
-0.0%
Net share repurchases relative to market value.
Shareholder yield
-0.0%
Dividend yield plus net buyback yield.
Net debt / EBITDA
0.4x
Balance-sheet debt relative to operating cash earnings.
05 · Ownership, options, and sentiment

What other market participants are doing

Options, insider transactions, market sentiment, and activity-pressure signals can confirm or challenge the price story. None should be used alone.

Insider activity0 / 20

0 acquisitions and 20 disposals in the latest 180-day insider tape.

Acquisitions / disposals over the latest 180 days. Insider activity is context, not a stand-alone signal.
News sentiment50/100

Weighted news tone is neutral across 63 relevant articles.

10 positive · 46 neutral · 7 negative
Patient CapitalQuiet

Activity-pressure buy-signal evidence highlights potential institutional accumulation windows.

No recent buy signal
06 · Catalysts and risk

What can move the shares—and how volatile the path has been

Event timing, options-implied movement, drawdown, and weekly return distribution frame the risk around the current setup.

Next earnings5dNext report is scheduled for 06 Aug 2026; event risk rises as the date approaches.
Options expected move-Nearest-chain priced movement where available.
52-week drawdown-0.7%Distance below the 52-week high.
13-week volatility0.4%Standard deviation of weekly returns.

Weekly gains and losses

Latest 26 completed weeks

Each bar is one week. Gains rise above the zero line; losses fall below it. Taller bars mean a larger weekly move.

Weeks higher13 of 2610 weeks finished lower.
Best week+51.9%Week of 27 Mar.
Worst week-16.5%Week of 6 Mar.
Latest week+0.0%Week of 10 Jul.

Shape of recent returns

Strong gains4
Modest gains9
Flat weeks3
Modest losses6
Sharp losses4
Recent vol0.4%13-week weekly-return volatility.
Base vol9.7%52-week weekly-return volatility.
Up/down split25/22Count of positive and negative weeks in the 52-week window.
Average skew6.8% / -5.1%Average positive week versus average negative week.
07 · Sector and peer context

Is this stock leading—or simply moving with its group?

Sector and industry breadth distinguish company-specific strength from a broad group move.

08 · Evidence and weekly data

The underlying research record

Every top-level statement above should be traceable to a stored market, fundamental, event, or positioning observation.

WeekCloseReturnTrend LineFair ValuePressureLeadershipVolumeTrend
10 Jul 20262.07 USD0.0%1.78 USD1.77 USD0.3514.3913.1MOn
3 Jul 20262.07 USD0.5%1.75 USD1.78 USD0.6316.6889.4MOn
26 Jun 20262.06 USD0.5%1.72 USD1.80 USD0.7217.1731.9MOn
19 Jun 20262.05 USD0.5%1.69 USD1.81 USD0.7611.5030.5MOn
12 Jun 20262.04 USD0.0%1.66 USD1.82 USD0.7913.9322.2MOn
5 Jun 20262.04 USD0.0%1.63 USD1.83 USD0.8216.9422.0MOn
29 May 20262.04 USD-0.5%1.59 USD1.84 USD0.8412.0420.2MOn
22 May 20262.05 USD1.0%1.56 USD1.85 USD0.8816.0420.4MOn
15 May 20262.03 USD-0.2%1.53 USD1.85 USD0.8616.7720.0MOn
8 May 20262.04 USD0.2%1.50 USD1.86 USD0.8617.0210.6MOn
1 May 20262.03 USD-0.5%1.47 USD1.87 USD0.8823.4010.6MOn
24 Apr 20262.04 USD0.5%1.45 USD1.88 USD0.8926.1212.5MOn
17 Apr 20262.03 USD0.5%1.43 USD1.89 USD0.9228.5928.6MOn
10 Apr 20262.02 USD-0.5%1.41 USD1.91 USD0.6536.2627.2MOn
How to use this report

This is a completed-week research summary. It explains the available evidence and its conflicts; it does not predict a guaranteed outcome or replace your own risk assessment. Fundamental figures may refer to an earlier financial reporting period, which is shown above.