Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 1-30 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ABLV NASDAQ · Able View Global Inc. Class B Ordinary Shares
12 Jun 20261.10
1.03
-6.36%
4
48.39
4.07%
9.75
ABVC NASDAQ · ABVC Biopharma Inc
18 Apr 20250.86
1.51
76.61%
4
65.71
3.66%
30.91
ACHC NASDAQ · Acadia Healthcare Company Inc
15 May 202625.81
31.28
21.19%
5
83.10
1.05%
3.19
ACRS NASDAQ · Aclaris Therapeutics Inc
31 Oct 20252.52
5.58
121.43%
8
32.15
4.84%
5.56
ACTG NASDAQ · Acacia Research Corporation
13 Feb 20264.01
4.42
10.22%
7
60.85
0.98%
2.74
ADNT NYSE · Adient PLC
1 Aug 202521.40
19.96
-6.73%
4
90.40
3.89%
9.73
ADV NASDAQ · Advantage Solutions Inc
5 Jun 202638.75
39.89
2.94%
4
89.18
2.82%
6.16
AERT NASDAQ · Aeries Technology Inc.
19 Jun 20267.22
6.96
-3.60%
4
42.54
4.36%
15.43
AESI NYSE · Atlas Energy Solutions Inc.
17 Apr 202613.29
14.39
8.28%
6
48.84
1.80%
2.59
AGL NYSE · agilon health Inc
29 May 202692.28
114.85
24.46%
4
89.13
40.13%
161.74
AIN NYSE · Albany International Corporation
5 Jun 202667.74
72.57
7.13%
8
91.83
2.26%
6.44
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3 Jul 20264.84
4.30
-11.07%
5
77.97
4.24%
3.81
ALB NYSE · Albemarle Corp
26 Sep 202587.40
126.05
44.22%
5
39.35
0.77%
0.68
ALGN NASDAQ · Align Technology Inc
27 Feb 2026190.10
179.45
-5.60%
5
85.89
0.43%
6.62
ALLO NASDAQ · Allogene Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.71
2.00
16.96%
7
50.24
2.34%
4.48
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
10 Jul 20269.92
9.92
New Entry week
4
47.92
1.23%
4.42
AMLX NASDAQ · Amylyx Pharmaceuticals Inc
4 Jul 20256.30
17.77
182.06%
5
47.68
1.96%
41.91
AMN NYSE · AMN Healthcare Services Inc
8 May 202628.97
32.37
11.74%
4
67.09
2.62%
32.60
AMRC NYSE · Ameresco Inc
5 Sep 202525.93
24.94
-3.82%
4
93.91
1.74%
12.36
AMRN NASDAQ · Amarin Corporation PLC
27 Jun 202515.71
14.88
-5.28%
4
74.06
3.72%
23.38
AMWL NYSE · American Well Corp
8 May 20267.97
9.91
24.34%
4
41.83
0.86%
16.91
ANIK NASDAQ · Anika Therapeutics Inc
27 Feb 202614.36
15.60
8.64%
4
65.94
1.32%
18.81
ANTX NASDAQ · AN2 Therapeutics Inc
27 Mar 20263.66
4.50
22.95%
4
88.09
31.68%
170.00
APTV NYSE · Aptiv PLC
20 Jun 202567.05
60.57
-9.66%
5
53.28
2.66%
0.22
ARCO NYSE · Arcos Dorados Holdings Inc
13 Feb 20268.29
8.46
2.09%
6
75.07
1.36%
3.99
ARL NYSE · American Realty Investors Inc
19 Sep 202516.42
20.78
26.55%
5
71.46
2.09%
2.55
ASC NYSE · Ardmore Shpng
19 Sep 202512.24
16.39
33.89%
5
58.56
1.92%
0.74
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
24 Apr 202623.25
20.28
-12.76%
5
87.79
2.44%
6.49
ASLE NASDAQ · AerSale Corp
28 Feb 20257.00
6.02
-14.00%
7
67.42
0.28%
2.90
ASPN NYSE · Aspen Aerogels Inc
12 Jun 20265.92
5.16
-12.84%
4
95.36
0.15%
3.76

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2551-2580 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
27 Sep 2024
Exit
ENTA NASDAQ · Enanta Pharmaceuticals Inc
10.05
20% entry drawdown
-27.70%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 13.90
27 Sep 2024
Exit
EXFY NASDAQ · Expensify Inc
2.00
20% entry drawdown
-20.63%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 2.52
27 Sep 2024
Entry
FIGS NYSE · Figs Inc
6.78
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 24.44 · ROC 0.15% · RS 0.54
27 Sep 2024
Exit
LASE NASDAQ · Laser Photonics Corporation Common Stock
14.34
Reversal Risk Warning
582.86%
Entry 26 Apr 2024 2.10
27 Sep 2024
Entry
LBRDA NASDAQ · Liberty Broadband Srs A
68.10
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 59.45 · ROC 0.75% · RS 3.23
27 Sep 2024
Entry
LBRDK NASDAQ · Liberty Broadband Srs C
68.36
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 60.35 · ROC 0.98% · RS 3.39
27 Sep 2024
Entry
MD NYSE · Mednax Inc
11.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 67.32 · ROC 2.82% · RS 5.07
27 Sep 2024
Entry
MNOV NASDAQ · MediciNova Inc
1.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.66 · ROC 5.67% · RS 9.23
27 Sep 2024
Exit
NVNO NASDAQ · enVVeno Medical Corp
113.40
20% entry drawdown
-40.44%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 190.40
27 Sep 2024
Exit
OGCP NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP
11.49
Reversal Risk Warning
57.83%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 7.28
27 Sep 2024
Entry
OOMA NYSE · Ooma Inc
11.40
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 88.28 · ROC 1.37% · RS 1.12
27 Sep 2024
Exit
PHG NYSE · Koninklijke Philips NV ADR
30.38
Reversal Risk Warning
72.04%
Entry 21 Apr 2023 17.66
27 Sep 2024
Exit
RVTY NYSE · Revvity Inc.
125.46
Reversal Risk Warning
2.26%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 122.68
27 Sep 2024
Entry
SBGI NASDAQ · Sinclair Broadcast Group Inc
13.56
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 41.26 · ROC 0.12% · RS 4.67
27 Sep 2024
Exit
SFIX NASDAQ · Stitch Fix
2.84
20% entry drawdown
-30.56%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 4.09
27 Sep 2024
Exit
SMG NYSE · Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
79.46
Reversal Risk Warning
28.15%
Entry 8 Mar 2024 62.01
27 Sep 2024
Entry
TIL NASDAQ · Instil Bio Inc.
65.62
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 62.48 · ROC 53.53% · RS 336.36
27 Sep 2024
Entry
TKLF NASDAQ · Yoshitsu Co Ltd ADR
6.00
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 20.84 · ROC 13.51% · RS 0.22
27 Sep 2024
Entry
VSTD NASDAQ · Vestand Inc.
1.90
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 71.35 · ROC 4.28% · RS 49.31
20 Sep 2024
Exit
CIM NYSE · Chimera Investment Corporation
13.68
Reversal Risk Warning
7.84%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 12.69
20 Sep 2024
Entry
CTSO NASDAQ · Cytosorbents Crp
1.55
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 62.97 · ROC 2.39% · RS 21.67
20 Sep 2024
Exit
ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES
10.50
Reversal Risk Warning
40.18%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 7.49
20 Sep 2024
Exit
ESRT NYSE · Empire State Realty Trust Inc
10.64
Reversal Risk Warning
38.95%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 7.66
20 Sep 2024
Exit
FBIN NYSE · Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.
83.78
Reversal Risk Warning
40.57%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 59.60
20 Sep 2024
Exit
FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
10.62
Reversal Risk Warning
35.01%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 7.87
20 Sep 2024
Exit
HBB NYSE · Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Co Class A
28.60
Reversal Risk Warning
146.19%
Entry 6 Oct 2023 11.61
20 Sep 2024
Entry
ILAG NASDAQ · Intelligent Living Application Group Inc
10.00
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 90.83 · ROC 11.02% · RS 30.29
20 Sep 2024
Entry
JG NASDAQ · Aurora Mobile Ltd
5.32
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.66 · ROC 5.86% · RS 56.23
20 Sep 2024
Entry
LIND NASDAQ · Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc
10.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 54.45 · ROC 1.00% · RS 7.54
20 Sep 2024
Exit
MOLN NASDAQ · Molecular Partners AG ADR
4.67
20% entry drawdown
-24.43%
Entry 12 Jul 2024 6.18