Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 271-285 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
VLRS NYSE · Volaris
17 Oct 20257.00
9.16
30.86%
6
71.67
2.34%
0.71
WAFU NASDAQ · Wah Fu Education Group Ltd
17 Oct 20251.88
1.57
-16.49%
4
77.42
0.81%
1.04
WATT NASDAQ · Energous Corporation
20 Mar 202618.04
24.09
33.54%
4
97.98
7.58%
104.56
WEST NASDAQ · Westrock Coffee Company
5 Jun 20267.54
7.06
-6.37%
8
87.58
10.08%
20.93
WSC NASDAQ · Willscot Mobile Mini Holdings Corp A
5 Jun 202626.21
26.66
1.72%
5
85.43
2.98%
0.21
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
3 Jul 20264.51
4.51
New Entry week
4
72.17
5.14%
9.36
XFOR NASDAQ · X4 Pharmaceuticals Inc
10 Apr 20264.10
4.13
0.73%
4
42.28
2.04%
12.07
XIFR NYSE · XPLR Infrastructure LP Unit
8 May 202611.73
12.35
5.29%
8
34.34
0.51%
6.37
XPEL NASDAQ · Xpel Inc
28 Nov 202546.48
48.52
4.39%
4
54.51
5.76%
11.23
XPER NYSE · Xperi Corp
29 May 20267.95
8.20
3.14%
4
96.62
2.84%
7.56
XPRO NYSE · Expro Group Holdings NV
17 Oct 202512.44
14.38
15.59%
6
59.92
2.10%
1.09
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
1 May 20261.28
1.07
-16.41%
4
35.17
2.44%
19.60
ZD NASDAQ · Ziff Davis Inc
17 Apr 202647.55
52.43
10.26%
4
91.45
2.32%
20.55
ZGN NYSE · Ermenegildo Zegna NV
19 Sep 20259.50
13.17
38.63%
4
41.96
0.31%
3.15
ZNTL NASDAQ · Zentalis Pharmaceuticals Llc
30 Jan 20262.43
4.46
83.54%
4
93.40
15.91%
32.39

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1021-1050 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
31 Oct 2025
Exit
BOSC NASDAQ · BOS Better Online Solutions
5.95
Reversal Risk Warning
128.85%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 2.60
31 Oct 2025
Exit
CHGG NYSE · Chegg Inc
1.06
20% entry drawdown
-31.17%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 1.54
31 Oct 2025
Exit
CNXC NASDAQ · Concentrix Corporation
39.38
20% entry drawdown
-26.69%
Entry 23 May 2025 53.72
31 Oct 2025
Exit
DLTH NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
2.75
20% entry drawdown
-22.32%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 3.54
31 Oct 2025
Entry
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
8.16
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 71.21 · ROC 5.20% · RS 28.70
31 Oct 2025
Entry
DWTX NASDAQ · Dogwood Therapeutics, Inc.
6.21
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 37.53 · ROC 0.59% · RS 4.70
31 Oct 2025
Exit
EAF NYSE · GrafTech International Ltd
13.50
20% entry drawdown
-25.99%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 18.24
31 Oct 2025
Entry
ECX NASDAQ · ECARX Holdings Inc. Class A Ordinary shares
2.50
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 86.70 · ROC 2.20% · RS 15.29
31 Oct 2025
Exit
EDSA NASDAQ · Edesa Biotech Inc
1.86
20% entry drawdown
-32.12%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 2.74
31 Oct 2025
Entry
ENGN NASDAQ · enGene Holdings Inc. Common Stock
7.21
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 91.19 · ROC 10.81% · RS 9.70
31 Oct 2025
Entry
GPCR NASDAQ · Structure Therapeutics Inc. American Depositary Shares
33.32
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 60.17 · ROC 6.32% · RS 14.16
31 Oct 2025
Exit
IZM NASDAQ · ICZOOM Group Inc. Class A Ordinary Shares
1.80
20% entry drawdown
-24.37%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 2.38
31 Oct 2025
Exit
JL NASDAQ · J-Long Group Limited
4.75
20% entry drawdown
-20.97%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 6.01
31 Oct 2025
Exit
LOGI NASDAQ · Logitech International SA
120.56
Reversal Risk Warning
101.98%
Entry 5 May 2023 59.69
31 Oct 2025
Exit
LRMR NASDAQ · Larimar Therapeutics Inc
3.89
20% entry drawdown
-20.12%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 4.87
31 Oct 2025
Exit
MIR NYSE · Mirion Technologies Inc
29.37
Reversal Risk Warning
303.43%
Entry 17 Mar 2023 7.28
31 Oct 2025
Exit
NET NYSE · Cloudflare Inc
253.30
Reversal Risk Warning
274.54%
Entry 16 Jun 2023 67.63
31 Oct 2025
Entry
NXTC NASDAQ · NextCure  Inc
12.60
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.15 · ROC 8.81% · RS 34.70
31 Oct 2025
Exit
PLTR NASDAQ · Palantir Technologies Inc.
200.47
Reversal Risk Warning
2010.21%
Entry 12 May 2023 9.50
31 Oct 2025
Exit
PRPL NASDAQ · Purple Innovation Inc
0.79
20% entry drawdown
-23.87%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 1.04
31 Oct 2025
Exit
QTEX NASDAQ · QTREX Quantum Ltd.
0.93
20% entry drawdown
-26.77%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 1.27
31 Oct 2025
Entry
QUIK NASDAQ · QuickLogic Corporation
7.90
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 51.91 · ROC 3.64% · RS 0.47
31 Oct 2025
Entry
RGR NYSE · Sturm Ruger & Company Inc
42.15
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 85.50 · ROC 2.06% · RS 0.11
31 Oct 2025
Exit
RRGB NASDAQ · Red Robin Gourmet Burgers Inc
5.06
20% entry drawdown
-24.70%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 6.72
31 Oct 2025
Exit
SINT NASDAQ · SINTX Technologies Inc
3.19
20% entry drawdown
-29.74%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 4.54
31 Oct 2025
Exit
TAP-A NYSE · Molson Coors Beverage Company
44.47
20% entry drawdown
-21.36%
Entry 28 Mar 2025 56.54
24 Oct 2025
Exit
ALEC NASDAQ · Alector Inc
1.50
20% entry drawdown
-50.17%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 3.01
24 Oct 2025
Exit
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
11.22
20% entry drawdown
-45.16%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 20.46
24 Oct 2025
Entry
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 37.41 · ROC 2.35% · RS 3.89
24 Oct 2025
Entry
BIO-B NYSE · Bio-Rad Laboratories Inc
321.12
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 94.41 · ROC 1.50% · RS 0.39