Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASPN NYSE · Aspen Aerogels Inc
12 Jun 20265.92
5.58
-5.74%
4
95.36
0.15%
3.76
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.26
5.00%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
69.21
-6.38%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
24.81
18.46%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
7.41
45.58%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.68
-8.44%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
7.74
0.00%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
37.31
3.54%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
18.84
59.26%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.28
10.59%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.42
-14.56%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.99
92.05%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.70
22.06%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.70
-3.01%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.19
17.55%
8
13.49
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.49
44.84%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.71
-19.19%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
76.88
1.94%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
53.50
14.59%
5
80.26
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
19.01
4.62%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.30
47.26%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
4.39
-17.48%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.20
-0.15%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.47
-3.52%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
47.68
-17.38%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
17.63
70.01%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.31
12.16%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
98.60
4.47%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
16.49
110.33%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 331-360 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
1 May 2026
Exit
IHRT NASDAQ · iHeartMedia Inc Class A
6.33
Reversal Risk Warning
144.40%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 2.59
1 May 2026
Exit
IMCR NASDAQ · Immunocore Holdings Ltd
28.16
20% entry drawdown
-22.45%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 36.31
1 May 2026
Exit
KNOP NYSE · KNOT Offshore Partners LP
11.19
Reversal Risk Warning
86.91%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 5.99
1 May 2026
Exit
KODK NYSE · Eastman Kodak Co
14.08
Reversal Risk Warning
175.54%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 5.11
1 May 2026
Entry
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
8.77
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 54.99 · ROC 4.56% · RS 23.02
1 May 2026
Exit
LITE NASDAQ · Lumentum Holdings Inc
949.93
Reversal Risk Warning
1602.99%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 55.78
1 May 2026
Exit
LWLG NASDAQ · Lightwave Logic Inc
16.27
Reversal Risk Warning
384.23%
Entry 29 Aug 2025 3.36
1 May 2026
Exit
RMBI NASDAQ · Richmond Mutual Bancorporation Inc
15.33
Reversal Risk Warning
35.81%
Entry 15 Mar 2024 11.29
1 May 2026
Entry
SCYX NASDAQ · Scynexis Inc
7.92
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 97.81 · ROC 0.02% · RS 7.85
1 May 2026
Entry
SKYQ NASDAQ · Sky Quarry Inc
5.90
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 55.62 · ROC 15.80% · RS 18.32
1 May 2026
Exit
SNDA NYSE · Sonida Senior Living Inc
37.47
Reversal Risk Warning
218.35%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 11.77
1 May 2026
Exit
SSL NYSE · Sasol Ltd
13.70
Reversal Risk Warning
138.68%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 5.74
1 May 2026
Exit
SWBI NASDAQ · Smith & Wesson Brands Inc
15.44
Reversal Risk Warning
44.50%
Entry 9 Jan 2026 10.68
1 May 2026
Exit
TG NYSE · Tredegar Corporation
10.00
Reversal Risk Warning
55.76%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 6.42
1 May 2026
Exit
TORO NASDAQ · Toro Ltd
6.68
Reversal Risk Warning
232.03%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 2.01
1 May 2026
Entry
VAC NYSE · Marriot Vacations Worldwide
72.06
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 72.44 · ROC 0.24% · RS 0.69
1 May 2026
Exit
VIAV NASDAQ · Viavi Solutions Inc
55.33
Reversal Risk Warning
461.16%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 9.86
1 May 2026
Entry
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
1.28
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 35.17 · ROC 2.44% · RS 19.60
1 May 2026
Exit
ZM NASDAQ · Zoom Video Communications Inc
103.44
Reversal Risk Warning
36.83%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 75.60
24 Apr 2026
Exit
AMPX NYSE · Amprius Technologies Inc.
20.66
Reversal Risk Warning
775.42%
Entry 27 Dec 2024 2.36
24 Apr 2026
Entry
ASIX NYSE · AdvanSix Inc
23.25
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 87.79 · ROC 2.44% · RS 6.49
24 Apr 2026
Exit
BWAY NASDAQ · Brainsway Ltd
16.37
Reversal Risk Warning
926.33%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 1.60
24 Apr 2026
Exit
ERAS NASDAQ · Erasca Inc
21.49
Reversal Risk Warning
788.02%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 2.42
24 Apr 2026
Exit
IMUX NASDAQ · Immunic Inc
8.80
20% entry drawdown
-24.13%
Entry 3 Apr 2026 11.60
24 Apr 2026
Entry
LRMR NASDAQ · Larimar Therapeutics Inc
4.54
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 27.71 · ROC 1.53% · RS 8.55
24 Apr 2026
Entry
PRTS NASDAQ · CarParts.Com Inc
9.72
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 85.55 · ROC 0.26% · RS 18.69
24 Apr 2026
Exit
RES NYSE · RPC Inc
7.95
Reversal Risk Warning
37.98%
Entry 5 Dec 2025 5.77
24 Apr 2026
Exit
SILA NYSE · Sila Realty Trust, Inc.
30.00
Reversal Risk Warning
41.92%
Entry 23 Aug 2024 21.14
24 Apr 2026
Entry
SIRI NASDAQ · Sirius XM Holding Inc
26.34
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 70.31 · ROC 1.35% · RS 7.17
24 Apr 2026
Entry
TLYS NYSE · Tillys Inc
3.99
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 98.77 · ROC 19.53% · RS 92.90