Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.15
-4.17%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
72.24
-2.29%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.91
14.17%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
6.63
30.26%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.95
-7.54%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.84
-11.63%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.03
-0.01%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.21
62.38%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.35
11.34%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.38
-14.72%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.42
87.07%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.10
New Entry week
4
27.02
3.25%
2.20
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.63
20.56%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.34
-7.02%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.91
24.49%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.33
39.68%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.81
-18.50%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
72.18
-4.30%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
50.42
7.99%
5
79.53
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.81
-1.99%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.06
39.04%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
5.05
-5.08%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.22
0.00%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.43
-5.08%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
46.92
-18.70%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
18.13
74.83%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.01
10.33%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
96.36
2.10%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
20.90
166.58%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3601-3630 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
22 Dec 2023
Entry
VIRT NYSE · Virtu Financial, Inc.
19.04
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 51.04 · ROC 1.89% · RS 0.98
22 Dec 2023
Exit
XP NASDAQ · Xp Inc
24.33
Reversal Risk Warning
13.35%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 21.47
15 Dec 2023
Entry
ADV NASDAQ · Advantage Solutions Inc
95.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 61.19 · ROC 9.70% · RS 38.48
15 Dec 2023
Entry
ARIS NYSE · Aris Mining Corporation
3.11
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 72.28 · ROC 2.04% · RS 3.20
15 Dec 2023
Entry
CLLS NASDAQ · Cellectis SA
3.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.23 · ROC 8.40% · RS 22.64
15 Dec 2023
Entry
CNOB NASDAQ · ConnectOne Bancorp, Inc.
21.34
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 80.51 · ROC 5.46% · RS 0.43
15 Dec 2023
Entry
DCOM NYSE · Dime Community Bancshares, Inc.
23.48
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 66.30 · ROC 3.78% · RS 2.33
15 Dec 2023
Exit
ESCA NASDAQ · Escalade Incorporated
19.16
Reversal Risk Warning
71.21%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 11.19
15 Dec 2023
Exit
FRSH NASDAQ · Freshworks Inc
24.15
Reversal Risk Warning
60.25%
Entry 13 Jan 2023 15.07
15 Dec 2023
Exit
GALT NASDAQ · Galectin Therapeutics Inc
1.60
20% entry drawdown
-24.53%
Entry 24 Nov 2023 2.12
15 Dec 2023
Entry
GBCI NYSE · Glacier Bancorp Inc
40.59
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.78 · ROC 3.87% · RS 9.31
15 Dec 2023
Entry
GRND NYSE · Grindr Inc
8.15
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 85.59 · ROC 2.84% · RS 22.44
15 Dec 2023
Entry
KEY NYSE · KeyCorp
12.71
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 90.14 · ROC 4.82% · RS 4.19
15 Dec 2023
Exit
LOOP NASDAQ · Loop Industries Inc
4.46
Reversal Risk Warning
28.53%
Entry 6 Oct 2023 3.47
15 Dec 2023
Entry
MITK NASDAQ · Mitek Systems Inc
12.81
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 32.97 · ROC 2.83% · RS 3.73
15 Dec 2023
Exit
NEO NASDAQ · NeoGenomics Inc
19.66
Reversal Risk Warning
75.85%
Entry 20 Jan 2023 11.18
15 Dec 2023
Exit
NESR NASDAQ · National Energy Services Reunited Corp Ordinary Shares
4.40
20% entry drawdown
-22.81%
Entry 27 Oct 2023 5.70
15 Dec 2023
Entry
RBB NASDAQ · RBB Bancorp
17.35
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 94.54 · ROC 7.21% · RS 4.91
15 Dec 2023
Entry
RNW NASDAQ · Renew Energy Global PLC
7.16
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 80.99 · ROC 3.08% · RS 4.85
15 Dec 2023
Exit
RPD NASDAQ · Rapid7 Inc
59.44
Reversal Risk Warning
20.49%
Entry 13 Oct 2023 49.33
15 Dec 2023
Entry
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
26.36
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.61 · ROC 3.90% · RS 45.03
15 Dec 2023
Entry
SFBS NYSE · ServisFirst Bancshares Inc
62.18
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 55.25 · ROC 3.04% · RS 5.48
15 Dec 2023
Entry
SGC NASDAQ · Superior Uniform Group Inc
11.95
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.09 · ROC 7.15% · RS 20.65
15 Dec 2023
Exit
SUIG NASDAQ · SUI Group Holdings Limited
2.22
20% entry drawdown
-27.21%
Entry 29 Sep 2023 3.05
15 Dec 2023
Entry
SYNA NASDAQ · Synaptics Incorporated
117.91
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 78.66 · ROC 4.20% · RS 0.42
15 Dec 2023
Entry
TWST NASDAQ · Twist Bioscience Corp
34.61
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 69.45 · ROC 10.69% · RS 42.82
15 Dec 2023
Exit
WGO NYSE · Winnebago Industries Inc
66.65
Reversal Risk Warning
25.54%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 53.09
15 Dec 2023
Exit
XRN NYSE · Chiron Real Estate Inc.
43.83
Reversal Risk Warning
5.03%
Entry 8 Dec 2023 41.73
15 Dec 2023
Exit
YETI NYSE · YETI Holdings Inc
51.41
Reversal Risk Warning
7.85%
Entry 15 Sep 2023 47.67
8 Dec 2023
Entry
ADAG NASDAQ · Adagene Inc
1.88
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 29.02 · ROC 1.80% · RS 7.78