Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.30
8.33%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
73.42
-0.69%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.17
10.63%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
5.62
10.41%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.58
-8.77%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.99
-9.69%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.97
2.60%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.37
63.74%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.29
10.70%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.84
-12.89%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
20.19
76.33%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.09
-0.91%
4
27.55
3.25%
2.20
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.74
22.91%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
17 Jul 202615.44
15.44
New Entry week
4
87.92
6.50%
14.78
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.54
-4.79%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.60
21.50%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
17 Jul 202614.14
14.14
New Entry week
4
88.83
1.32%
0.95
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.16
34.19%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.85
-18.23%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
68.85
-8.71%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.47
53.61
15.36%
5
78.06
1.99%
0.04
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.52
-3.58%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
3.69
26.37%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
4.27
-19.74%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.24
0.15%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.24
-12.50%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
17.69
70.59%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.81
15.23%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
98.07
3.91%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
26.43
237.12%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 3811-3840 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
29 Sep 2023
Entry
CINT NYSE · Ci&T Inc
6.50
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 76.07 · ROC 1.76% · RS 0.28
29 Sep 2023
Exit
CNF NYSE · CNFinance Holdings Ltd
37.80
Reversal Risk Warning
46.51%
Entry 5 May 2023 25.80
29 Sep 2023
Entry
CRGY NYSE · Crescent Energy Co
11.22
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 30.12 · ROC 1.21% · RS 2.07
29 Sep 2023
Entry
ETON NASDAQ · Eton Pharmaceuticals Inc
4.17
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 55.09 · ROC 3.68% · RS 5.99
29 Sep 2023
Exit
GP NASDAQ · GreenPower Motor Company Inc
31.50
20% entry drawdown
-22.03%
Entry 4 Aug 2023 40.40
29 Sep 2023
Entry
GSK NYSE · GlaxoSmithKline PLC ADR
32.59
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 66.32 · ROC 0.98% · RS 1.04
29 Sep 2023
Entry
GTEC NASDAQ · Greenland Acquisition Corp
3.12
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.82 · ROC 11.62% · RS 31.11
29 Sep 2023
Entry
HITI NASDAQ · High Tide Inc
1.85
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.43 · ROC 3.95% · RS 14.27
29 Sep 2023
Entry
KINS NASDAQ · Kingstone Companies Inc
1.77
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 59.31 · ROC 3.33% · RS 4.16
29 Sep 2023
Exit
KMPR NYSE · Kemper Corporation
39.10
20% entry drawdown
-21.68%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 49.92
29 Sep 2023
Exit
NOMD NYSE · Nomad Foods Ltd
13.65
20% entry drawdown
-20.89%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 17.25
29 Sep 2023
Exit
NTRA NASDAQ · Natera Inc
44.25
20% entry drawdown
-20.30%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 55.52
29 Sep 2023
Exit
PHAT NASDAQ · Phathom Pharmaceuticals Inc
10.37
20% entry drawdown
-20.17%
Entry 9 Jun 2023 12.99
29 Sep 2023
Exit
REAX NASDAQ · Real Brokerage Inc
1.45
20% entry drawdown
-24.08%
Entry 30 Jun 2023 1.91
29 Sep 2023
Entry
SKM NYSE · SK Telecom Co Ltd ADR
19.14
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 49.86 · ROC 1.34% · RS 5.05
29 Sep 2023
Entry
SUIG NASDAQ · SUI Group Holdings Limited
3.05
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 65.26 · ROC 4.99% · RS 18.83
29 Sep 2023
Entry
TBLA NASDAQ · Taboola
3.79
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 72.49 · ROC 0.21% · RS 14.34
29 Sep 2023
Exit
TOMZ NASDAQ · TOMI Environmental Solutions Inc
0.89
20% entry drawdown
-29.33%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 1.26
29 Sep 2023
Exit
UTZ NYSE · Utz Brands Inc
12.79
20% entry drawdown
-21.04%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 16.20
29 Sep 2023
Entry
WU NYSE · Western Union Co
10.20
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 91.62 · ROC 0.22% · RS 3.83
22 Sep 2023
Entry
AEO NYSE · American Eagle Outfitters Inc
13.81
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 36.60 · ROC 0.60% · RS 5.21
22 Sep 2023
Entry
AHG NASDAQ · Akso Health Group ADR
1.03
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.23 · ROC 22.04% · RS 95.40
22 Sep 2023
Exit
AIP NASDAQ · Arteris Inc
5.91
20% entry drawdown
-21.41%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 7.52
22 Sep 2023
Entry
ALRM NASDAQ · Alarm.com Holdings Inc
61.46
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 73.08 · ROC 1.61% · RS 1.04
22 Sep 2023
Entry
BXMT NYSE · Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc
16.69
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 73.14 · ROC 0.94% · RS 3.60
22 Sep 2023
Exit
CGEN NASDAQ · Compugen
0.98
20% entry drawdown
-21.58%
Entry 14 Jul 2023 1.25
22 Sep 2023
Entry
DLO NASDAQ · Dlocal Ltd
17.72
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.30 · ROC 4.25% · RS 3.75
22 Sep 2023
Entry
ESTC NYSE · Elastic NV
79.56
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 70.18 · ROC 3.84% · RS 22.04
22 Sep 2023
Exit
FEDU NYSE · Four Seasons Education Cayman
7.14
20% entry drawdown
-26.36%
Entry 18 Aug 2023 9.69
22 Sep 2023
Exit
FUBO NYSE · Fubotv Inc
27.72
20% entry drawdown
-23.51%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 36.24