View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.30
8.33%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
73.42
-0.69%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.17
10.63%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
5.62
10.41%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.58
-8.77%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.99
-9.69%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.97
2.60%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.37
63.74%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.29
10.70%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.84
-12.89%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
20.19
76.33%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.09
-0.91%
4
27.55
3.25%
2.20
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.74
22.91%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
17 Jul 202615.44
15.44
New Entry week
4
87.92
6.50%
14.78
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.54
-4.79%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.60
21.50%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
17 Jul 202614.14
14.14
New Entry week
4
88.83
1.32%
0.95
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.16
34.19%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.85
-18.23%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
68.85
-8.71%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.47
53.61
15.36%
5
78.06
1.99%
0.04
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.52
-3.58%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
3.69
26.37%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
4.27
-19.74%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.24
0.15%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.24
-12.50%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
17.69
70.59%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.81
15.23%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
98.07
3.91%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
26.43
237.12%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4381-4410 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
28 Apr 2023
Entry
OCUL NASDAQ · Ocular Therapeutix Inc
6.20
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 63.11 · ROC 1.40% · RS 31.02
28 Apr 2023
Entry
OLLI NASDAQ · Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg
65.25
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 60.53 · ROC 1.18% · RS 4.99
28 Apr 2023
Entry
OSCR NYSE · Oscar Health Inc
6.73
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.59 · ROC 3.05% · RS 36.65
28 Apr 2023
Exit
RBLX NYSE · Roblox Corp
35.60
20% entry drawdown
-22.10%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 45.70
28 Apr 2023
Exit
RERE NYSE · ATRenew Inc DRC
2.15
20% entry drawdown
-23.88%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 2.83
28 Apr 2023
Exit
RSKD NYSE · Riskified Ltd
4.91
20% entry drawdown
-22.06%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 6.30
28 Apr 2023
Exit
SLQT NYSE · Selectquote Inc
1.06
20% entry drawdown
-41.44%
Entry 24 Mar 2023 1.81
28 Apr 2023
Exit
STG NYSE · Sunlands Technology Group
7.30
20% entry drawdown
-22.83%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 9.46
28 Apr 2023
Entry
TZOO NASDAQ · Travelzoo
7.45
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 60.16 · ROC 2.40% · RS 20.34
28 Apr 2023
Exit
UCTT NASDAQ · Ultra Clean Holdings Inc
28.54
20% entry drawdown
-20.06%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 35.70
28 Apr 2023
Exit
UHT NYSE · Universal Health Realty Income Trust
35.14
20% entry drawdown
-21.34%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 44.68
28 Apr 2023
Entry
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
13.00
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 40.09 · ROC 16.98% · RS 34.62
28 Apr 2023
Entry
USNA NYSE · USANA Health Sciences Inc
66.37
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 79.96 · ROC 1.33% · RS 0.44
28 Apr 2023
Exit
XNCR NASDAQ · Xencor Inc
26.44
20% entry drawdown
-20.19%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 33.13
21 Apr 2023
Entry
AEYE NASDAQ · AudioEye Inc
6.51
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 30.40 · ROC 1.72% · RS 11.72
21 Apr 2023
Entry
AMD NASDAQ · Advanced Micro Devices Inc
88.43
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 49.55 · ROC 2.76% · RS 1.44
21 Apr 2023
Entry
ARCT NASDAQ · Arcturus Therapeutics Holdings Inc
27.68
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.25 · ROC 9.05% · RS 42.49
21 Apr 2023
Entry
ARRY NASDAQ · Array Technologies Inc
21.11
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 14.72 · ROC 1.43% · RS 11.72
21 Apr 2023
Exit
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
158.00
20% entry drawdown
-23.11%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 205.50
21 Apr 2023
Entry
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
111.00
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 52.15 · ROC 2.27% · RS 9.23
21 Apr 2023
Entry
CXM NYSE · Sprinklr Inc
12.82
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 82.45 · ROC 3.02% · RS 15.92
21 Apr 2023
Entry
EXK NYSE · Endeavour Silver Corp.
4.01
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 61.19 · ROC 4.86% · RS 11.90
21 Apr 2023
Exit
GNSS NASDAQ · Genasys Inc
2.64
20% entry drawdown
-25.11%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 3.53
21 Apr 2023
Entry
MYGN NASDAQ · Myriad Genetics Inc
22.47
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 52.51 · ROC 1.12% · RS 0.74
21 Apr 2023
Entry
NET NYSE · Cloudflare Inc
62.80
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 31.50 · ROC 0.66% · RS 7.96
21 Apr 2023
Entry
OMER NASDAQ · Omeros Corporation
5.66
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.86 · ROC 4.71% · RS 45.91
21 Apr 2023
Entry
PHG NYSE · Koninklijke Philips NV ADR
17.66
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 84.65 · ROC 1.23% · RS 0.33
21 Apr 2023
Entry
PYXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Oncology Inc
3.31
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.77 · ROC 9.56% · RS 41.09
21 Apr 2023
Entry
RIOT NASDAQ · Riot Platforms, Inc.
10.52
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.70 · ROC 8.68% · RS 48.42
21 Apr 2023
Entry
SDGR NASDAQ · Schrodinger Inc
29.60
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 77.33 · ROC 0.60% · RS 9.93