View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 17 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
434.12
Total Return
334.12%
CAGR
51.64% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.86%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.21 Sortino 3.76
Current Holdings
271
Transactions
5001 Avg 1418.2/yr · 118.2/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2365 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.3% · Other 0.4%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

17 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
10
ACCO NYSE · Acco Brands Corporation
4.08 8 signals · MA 74.29 · ROC 2.23% · RS 3.33
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
15.44 4 signals · MA 87.92 · ROC 6.50% · RS 14.78
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
14.14 4 signals · MA 88.83 · ROC 1.32% · RS 0.95
FATN NASDAQ · FatPipe, Inc. Common Stock
4.54 8 signals · MA 39.45 · ROC 12.74% · RS 2.11
HOG NYSE · Harley-Davidson Inc
26.58 8 signals · MA 56.36 · ROC 2.03% · RS 3.60
JHX NYSE · James Hardie Industries PLC ADR
25.82 4 signals · MA 74.43 · ROC 3.39% · RS 7.54
LGIH NASDAQ · LGI Homes
58.48 4 signals · MA 96.98 · ROC 3.50% · RS 2.72
TDOC NYSE · Teladoc Inc
9.43 4 signals · MA 91.36 · ROC 3.36% · RS 22.61
TMCI NASDAQ · Treace Medical Concepts Inc
4.30 5 signals · MA 93.79 · ROC 8.69% · RS 0.15
UPBD NASDAQ · Upbound Group Inc.
22.16 4 signals · MA 57.32 · ROC 2.83% · RS 2.64

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
3.74 20% entry drawdown · -22.65%
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
45.70 20% entry drawdown · -20.82%
FUN NYSE · Six Flags Entertainment Corporation
17.53 20% entry drawdown · -25.21%
GRDX NASDAQ · GridAI Technologies Corp.
3.82 20% entry drawdown · -29.26%
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
3.37 20% entry drawdown · -42.39%
MX NYSE · MagnaChip Semiconductor
3.42 20% entry drawdown · -24.50%
NTLA NASDAQ · Intellia Therapeutics Inc
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -27.41%
PBF NYSE · PBF Energy Inc
62.75 Reversal Risk Warning · 133.59%
SG NYSE · Sweetgreen Inc
7.08 20% entry drawdown · -21.94%
SHEN NASDAQ · Shenandoah Telecommunications Co
11.38 20% entry drawdown · -24.83%
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
9.14 20% entry drawdown · -50.03%
VLN NYSE · Valens
1.71 20% entry drawdown · -22.62%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 271 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.30
8.33%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
73.42
-0.69%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.17
10.63%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
5.62
10.41%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.58
-8.77%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.99
-9.69%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.97
2.60%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.37
63.74%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.29
10.70%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.84
-12.89%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
20.19
76.33%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.09
-0.91%
4
27.55
3.25%
2.20
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.74
22.91%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BHVN NYSE · Biohaven Ltd.
17 Jul 202615.44
15.44
New Entry week
4
87.92
6.50%
14.78
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.54
-4.79%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.60
21.50%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BOC NYSE · Boston Omaha Corp
17 Jul 202614.14
14.14
New Entry week
4
88.83
1.32%
0.95
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.16
34.19%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.85
-18.23%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
68.85
-8.71%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.47
53.61
15.36%
5
78.06
1.99%
0.04
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.52
-3.58%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
3.69
26.37%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
4.27
-19.74%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.24
0.15%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.24
-12.50%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
17.69
70.59%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.81
15.23%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
98.07
3.91%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
26.43
237.12%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 4411-4440 of 5001
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
21 Apr 2023
Entry
SKIN NASDAQ · Beauty Health Co
12.97
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 49.70 · ROC 1.51% · RS 0.81
21 Apr 2023
Entry
SONM NASDAQ · Sonim Technologies Inc
217.80
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 29.34 · ROC 10.16% · RS 89.85
21 Apr 2023
Exit
SPHR NYSE · Sphere Entertainment Co.
25.61
20% entry drawdown
-56.58%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 58.98
21 Apr 2023
Entry
TDUP NASDAQ · ThredUp Inc
2.82
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 82.28 · ROC 1.52% · RS 9.10
21 Apr 2023
Entry
UGP NYSE · Ultrapar Participacoes SA ADR
2.50
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 53.70 · ROC 1.69% · RS 6.66
21 Apr 2023
Entry
USAU NASDAQ · US Gold Corp
4.71
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 65.82 · ROC 4.14% · RS 0.59
21 Apr 2023
Exit
XNET NASDAQ · Xunlei Ltd Adr
1.61
20% entry drawdown
-21.41%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 2.05
21 Apr 2023
Exit
YSG NYSE · Yatsen Holding
5.15
20% entry drawdown
-33.12%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 7.70
14 Apr 2023
Exit
AAL NASDAQ · American Airlines Group
12.79
20% entry drawdown
-21.44%
Entry 10 Feb 2023 16.28
14 Apr 2023
Entry
BTBT NASDAQ · Bit Digital Inc
1.96
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 47.54 · ROC 2.04% · RS 34.16
14 Apr 2023
Exit
DAO NYSE · Youdao Inc
6.08
20% entry drawdown
-23.14%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 7.91
14 Apr 2023
Entry
ECL NYSE · Ecolab Inc
158.84
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 66.20 · ROC 0.15% · RS 0.29
14 Apr 2023
Entry
EOSE NASDAQ · Eos Energy Enterprises Inc
2.62
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.29 · ROC 2.87% · RS 36.72
14 Apr 2023
Entry
GALT NASDAQ · Galectin Therapeutics Inc
2.01
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 50.10 · ROC 1.51% · RS 17.80
14 Apr 2023
Exit
GLSI NASDAQ · Greenwich Lifesciences Inc
11.81
20% entry drawdown
-20.09%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 14.78
14 Apr 2023
Entry
GSHD NASDAQ · Goosehead Insurance Inc
49.65
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 66.35 · ROC 0.56% · RS 5.83
14 Apr 2023
Entry
HEPS NASDAQ · D-MARKET Electronic Services & Trading ADR
1.09
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.47 · ROC 2.43% · RS 3.55
14 Apr 2023
Entry
JF NASDAQ · J and Friends Holdings Limited
1.32
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.80 · ROC 6.70% · RS 25.23
14 Apr 2023
Entry
KGC NYSE · Kinross Gold Corporation
5.11
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 59.52 · ROC 5.23% · RS 27.15
14 Apr 2023
Exit
LEXX NASDAQ · Lexaria Bioscience Corp
2.18
20% entry drawdown
-25.85%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 2.94
14 Apr 2023
Exit
LIXT NASDAQ · Lixte Biotechnology Holdings Inc
6.30
20% entry drawdown
-31.50%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 9.20
14 Apr 2023
Exit
MAX NYSE · MediaAlpha Inc.
10.23
20% entry drawdown
-26.61%
Entry 3 Feb 2023 13.94
14 Apr 2023
Entry
NAUT NASDAQ · Nautilus Biotechnology Inc
2.83
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 73.63 · ROC 3.31% · RS 4.69
14 Apr 2023
Entry
NBXG NYSE · Neuberger Berman Next Generation Connectivity Fund Inc
7.33
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 45.79 · ROC 0.33% · RS 0.13
14 Apr 2023
Entry
NOW NYSE · ServiceNow Inc
92.61
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 39.76 · ROC 0.47% · RS 1.02
14 Apr 2023
Entry
NPCE NASDAQ · Neuropace Inc
4.80
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 64.09 · ROC 2.22% · RS 6.32
14 Apr 2023
Entry
RBLX NYSE · Roblox Corp
45.70
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.20 · ROC 1.63% · RS 17.40
14 Apr 2023
Entry
SKE NYSE · Skeena Resources Ltd
6.83
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 31.63 · ROC 2.97% · RS 11.05
14 Apr 2023
Exit
SKYH NYSE · Sky Harbour Group Corporation
5.95
20% entry drawdown
-22.69%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 7.69
14 Apr 2023
Entry
SKYW NASDAQ · SkyWest Inc
23.65
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 48.72 · ROC 1.17% · RS 4.87