Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASPN NYSE · Aspen Aerogels Inc
12 Jun 20265.92
5.58
-5.74%
4
95.36
0.15%
3.76
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.26
5.00%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
69.21
-6.38%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
24.81
18.46%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
7.41
45.58%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.68
-8.44%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
7.74
0.00%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
37.31
3.54%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
18.84
59.26%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.28
10.59%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.42
-14.56%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.99
92.05%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.70
22.06%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.70
-3.01%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.19
17.55%
8
13.49
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.49
44.84%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.71
-19.19%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
76.88
1.94%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
53.50
14.59%
5
80.26
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
19.01
4.62%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.30
47.26%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
4.39
-17.48%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.20
-0.15%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.47
-3.52%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
47.68
-17.38%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
17.63
70.01%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.31
12.16%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
98.60
4.47%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
16.49
110.33%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 31-60 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
26 Jun 2026
Exit
EVC NYSE · Entravision Communications
12.03
Reversal Risk Warning
417.52%
Entry 15 Aug 2025 2.32
26 Jun 2026
Exit
EW NYSE · Edwards Lifesciences Corp
90.78
Reversal Risk Warning
16.38%
Entry 16 May 2025 78.00
26 Jun 2026
Exit
FLXS NASDAQ · Flexsteel Industries Inc
72.91
Reversal Risk Warning
281.21%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 19.13
26 Jun 2026
Entry
FLYW NASDAQ · Flywire Corp
17.54
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 43.44 · ROC 1.89% · RS 15.19
26 Jun 2026
Exit
GH NASDAQ · Guardant Health Inc
149.22
Reversal Risk Warning
342.00%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 33.76
26 Jun 2026
Exit
GHRS NASDAQ · GH Research PLC
28.22
Reversal Risk Warning
179.68%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 10.09
26 Jun 2026
Exit
GLBS NASDAQ · Globus Maritime Ltd
2.87
Reversal Risk Warning
96.58%
Entry 12 Dec 2025 1.46
26 Jun 2026
Exit
HZO NYSE · MarineMax Inc
37.74
Reversal Risk Warning
30.05%
Entry 13 Feb 2026 29.02
26 Jun 2026
Entry
IART NASDAQ · Integra LifeSciences Holdings
18.76
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 88.74 · ROC 6.21% · RS 25.99
26 Jun 2026
Exit
INDV NASDAQ · Indivior PLC Ordinary Shares
41.83
Reversal Risk Warning
199.86%
Entry 27 Jun 2025 13.95
26 Jun 2026
Exit
INNV NASDAQ · InnovAge Holding Corp
10.79
Reversal Risk Warning
124.79%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 4.80
26 Jun 2026
Exit
INTG NASDAQ · The Intergroup Corporation
46.26
Reversal Risk Warning
151.14%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 18.42
26 Jun 2026
Entry
KELYA NASDAQ · Kelly Services A Inc
12.73
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 98.05 · ROC 4.92% · RS 3.10
26 Jun 2026
Entry
KMX NYSE · CarMax Inc
52.76
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 86.77 · ROC 5.19% · RS 3.83
26 Jun 2026
Exit
KORE NYSE · KORE Group Holdings Inc
9.79
Reversal Risk Warning
304.55%
Entry 18 Apr 2025 2.42
26 Jun 2026
Exit
KOS NYSE · Kosmos Energy Ltd
2.18
20% entry drawdown
-25.34%
Entry 3 Apr 2026 2.92
26 Jun 2026
Entry
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
9.59
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 24.66 · ROC 33.13% · RS 109.98
26 Jun 2026
Entry
LINE NASDAQ · Lineage, Inc. Common Stock
43.45
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 83.09 · ROC 3.36% · RS 0.23
26 Jun 2026
Exit
MAMA NASDAQ · Mama's Creations Inc.
19.94
Reversal Risk Warning
977.84%
Entry 3 Mar 2023 1.85
26 Jun 2026
Entry
MMI NYSE · Marcus & Millichap Inc
31.41
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 60.27 · ROC 0.61% · RS 1.43
26 Jun 2026
Exit
MYE NYSE · Myers Industries Inc
32.14
Reversal Risk Warning
131.81%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 13.86
26 Jun 2026
Entry
NSIT NASDAQ · Insight Enterprises Inc
119.49
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.83 · ROC 3.95% · RS 4.16
26 Jun 2026
Exit
NTRA NASDAQ · Natera Inc
261.91
Reversal Risk Warning
320.87%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 62.23
26 Jun 2026
Exit
NVCT NASDAQ · Nuvectis Pharma Inc
27.19
Reversal Risk Warning
205.85%
Entry 6 Feb 2026 8.89
26 Jun 2026
Exit
OXM NYSE · Oxford Industries Inc
35.83
20% entry drawdown
-21.22%
Entry 8 May 2026 45.48
26 Jun 2026
Entry
PAMT NASDAQ · PAMT CORP
14.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.50 · ROC 5.97% · RS 12.86
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PGEN NASDAQ · Precigen Inc
5.86
Reversal Risk Warning
372.58%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 1.24
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PKOH NASDAQ · Park Ohio Holdings Corp
39.06
Reversal Risk Warning
143.05%
Entry 2 Jun 2023 16.07
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PLSE NASDAQ · Pulse Biosciences Inc
28.45
Reversal Risk Warning
905.30%
Entry 6 Jan 2023 2.83
26 Jun 2026
Exit
PLUG NASDAQ · Plug Power Inc
2.54
20% entry drawdown
-21.00%
Entry 5 Jun 2026 3.22