Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASPN NYSE · Aspen Aerogels Inc
12 Jun 20265.92
5.58
-5.74%
4
95.36
0.15%
3.76
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.26
5.00%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
69.21
-6.38%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
24.81
18.46%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
7.41
45.58%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.68
-8.44%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
7.74
0.00%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
37.31
3.54%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
18.84
59.26%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.28
10.59%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.42
-14.56%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.99
92.05%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.70
22.06%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.70
-3.01%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.19
17.55%
8
13.49
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.49
44.84%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.71
-19.19%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
76.88
1.94%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
53.50
14.59%
5
80.26
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
19.01
4.62%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.30
47.26%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
4.39
-17.48%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.20
-0.15%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.47
-3.52%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
47.68
-17.38%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
17.63
70.01%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.31
12.16%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
98.60
4.47%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
16.49
110.33%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 811-840 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
2 Jan 2026
Entry
PAL NASDAQ · Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc. Common Stock
9.81
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.42 · ROC 3.78% · RS 5.99
2 Jan 2026
Entry
SINT NASDAQ · SINTX Technologies Inc
3.78
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 5.64 · ROC 3.25% · RS 1.32
2 Jan 2026
Entry
SYNA NASDAQ · Synaptics Incorporated
75.74
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 46.94 · ROC 2.76% · RS 0.54
2 Jan 2026
Entry
TFII NYSE · TFI International Inc
106.12
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.76 · ROC 2.73% · RS 2.61
2 Jan 2026
Entry
TLRY NASDAQ · Tilray Inc
9.72
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 19.06 · ROC 9.13% · RS 1.18
2 Jan 2026
Exit
VTVT NASDAQ · vTv Therapeutics Inc
39.60
Reversal Risk Warning
89.47%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 20.90
2 Jan 2026
Entry
ZKH NYSE · ZKH Group Limited
3.69
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 25.63 · ROC 2.24% · RS 4.79
26 Dec 2025
Entry
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
10.37
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 88.22 · ROC 4.73% · RS 5.45
26 Dec 2025
Exit
DWTX NASDAQ · Dogwood Therapeutics, Inc.
4.07
20% entry drawdown
-34.46%
Entry 31 Oct 2025 6.21
26 Dec 2025
Entry
LEG NYSE · Leggett & Platt Incorporated
10.95
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.26 · ROC 3.13% · RS 6.68
26 Dec 2025
Exit
LIQT NASDAQ · LiqTech International Inc
1.57
20% entry drawdown
-25.59%
Entry 5 Sep 2025 2.11
26 Dec 2025
Entry
MXL NASDAQ · MaxLinear Inc
17.73
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 56.95 · ROC 5.67% · RS 3.62
26 Dec 2025
Entry
PASG NASDAQ · Passage Bio Inc
10.86
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 89.97 · ROC 4.79% · RS 10.50
26 Dec 2025
Entry
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
1.83
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 70.00 · ROC 1.28% · RS 3.33
26 Dec 2025
Exit
PRT NYSE · PermRock Royalty Trust
2.93
20% entry drawdown
-26.10%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 3.96
26 Dec 2025
Exit
PUK NYSE · Prudential PLC ADR
31.22
Reversal Risk Warning
48.51%
Entry 28 Mar 2025 21.02
26 Dec 2025
Exit
SCHW NYSE · Charles Schwab Corp
101.18
Reversal Risk Warning
55.68%
Entry 5 Jan 2024 64.99
26 Dec 2025
Entry
UONEK NASDAQ · Urban One Inc Class D
8.90
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 77.94 · ROC 5.78% · RS 7.60
26 Dec 2025
Exit
USAU NASDAQ · US Gold Corp
22.54
Reversal Risk Warning
408.80%
Entry 12 Apr 2024 4.43
19 Dec 2025
Exit
AGNCP NASDAQ · AGNC Investment Corp.
23.95
Reversal Risk Warning
49.84%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 15.99
19 Dec 2025
Exit
ALLY NYSE · Ally Financial Inc
45.06
Reversal Risk Warning
39.53%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 32.29
19 Dec 2025
Exit
AUBN NASDAQ · Auburn National Bancorporation Inc
27.37
Reversal Risk Warning
36.03%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 20.12
19 Dec 2025
Exit
DVLT NASDAQ · Datavault AI Inc.
0.94
20% entry drawdown
-42.54%
Entry 7 Nov 2025 1.64
19 Dec 2025
Exit
HLP NASDAQ · Hongli Group Inc. Ordinary Shares
1.19
20% entry drawdown
-25.63%
Entry 14 Nov 2025 1.60
19 Dec 2025
Exit
PRHI NASDAQ · Presurance Holdings, Inc.
5.50
20% entry drawdown
-21.12%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 6.97
19 Dec 2025
Exit
PYXS NASDAQ · Pyxis Oncology Inc
1.28
20% entry drawdown
-43.33%
Entry 19 Sep 2025 2.25
19 Dec 2025
Exit
TCI NYSE · Transcontinental Realty Investors
58.15
Reversal Risk Warning
99.28%
Entry 2 May 2025 29.18
19 Dec 2025
Entry
TRDA NASDAQ · Entrada Therapeutics Inc
10.98
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.99 · ROC 4.62% · RS 6.85
19 Dec 2025
Exit
TRIP NASDAQ · TripAdvisor Inc
13.87
20% entry drawdown
-20.38%
Entry 29 Aug 2025 17.42
19 Dec 2025
Exit
VTGN NASDAQ · VistaGen Therapeutics Inc
4.25
Price scale break
25.37%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 3.39