Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.05
Total Return
337.05%
CAGR
52.28% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.83%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4971 Avg 1417.3/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2344 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.5% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.15
-4.17%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
72.24
-2.29%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.91
14.17%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
6.63
30.26%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.95
-7.54%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.84
-11.63%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.03
-0.01%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.21
62.38%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.35
11.34%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.38
-14.72%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.42
87.07%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.10
New Entry week
4
27.02
3.25%
2.20
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.63
20.56%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.34
-7.02%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.91
24.49%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.33
39.68%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.81
-18.50%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
72.18
-4.30%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
50.42
7.99%
5
79.53
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.81
-1.99%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.06
39.04%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
5.05
-5.08%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.22
0.00%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.43
-5.08%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
46.92
-18.70%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
18.13
74.83%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.01
10.33%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
96.36
2.10%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
20.90
166.58%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1681-1710 of 4971
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
30 May 2025
Entry
AMX NYSE · America Movil SAB de CV ADR
16.44
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.74 · ROC 0.96% · RS 3.46
30 May 2025
Exit
CURI NASDAQ · Curiositystream Inc.
6.02
Reversal Risk Warning
543.92%
Entry 26 Apr 2024 0.94
30 May 2025
Entry
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
4.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 79.16 · ROC 4.76% · RS 27.85
30 May 2025
Entry
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
10.61
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 84.55 · ROC 7.68% · RS 22.69
30 May 2025
Entry
GOSS NASDAQ · Gossamer Bio Inc
1.11
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 17.37 · ROC 2.41% · RS 7.90
30 May 2025
Entry
HFFG NASDAQ · Hf Foods Group Inc
3.81
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 73.68 · ROC 2.44% · RS 8.05
30 May 2025
Entry
IMDX NASDAQ · Insight Molecular Diagnostics Inc.
3.32
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 13.65 · ROC 0.16% · RS 8.67
30 May 2025
Entry
IPHA NASDAQ · Innate Pharma
2.19
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 81.20 · ROC 1.93% · RS 0.04
30 May 2025
Exit
LEDS NASDAQ · SemiLEDS Corporation
2.98
Reversal Risk Warning
74.27%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 1.71
30 May 2025
Entry
LIVE NASDAQ · Live Ventures Inc
21.67
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.59 · ROC 14.75% · RS 46.37
30 May 2025
Entry
PERI NASDAQ · Perion Network
10.61
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 69.90 · ROC 3.74% · RS 15.00
30 May 2025
Entry
PGY NASDAQ · Pagaya Technologies Ltd.
16.44
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 65.76 · ROC 4.60% · RS 30.53
30 May 2025
Exit
PNBK NASDAQ · Patriot National Bancorp Inc
1.45
20% entry drawdown
-74.65%
Entry 16 May 2025 5.72
30 May 2025
Exit
POWW NASDAQ · Ammo Inc
1.45
20% entry drawdown
-27.14%
Entry 9 May 2025 1.99
30 May 2025
Entry
RIVN NASDAQ · Rivian Automotive Inc
14.53
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 79.65 · ROC 5.19% · RS 6.43
30 May 2025
Entry
SBSW NYSE · Sibanye Gold Ltd ADR
5.92
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.02 · ROC 3.23% · RS 37.67
30 May 2025
Entry
SSYS NASDAQ · Stratasys Ltd
10.33
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 43.65 · ROC 4.79% · RS 8.26
30 May 2025
Entry
VTMX NYSE · Corporación Inmobiliaria Vesta, S.A.B de C.V.
28.04
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.42 · ROC 1.74% · RS 5.17
30 May 2025
Exit
XYF NYSE · X Financial Class A
17.12
Reversal Risk Warning
527.50%
Entry 17 Feb 2023 2.73
23 May 2025
Entry
ADAM NASDAQ · New York Mortgage Trust, Inc.
4.39
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 63.72 · ROC 3.40% · RS 5.13
23 May 2025
Exit
BCRX NASDAQ · BioCryst Pharmaceuticals Inc
10.59
Reversal Risk Warning
34.90%
Entry 26 Jul 2024 7.85
23 May 2025
Entry
CNXC NASDAQ · Concentrix Corporation
53.72
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 87.84 · ROC 1.87% · RS 0.64
23 May 2025
Entry
DG NYSE · Dollar General Corporation
99.36
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 75.44 · ROC 2.31% · RS 7.71
23 May 2025
Exit
GDTC NASDAQ · CytoMed Therapeutics Limited Ordinary Shares
2.20
20% entry drawdown
-20.29%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 2.76
23 May 2025
Entry
KRKR NASDAQ · 36Kr Holdings Inc
5.80
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 78.25 · ROC 2.98% · RS 14.88
23 May 2025
Entry
STVN NYSE · Stevanato Group SpA
22.17
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 55.91 · ROC 2.91% · RS 6.01
23 May 2025
Entry
UPXI NASDAQ · Upexi Inc.
10.68
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 34.00 · ROC 21.83% · RS 82.73
16 May 2025
Exit
ACHR NYSE · Archer Aviation Inc
13.30
Reversal Risk Warning
293.49%
Entry 23 Jun 2023 3.38
16 May 2025
Exit
ADT NYSE · ADT Inc
8.28
Reversal Risk Warning
22.64%
Entry 24 May 2024 6.75
16 May 2025
Exit
CHTR NASDAQ · Charter Communications Inc
427.25
Reversal Risk Warning
17.44%
Entry 21 Mar 2025 363.81