View US ETF Index View Market Dynamics

Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.15
-4.17%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
72.24
-2.29%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.91
14.17%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
6.63
30.26%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.95
-7.54%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.84
-11.63%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.03
-0.01%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.21
62.38%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.35
11.34%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.38
-14.72%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.42
87.07%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.10
New Entry week
4
27.02
3.25%
2.20
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.63
20.56%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.34
-7.02%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.91
24.49%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.33
39.68%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.81
-18.50%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
72.18
-4.30%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
50.42
7.99%
5
79.53
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.81
-1.99%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.06
39.04%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
5.05
-5.08%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.22
0.00%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.43
-5.08%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
46.92
-18.70%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
18.13
74.83%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.01
10.33%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
96.36
2.10%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
20.90
166.58%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2311-2340 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
29 Nov 2024
Exit
PTON NASDAQ · Peloton Interactive Inc
10.34
Reversal Risk Warning
77.05%
Entry 18 Oct 2024 5.84
29 Nov 2024
Entry
QNCX NASDAQ · Quince Therapeutics, Inc.
410.00
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 95.41 · ROC 13.89% · RS 75.30
29 Nov 2024
Exit
RVLV NYSE · Revolve Group LLC
36.08
Reversal Risk Warning
72.80%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 20.88
29 Nov 2024
Entry
SEER NASDAQ · Seer Inc
2.47
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 36.94 · ROC 3.53% · RS 18.07
29 Nov 2024
Entry
SGMT NASDAQ · Sagimet Biosciences Inc. Series A Common Stock
5.69
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 53.12 · ROC 3.34% · RS 3.86
29 Nov 2024
Exit
SKYW NASDAQ · SkyWest Inc
114.74
Reversal Risk Warning
385.16%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 23.65
29 Nov 2024
Exit
UNB NASDAQ · Union Bankshares Inc
31.83
Reversal Risk Warning
44.66%
Entry 27 Oct 2023 22.00
29 Nov 2024
Entry
WB NASDAQ · Weibo Corp
8.11
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 0.06 · ROC 0.58% · RS 0.27
29 Nov 2024
Entry
WBD NASDAQ · Warner Bros Discovery Inc
10.48
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 60.42 · ROC 2.61% · RS 5.77
29 Nov 2024
Entry
XPOF NYSE · Xponential Fitness Inc
15.24
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 58.11 · ROC 2.46% · RS 2.37
22 Nov 2024
Entry
AENT NASDAQ · Alliance Entertainment Holding Corporation Class A Common Stock
5.00
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.49 · ROC 13.22% · RS 105.63
22 Nov 2024
Entry
AEVA NASDAQ · Aeva Technologies, Inc. Common Stock
4.25
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 55.61 · ROC 2.58% · RS 0.63
22 Nov 2024
Exit
ALKT NASDAQ · Alkami Technology Inc
40.69
Reversal Risk Warning
123.94%
Entry 1 Sep 2023 18.17
22 Nov 2024
Exit
AVNS NYSE · Avanos Medical Inc
18.60
20% entry drawdown
-20.27%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 23.33
22 Nov 2024
Exit
AVPT NASDAQ · Avepoint Inc
18.57
Reversal Risk Warning
185.25%
Entry 9 Jun 2023 6.51
22 Nov 2024
Entry
BBAI NYSE · BigBearai Holdings Inc
2.45
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 29.91 · ROC 1.18% · RS 23.51
22 Nov 2024
Exit
BLND NYSE · Blend Labs Inc
5.20
Reversal Risk Warning
276.81%
Entry 3 Nov 2023 1.38
22 Nov 2024
Entry
CAN NASDAQ · Canaan Inc
1.97
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 68.45 · ROC 6.61% · RS 30.99
22 Nov 2024
Entry
DCGO NASDAQ · DocGo Inc
4.25
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 62.30 · ROC 1.71% · RS 1.73
22 Nov 2024
Exit
ELBM NASDAQ · Electra Battery Materials Corp
1.96
20% entry drawdown
-20.84%
Entry 11 Oct 2024 2.48
22 Nov 2024
Entry
FVRR NYSE · Fiverr International Ltd
32.11
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 53.84 · ROC 5.67% · RS 14.57
22 Nov 2024
Exit
GSHD NASDAQ · Goosehead Insurance Inc
119.69
Reversal Risk Warning
141.06%
Entry 14 Apr 2023 49.65
22 Nov 2024
Entry
HURC NASDAQ · Hurco Companies Inc
22.66
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 86.03 · ROC 2.05% · RS 1.31
22 Nov 2024
Entry
IKT NASDAQ · Inhibikase Therapeutics Inc
2.31
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 70.31 · ROC 3.74% · RS 17.79
22 Nov 2024
Exit
MSTR NASDAQ · MicroStrategy Incorporated
421.88
Reversal Risk Warning
1354.26%
Entry 7 Apr 2023 29.01
22 Nov 2024
Exit
PAR NYSE · PAR Technology Corporation
77.41
Reversal Risk Warning
77.79%
Entry 29 Dec 2023 43.54
22 Nov 2024
Entry
PLCE NASDAQ · Children’s Place Inc
16.10
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 69.93 · ROC 9.47% · RS 3.05
22 Nov 2024
Exit
PNR NYSE · Pentair PLC
105.27
Reversal Risk Warning
107.57%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 50.72
22 Nov 2024
Exit
PYPL NASDAQ · PayPal Holdings Inc
86.01
Reversal Risk Warning
23.78%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 69.48
22 Nov 2024
Exit
QTWO NYSE · Q2 Holdings
106.37
Reversal Risk Warning
226.59%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 32.57