Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.28
Total Return
337.28%
CAGR
52.30% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.85%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4969 Avg 1416.8/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.2/wk
Exit Mix
2343 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.6% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 31-60 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
ASRT NASDAQ · Assertio Therapeutics Inc
17 Apr 202618.01
23.50
30.48%
4
93.08
6.92%
37.06
ATER NASDAQ · Aterian Inc
12 Jun 20261.20
1.15
-4.17%
4
88.29
4.16%
8.63
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
15 May 202673.93
72.24
-2.29%
4
62.04
2.55%
0.64
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
5 Dec 202520.94
23.91
14.17%
4
92.66
3.87%
11.20
ATOM NASDAQ · Atomera Inc
10 Apr 20265.09
6.63
30.26%
6
15.56
3.98%
16.03
ATS NYSE · ATS Corporation
6 Mar 202630.23
27.95
-7.54%
4
56.24
0.55%
1.10
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
15 May 20267.74
6.84
-11.63%
6
99.14
3.73%
4.17
AVNT NYSE · Avient Corp
6 Mar 202636.03
36.03
-0.01%
4
86.64
3.22%
0.52
AVTX NASDAQ · Avalo Therapeutics Inc
19 Sep 202511.83
19.21
62.38%
4
71.66
5.83%
29.24
BCBP NASDAQ · BCB Bancorp Inc
17 Apr 20269.30
10.35
11.34%
4
68.45
1.11%
2.62
BCE NYSE · BCE Inc
13 Feb 202625.07
21.38
-14.72%
4
87.08
1.73%
3.24
BDSX NASDAQ · Biodesix Inc
13 Feb 202611.45
21.42
87.07%
4
84.48
9.49%
17.85
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
10 Jul 20261.10
1.10
New Entry week
4
27.02
3.25%
2.20
BGSF NYSE · BG Staffing Inc
2 Jan 20264.67
5.63
20.56%
4
60.82
5.26%
14.48
BLMN NASDAQ · Bloomin Brands Inc
26 Jun 20268.97
8.34
-7.02%
5
62.48
2.84%
8.83
BNED NYSE · Barnes & Noble Education Inc
5 Jun 202610.37
12.91
24.49%
8
13.54
1.19%
1.08
BORR NYSE · Borr Drilling Ltd
31 Oct 20253.10
4.33
39.68%
8
25.02
3.92%
2.01
CAL NYSE · Caleres Inc
29 May 202614.49
11.81
-18.50%
5
19.73
1.45%
0.01
CAVA NYSE · CAVA Group, Inc.
27 Mar 202675.42
72.18
-4.30%
4
65.59
1.55%
3.45
CBRL NASDAQ · Cracker Barrel Old Country Store
12 Jun 202646.69
50.42
7.99%
5
79.53
2.01%
0.49
CC NYSE · Chemours Co
27 Feb 202618.17
17.81
-1.99%
4
93.46
5.29%
25.71
CCCC NASDAQ · C4 Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20262.92
4.06
39.04%
4
36.56
1.30%
12.68
CCM NYSE · Concord Medical Services Holdings
19 Jun 20265.32
5.05
-5.08%
4
38.40
0.63%
0.59
CCRN NASDAQ · Cross Country Healthcare Inc
26 Jun 202613.22
13.22
0.00%
6
66.25
2.64%
2.69
CDXS NASDAQ · Codexis Inc
5 Jun 20262.56
2.43
-5.08%
5
58.49
1.61%
1.50
CE NYSE · Celanese Corporation
13 Mar 202657.71
46.92
-18.70%
4
68.87
1.01%
14.70
CGEM NASDAQ · Cullinan Oncology LLC
26 Dec 202510.37
18.13
74.83%
5
88.22
4.73%
5.45
CHCT NYSE · Community Healthcare Trust Inc
30 Jan 202616.32
18.01
10.33%
4
97.49
1.07%
0.02
CHD NYSE · Church & Dwight Company Inc
27 Mar 202694.38
96.36
2.10%
6
35.98
0.70%
1.44
CHRN NASDAQ · ChronoScale Corporation
2 Jan 20267.84
20.90
166.58%
6
50.51
3.42%
24.90

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 2551-2580 of 4969
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
27 Sep 2024
Exit
ENTA NASDAQ · Enanta Pharmaceuticals Inc
10.05
20% entry drawdown
-27.70%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 13.90
27 Sep 2024
Exit
EXFY NASDAQ · Expensify Inc
2.00
20% entry drawdown
-20.63%
Entry 13 Sep 2024 2.52
27 Sep 2024
Entry
FIGS NYSE · Figs Inc
6.78
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 24.44 · ROC 0.15% · RS 0.54
27 Sep 2024
Exit
LASE NASDAQ · Laser Photonics Corporation Common Stock
14.34
Reversal Risk Warning
582.86%
Entry 26 Apr 2024 2.10
27 Sep 2024
Entry
LBRDA NASDAQ · Liberty Broadband Srs A
68.10
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 59.45 · ROC 0.75% · RS 3.23
27 Sep 2024
Entry
LBRDK NASDAQ · Liberty Broadband Srs C
68.36
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 60.35 · ROC 0.98% · RS 3.39
27 Sep 2024
Entry
MD NYSE · Mednax Inc
11.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 67.32 · ROC 2.82% · RS 5.07
27 Sep 2024
Entry
MNOV NASDAQ · MediciNova Inc
1.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.66 · ROC 5.67% · RS 9.23
27 Sep 2024
Exit
NVNO NASDAQ · enVVeno Medical Corp
113.40
20% entry drawdown
-40.44%
Entry 29 Mar 2024 190.40
27 Sep 2024
Exit
OGCP NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP
11.49
Reversal Risk Warning
57.83%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 7.28
27 Sep 2024
Entry
OOMA NYSE · Ooma Inc
11.40
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 88.28 · ROC 1.37% · RS 1.12
27 Sep 2024
Exit
PHG NYSE · Koninklijke Philips NV ADR
30.38
Reversal Risk Warning
72.04%
Entry 21 Apr 2023 17.66
27 Sep 2024
Exit
RVTY NYSE · Revvity Inc.
125.46
Reversal Risk Warning
2.26%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 122.68
27 Sep 2024
Entry
SBGI NASDAQ · Sinclair Broadcast Group Inc
13.56
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 41.26 · ROC 0.12% · RS 4.67
27 Sep 2024
Exit
SFIX NASDAQ · Stitch Fix
2.84
20% entry drawdown
-30.56%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 4.09
27 Sep 2024
Exit
SMG NYSE · Scotts Miracle-Gro Company
79.46
Reversal Risk Warning
28.15%
Entry 8 Mar 2024 62.01
27 Sep 2024
Entry
TIL NASDAQ · Instil Bio Inc.
65.62
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 62.48 · ROC 53.53% · RS 336.36
27 Sep 2024
Entry
TKLF NASDAQ · Yoshitsu Co Ltd ADR
6.00
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 20.84 · ROC 13.51% · RS 0.22
27 Sep 2024
Entry
VSTD NASDAQ · Vestand Inc.
1.90
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 71.35 · ROC 4.28% · RS 49.31
20 Sep 2024
Exit
CIM NYSE · Chimera Investment Corporation
13.68
Reversal Risk Warning
7.84%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 12.69
20 Sep 2024
Entry
CTSO NASDAQ · Cytosorbents Crp
1.55
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 62.97 · ROC 2.39% · RS 21.67
20 Sep 2024
Exit
ESBA NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP ES
10.50
Reversal Risk Warning
40.18%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 7.49
20 Sep 2024
Exit
ESRT NYSE · Empire State Realty Trust Inc
10.64
Reversal Risk Warning
38.95%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 7.66
20 Sep 2024
Exit
FBIN NYSE · Fortune Brands Innovations Inc.
83.78
Reversal Risk Warning
40.57%
Entry 27 Jan 2023 59.60
20 Sep 2024
Exit
FISK NYSE · Empire State Realty OP LP 250
10.62
Reversal Risk Warning
35.01%
Entry 25 Aug 2023 7.87
20 Sep 2024
Exit
HBB NYSE · Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Co Class A
28.60
Reversal Risk Warning
146.19%
Entry 6 Oct 2023 11.61
20 Sep 2024
Entry
ILAG NASDAQ · Intelligent Living Application Group Inc
10.00
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 90.83 · ROC 11.02% · RS 30.29
20 Sep 2024
Entry
JG NASDAQ · Aurora Mobile Ltd
5.32
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.66 · ROC 5.86% · RS 56.23
20 Sep 2024
Entry
LIND NASDAQ · Lindblad Expeditions Holdings Inc
10.26
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 54.45 · ROC 1.00% · RS 7.54
20 Sep 2024
Exit
MOLN NASDAQ · Molecular Partners AG ADR
4.67
20% entry drawdown
-24.43%
Entry 12 Jul 2024 6.18