Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
CMP NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
13 Jun 202519.24
29.95
55.67%
4
95.91
6.53%
46.95
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
1 May 202611.80
10.61
-10.08%
4
92.52
8.24%
54.02
COLD NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
29 May 202615.46
16.24
5.02%
4
95.14
1.94%
3.67
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
3 Jul 202673.83
73.83
New Entry week
4
83.35
9.24%
22.03
CRSP NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
29 Aug 202551.83
60.08
15.92%
8
37.64
4.23%
1.60
CRSR NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
19 Jun 20268.95
8.90
-0.56%
5
99.41
6.63%
0.92
CRT NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
6 Mar 20269.41
9.02
-4.16%
4
44.90
0.23%
0.83
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
5 Jun 202629.46
28.26
-4.07%
4
52.88
0.99%
39.31
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
30 May 20254.47
4.66
4.25%
4
79.16
4.76%
27.85
CVGI NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
3 Apr 20263.56
4.40
23.60%
4
90.80
12.91%
104.42
CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
29 Aug 20258.86
15.49
74.83%
5
71.93
1.22%
11.07
DCH NYSE · Dauch Corporation
12 Sep 20255.87
5.13
-12.61%
4
97.24
1.62%
1.86
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
12 Jun 20263.01
2.80
-6.98%
4
95.88
3.41%
20.65
DLHC NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
27 Feb 20266.00
5.26
-12.33%
6
2.65
0.35%
4.03
DLTH NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
29 May 20263.35
4.45
32.84%
5
44.25
1.24%
0.75
DLTR NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
9 May 202585.47
124.05
45.14%
4
70.51
2.12%
3.34
DOW NYSE · Dow Inc
20 Feb 202629.87
27.71
-7.22%
4
96.94
1.89%
4.06
DPRO NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
15 Aug 20254.26
5.12
20.19%
4
96.48
4.75%
20.76
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
22 May 20267.23
8.18
13.14%
4
74.98
2.99%
14.34
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
13 Mar 20266.14
8.77
42.83%
5
45.46
1.51%
1.16
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3 Jul 20263.65
3.65
New Entry week
8
23.20
2.51%
18.52
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
12 Jun 2026404.07
417.89
3.42%
5
98.35
3.19%
9.86
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
27 Mar 202670.41
68.86
-2.21%
8
13.96
0.94%
3.98
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
3 Jul 202627.21
27.21
New Entry week
4
81.29
5.52%
19.35
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20261.33
2.92
119.55%
4
57.34
3.39%
8.35
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
22 Aug 20252.27
3.04
33.92%
5
36.10
0.13%
11.92
FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
8 May 202622.15
21.78
-1.67%
4
95.03
2.36%
3.66
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
5 Jun 202617.33
28.11
62.20%
6
97.97
21.39%
81.93
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
5 Sep 20257.27
13.00
78.82%
4
93.61
5.54%
9.40
FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
27 Mar 20263.93
4.69
19.31%
4
39.56
1.38%
6.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 961-990 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
7 Nov 2025
Exit
AIMD NASDAQ · Ainos Inc
2.67
20% entry drawdown
-25.00%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 3.56
7 Nov 2025
Exit
ARBE NASDAQ · Arbe Robotics Ltd
1.63
20% entry drawdown
-25.23%
Entry 17 Oct 2025 2.18
7 Nov 2025
Exit
BAOS NASDAQ · Baosheng Media Group Holdings Ltd
2.57
20% entry drawdown
-22.12%
Entry 26 Sep 2025 3.30
7 Nov 2025
Exit
BCAB NASDAQ · Bioatla Inc
34.33
20% entry drawdown
-20.85%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 43.38
7 Nov 2025
Entry
BGDE NASDAQ · Big Digital Energy, Inc.
21.00
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.72 · ROC 21.21% · RS 23.48
7 Nov 2025
Entry
BKKT NYSE · Bakkt Holdings Inc
23.66
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 75.78 · ROC 18.99% · RS 22.31
7 Nov 2025
Exit
BRTX NASDAQ · BioRestorative Therapies Inc
1.37
20% entry drawdown
-21.71%
Entry 18 Apr 2025 1.75
7 Nov 2025
Exit
CIA NYSE · Citizens Inc
6.08
Reversal Risk Warning
94.25%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 3.13
7 Nov 2025
Exit
COSM NASDAQ · Cosmos Health Inc.
0.69
20% entry drawdown
-26.24%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 0.94
7 Nov 2025
Exit
CRBP NASDAQ · Corbus Pharmaceuticals Holding
10.52
20% entry drawdown
-29.06%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 14.83
7 Nov 2025
Exit
CTOR NASDAQ · Citius Oncology, Inc.
1.40
20% entry drawdown
-22.65%
Entry 8 Aug 2025 1.81
7 Nov 2025
Exit
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
2.22
20% entry drawdown
-29.07%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 3.13
7 Nov 2025
Exit
DERM NASDAQ · Journey Medical Corp
9.11
Reversal Risk Warning
208.81%
Entry 8 Sep 2023 2.95
7 Nov 2025
Exit
DMRA NASDAQ · Damora Therapeutics, Inc.
4.95
20% entry drawdown
-41.28%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 8.43
7 Nov 2025
Exit
DNA NYSE · Ginkgo Bioworks Holdings
8.95
20% entry drawdown
-44.55%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 16.14
7 Nov 2025
Exit
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
6.14
20% entry drawdown
-24.75%
Entry 31 Oct 2025 8.16
7 Nov 2025
Entry
DVLT NASDAQ · Datavault AI Inc.
1.64
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 17.03 · ROC 24.92% · RS 30.85
7 Nov 2025
Exit
EOSE NASDAQ · Eos Energy Enterprises Inc
18.26
Reversal Risk Warning
897.81%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 1.83
7 Nov 2025
Exit
GGRP NASDAQ · The Glimpse Group, Inc.
1.35
20% entry drawdown
-22.41%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 1.74
7 Nov 2025
Exit
GOGO NASDAQ · Gogo Inc
7.65
20% entry drawdown
-27.95%
Entry 30 May 2025 10.61
7 Nov 2025
Entry
GWH NYSE · ESS Tech Inc
4.44
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 44.12 · ROC 11.64% · RS 23.34
7 Nov 2025
Exit
GXAI NASDAQ · Gaxos.ai Inc
1.36
20% entry drawdown
-25.27%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 1.82
7 Nov 2025
Entry
HAL NYSE · Halliburton Company
27.15
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 56.29 · ROC 2.12% · RS 3.81
7 Nov 2025
Entry
HP NYSE · Helmerich and Payne Inc
25.60
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 89.80 · ROC 2.59% · RS 1.29
7 Nov 2025
Exit
HRTG NYSE · Heritage Insurance Hldgs Inc
29.54
Reversal Risk Warning
859.09%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 3.08
7 Nov 2025
Entry
IMVT NASDAQ · Immunovant Inc
23.35
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 64.71 · ROC 3.59% · RS 6.32
7 Nov 2025
Entry
IVVD NASDAQ · Invivyd Inc.
1.59
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 93.53 · ROC 19.54% · RS 54.76
7 Nov 2025
Entry
KW NYSE · Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc
9.08
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 24.09 · ROC 1.07% · RS 4.38
7 Nov 2025
Exit
LI NASDAQ · Li Auto Inc
19.99
20% entry drawdown
-23.14%
Entry 20 Jun 2025 26.01
7 Nov 2025
Exit
LTRN NASDAQ · Lantern Pharma Inc
3.42
20% entry drawdown
-21.20%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 4.34