Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 61-90 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
CMP NYSE · Compass Minerals International Inc
13 Jun 202519.24
29.95
55.67%
4
95.91
6.53%
46.95
CODI NYSE · Compass Diversified Holdings
1 May 202611.80
10.61
-10.08%
4
92.52
8.24%
54.02
COLD NYSE · Americold Realty Trust
29 May 202615.46
16.24
5.02%
4
95.14
1.94%
3.67
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
3 Jul 202673.83
73.83
0.00%
4
83.35
9.24%
22.03
CRSP NASDAQ · Crispr Therapeutics AG
29 Aug 202551.83
60.08
15.92%
8
37.64
4.23%
1.60
CRSR NASDAQ · Corsair Gaming Inc
19 Jun 20268.95
8.90
-0.56%
5
99.41
6.63%
0.92
CRT NYSE · Cross Timbers Royalty Trust
6 Mar 20269.41
9.02
-4.16%
4
44.90
0.23%
0.83
CUE NASDAQ · Cue Biopharma
5 Jun 202629.46
28.26
-4.07%
4
52.88
0.99%
39.31
CVAC NASDAQ · CureVac NV
30 May 20254.47
4.66
4.25%
4
79.16
4.76%
27.85
CVGI NASDAQ · Commercial Vehicle Group Inc
3 Apr 20263.56
4.40
23.60%
4
90.80
12.91%
104.42
CYRX NASDAQ · Cryoport Inc
29 Aug 20258.86
15.49
74.83%
5
71.93
1.22%
11.07
DCH NYSE · Dauch Corporation
12 Sep 20255.87
5.13
-12.61%
4
97.24
1.62%
1.86
DDD NYSE · 3D Systems Corporation
12 Jun 20263.01
2.80
-6.98%
4
95.88
3.41%
20.65
DLHC NASDAQ · DLH Holdings Corp
27 Feb 20266.00
5.26
-12.33%
6
2.65
0.35%
4.03
DLTH NASDAQ · Duluth Holdings Inc
29 May 20263.35
4.45
32.84%
5
44.25
1.24%
0.75
DLTR NASDAQ · Dollar Tree Inc
9 May 202585.47
124.05
45.14%
4
70.51
2.12%
3.34
DOW NYSE · Dow Inc
20 Feb 202629.87
27.71
-7.22%
4
96.94
1.89%
4.06
DPRO NASDAQ · Draganfly Inc
15 Aug 20254.26
5.12
20.19%
4
96.48
4.75%
20.76
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
22 May 20267.23
8.18
13.14%
4
74.98
2.99%
14.34
ECOR NASDAQ · Electrocore LLC
13 Mar 20266.14
8.77
42.83%
5
45.46
1.51%
1.16
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3 Jul 20263.65
3.65
0.00%
8
23.20
2.51%
18.52
ELV NYSE · Elevance Health Inc
12 Jun 2026404.07
417.89
3.42%
5
98.35
3.19%
9.86
EMN NYSE · Eastman Chemical Company
27 Mar 202670.41
68.86
-2.21%
8
13.96
0.94%
3.98
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
3 Jul 202627.21
27.21
0.00%
4
81.29
5.52%
19.35
FATE NASDAQ · Fate Therapeutics Inc
6 Mar 20261.33
2.92
119.55%
4
57.34
3.39%
8.35
FBIO NASDAQ · Fortress Biotech Inc
22 Aug 20252.27
3.04
33.92%
5
36.10
0.13%
11.92
FC NYSE · Franklin Covey Company
8 May 202622.15
21.78
-1.67%
4
95.03
2.36%
3.66
FCEL NASDAQ · FuelCell Energy Inc
5 Jun 202617.33
28.11
62.20%
6
97.97
21.39%
81.93
FDMT NASDAQ · 4D Molecular Therapeutics Inc
5 Sep 20257.27
13.00
78.82%
4
93.61
5.54%
9.40
FF NYSE · FutureFuel Corp
27 Mar 20263.93
4.69
19.31%
4
39.56
1.38%
6.34

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 241-270 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
22 May 2026
Entry
DTIL NASDAQ · Precision BioSciences Inc
7.23
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 74.98 · ROC 2.99% · RS 14.34
22 May 2026
Exit
ERIC NASDAQ · Telefonaktiebolaget LM Ericsson B ADR
13.50
Reversal Risk Warning
137.61%
Entry 12 Jan 2024 5.68
22 May 2026
Exit
GFS NASDAQ · Globalfoundries Inc
85.52
Reversal Risk Warning
99.29%
Entry 6 Feb 2026 42.91
22 May 2026
Exit
ICCC NASDAQ · ImmuCell Corporation
10.12
Reversal Risk Warning
98.04%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 5.11
22 May 2026
Exit
INVX NYSE · Innovex International, Inc
30.05
Reversal Risk Warning
46.73%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 20.48
22 May 2026
Entry
KFRC NYSE · Kforce Inc.
41.20
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 93.52 · ROC 6.61% · RS 12.63
22 May 2026
Exit
KVHI NASDAQ · KVH Industries Inc
11.69
Reversal Risk Warning
110.63%
Entry 27 Dec 2024 5.55
22 May 2026
Entry
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
6.94
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 45.47 · ROC 3.16% · RS 3.90
22 May 2026
Exit
NFBK NASDAQ · Northfield Bancorp Inc
14.17
Reversal Risk Warning
32.48%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 10.70
22 May 2026
Entry
NRC NASDAQ · National Research Corp
18.93
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 82.86 · ROC 5.64% · RS 0.52
22 May 2026
Entry
OGN NYSE · Organon & Co
13.43
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 96.66 · ROC 6.19% · RS 33.08
22 May 2026
Exit
ON NASDAQ · ON Semiconductor Corporation
116.20
Reversal Risk Warning
78.22%
Entry 6 Feb 2026 65.20
22 May 2026
Entry
ONL NYSE · Orion Office Reit Inc
2.98
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 83.43 · ROC 2.33% · RS 10.69
22 May 2026
Entry
OSUR NASDAQ · OraSure Technologies Inc
3.61
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 36.02 · ROC 0.62% · RS 3.43
22 May 2026
Exit
PBT NYSE · Permian Basin Royalty Trust
30.96
Reversal Risk Warning
141.98%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 12.79
22 May 2026
Entry
PVH NYSE · PVH Corp
88.89
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 42.04 · ROC 1.01% · RS 4.36
22 May 2026
Exit
RKLB NASDAQ · Rocket Lab USA Inc.
135.76
Reversal Risk Warning
2236.66%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 5.81
22 May 2026
Exit
SYNA NASDAQ · Synaptics Incorporated
143.69
Reversal Risk Warning
89.71%
Entry 2 Jan 2026 75.74
22 May 2026
Exit
VISN NASDAQ · CommScope Holding Company, Inc.
12.30
Reversal Risk Warning
825.69%
Entry 6 Sep 2024 1.33
15 May 2026
Entry
ACHC NASDAQ · Acadia Healthcare Company Inc
25.81
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 83.10 · ROC 1.05% · RS 3.19
15 May 2026
Entry
ATKR NYSE · Atkore International Group Inc
73.93
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 62.04 · ROC 2.55% · RS 0.64
15 May 2026
Entry
AURA NASDAQ · Aura Biosciences Inc
7.74
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 99.14 · ROC 3.73% · RS 4.17
15 May 2026
Exit
BW NYSE · Babcock & Wilcox Enterprises Inc
21.32
Reversal Risk Warning
685.97%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 2.71
15 May 2026
Exit
BYFC NASDAQ · Broadway Financial Corporation
10.40
Reversal Risk Warning
44.92%
Entry 18 Oct 2024 7.18
15 May 2026
Exit
CING NASDAQ · Cingulate Inc
4.57
20% entry drawdown
-22.41%
Entry 20 Feb 2026 5.89
15 May 2026
Exit
DRTS NASDAQ · Alpha Tau Medical Ltd
10.36
Reversal Risk Warning
235.28%
Entry 27 Dec 2024 3.09
15 May 2026
Exit
EBAY NASDAQ · eBay Inc
115.80
Reversal Risk Warning
173.83%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 42.29
15 May 2026
Exit
ECAT NYSE · BlackRock ESG Capital Allocation Trust
14.81
Reversal Risk Warning
83.44%
Entry 24 Feb 2023 8.07
15 May 2026
Entry
EVTV NASDAQ · Envirotech Vehicles Inc
2.33
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 59.88 · ROC 3.79% · RS 13.17
15 May 2026
Exit
FHTX NASDAQ · Foghorn Therapeutics Inc
3.79
20% entry drawdown
-24.20%
Entry 20 Mar 2026 5.00