Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 3 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
442.32
Total Return
342.32%
CAGR
53.15% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+31.04%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.25 Sortino 3.84
Current Holdings
285
Transactions
4953 Avg 1420.0/yr · 118.3/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2334 Stop 57.2% · Warning 42.7% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

3 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
12
AIRJ NASDAQ · AirJoule Technologies Corporation
4.84 5 signals · MA 76.39 · ROC 4.24% · RS 3.81
COOK NYSE · Traeger Inc
73.83 4 signals · MA 83.35 · ROC 9.24% · RS 22.03
EDIT NASDAQ · Editas Medicine Inc
3.65 8 signals · MA 23.20 · ROC 2.51% · RS 18.52
EPC NYSE · Edgewell Personal Care Co
27.21 4 signals · MA 81.29 · ROC 5.52% · RS 19.35
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
10.84 4 signals · MA 84.92 · ROC 12.88% · RS 8.46
MAN NYSE · ManpowerGroup Inc
38.79 4 signals · MA 92.33 · ROC 3.87% · RS 8.61
MRDN NASDAQ · Meridian Holdings Inc
13.57 5 signals · MA 82.73 · ROC 5.93% · RS 2.64
NWL NASDAQ · Newell Brands Inc
5.83 4 signals · MA 79.52 · ROC 6.86% · RS 15.74
QMCO NASDAQ · Quantum Corporation
10.16 5 signals · MA 99.53 · ROC 9.13% · RS 7.75
SABR NASDAQ · Sabre Corpo
2.09 7 signals · MA 78.18 · ROC 2.51% · RS 3.07
TLX NASDAQ · Telix Pharmaceuticals Limited
11.87 8 signals · MA 51.65 · ROC 1.56% · RS 4.35
WYHG NASDAQ · Wing Yip Food Holdings Group Limited American Depositary Shares
4.51 4 signals · MA 72.17 · ROC 5.14% · RS 9.36

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
4
ABX NYSE · Abacus Global Management, Inc.
11.86 Reversal Risk Warning · 49.75%
ENPH NASDAQ · Enphase Energy Inc
43.07 20% entry drawdown · -23.19%
HLLY NYSE · Holley Inc
2.40 20% entry drawdown · -21.82%
STI NASDAQ · Solidion Technology Inc.
7.85 20% entry drawdown · -36.39%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 121-150 of 285 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
IMVT NASDAQ · Immunovant Inc
7 Nov 202523.35
38.79
66.12%
5
64.71
3.59%
6.32
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
5 Jun 20265.85
4.82
-17.61%
7
65.96
8.77%
8.65
IPSC NASDAQ · Century Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.94
2.43
25.26%
4
75.08
16.21%
170.56
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
12 Jun 20266.10
5.04
-17.38%
4
96.62
4.20%
14.03
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
27 Mar 202627.87
53.75
92.87%
4
97.10
0.93%
24.59
IRWD NASDAQ · Ironwood Pharmaceuticals Inc
14 Nov 20253.14
4.33
37.90%
8
98.96
14.26%
56.91
JAKK NASDAQ · JAKKS Pacific Inc
6 Mar 202620.09
23.44
16.66%
5
74.12
2.33%
2.04
JWEL NASDAQ · Jowell Global Ltd.
25 Oct 20241.74
2.05
17.80%
4
48.67
2.74%
0.12
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
3 Jul 202610.84
10.84
New Entry week
4
84.92
12.88%
8.46
KELYA NASDAQ · Kelly Services A Inc
26 Jun 202612.73
13.08
2.75%
6
98.05
4.92%
3.10
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
27 Mar 202612.64
22.00
74.05%
4
19.09
0.02%
4.97
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
12 Sep 20253.40
5.07
49.13%
4
60.29
0.53%
2.25
KFRC NYSE · Kforce Inc.
22 May 202641.20
50.93
23.62%
4
93.52
6.61%
12.63
KLXE NASDAQ · KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc
13 Feb 20262.54
2.43
-4.33%
4
79.97
4.26%
4.10
KMX NYSE · CarMax Inc
26 Jun 202652.76
50.98
-3.37%
4
86.77
5.19%
3.83
KOP NYSE · Koppers Holdings Inc
20 Mar 202635.02
46.21
31.94%
5
94.22
3.29%
15.17
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20268.77
9.60
9.46%
4
54.99
4.56%
23.02
KRO NYSE · Kronos Worldwide Inc
17 Apr 20266.27
5.97
-4.85%
4
74.90
1.06%
0.35
KTCC NASDAQ · Key Tronic Corporation
5 Jun 20263.73
4.26
14.21%
5
75.50
0.76%
7.72
KW NYSE · Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc
7 Nov 20259.08
10.92
20.22%
8
24.09
1.07%
4.38
KZIA NASDAQ · Kazia Therapeutics Ltd ADR
15 May 202613.16
13.25
0.68%
4
94.60
10.82%
35.61
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
20 Feb 202610.76
8.65
-19.59%
4
87.59
1.57%
5.04
LBTYB NASDAQ · Liberty Global PLC Class B
27 Feb 202612.72
13.20
3.77%
4
93.64
5.72%
5.87
LEE NASDAQ · Lee Enterprises Incorporated
6 Mar 20269.68
8.73
-9.81%
4
96.98
9.40%
46.54
LEG NYSE · Leggett & Platt Incorporated
26 Dec 202510.95
11.94
9.09%
4
93.26
3.13%
6.68
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
26 Jun 20269.59
8.66
-9.70%
4
24.66
33.13%
109.98
LINE NASDAQ · Lineage, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 202643.45
44.00
1.28%
8
83.09
3.36%
0.23
LITB NYSE · LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD
26 Sep 20251.91
3.02
58.27%
4
85.81
9.47%
10.70
LKFT NASDAQ · Lakefront Biotherapeutics NV
11 Jul 202530.30
30.39
0.30%
6
54.25
0.76%
0.66
LNTH NASDAQ · Lantheus Holdings Inc
20 Mar 202676.43
109.89
43.78%
8
65.14
3.51%
3.69

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 841-870 of 4953
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
19 Dec 2025
Exit
WETH NASDAQ · Wetouch Technology Inc. Common Stock
1.54
20% entry drawdown
-24.51%
Entry 21 Nov 2025 2.04
12 Dec 2025
Exit
AAP NYSE · Advance Auto Parts Inc
45.90
20% entry drawdown
-20.58%
Entry 25 Jul 2025 57.79
12 Dec 2025
Entry
ANVS NYSE · Annovis Bio Inc
4.13
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 89.18 · ROC 16.27% · RS 37.50
12 Dec 2025
Exit
BBIO NASDAQ · BridgeBio Pharma Inc
75.15
Reversal Risk Warning
353.26%
Entry 31 Mar 2023 16.58
12 Dec 2025
Exit
BXMT NYSE · Blackstone Mortgage Trust Inc
19.48
Reversal Risk Warning
16.69%
Entry 22 Sep 2023 16.69
12 Dec 2025
Exit
BZUN NASDAQ · Baozun Inc
2.76
20% entry drawdown
-20.69%
Entry 10 Oct 2025 3.48
12 Dec 2025
Exit
CVNA NYSE · Carvana Co
91.14
Reversal Risk Warning
2289.51%
Entry 9 Jun 2023 3.81
12 Dec 2025
Entry
DVN NYSE · Devon Energy Corporation
36.81
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 38.11 · ROC 2.10% · RS 0.25
12 Dec 2025
Exit
FBK NYSE · FB Financial Corp
58.58
Reversal Risk Warning
71.99%
Entry 1 Dec 2023 34.06
12 Dec 2025
Exit
FOX NASDAQ · Fox Corp Class B
62.75
Reversal Risk Warning
114.24%
Entry 10 Mar 2023 29.29
12 Dec 2025
Entry
GLBS NASDAQ · Globus Maritime Ltd
1.46
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 54.23 · ROC 3.89% · RS 6.96
12 Dec 2025
Exit
GM NYSE · General Motors Company
80.52
Reversal Risk Warning
100.85%
Entry 1 Mar 2024 40.09
12 Dec 2025
Exit
IQ NASDAQ · iQIYI Inc
1.95
20% entry drawdown
-21.05%
Entry 3 Oct 2025 2.47
12 Dec 2025
Exit
JFU NASDAQ · 9F Inc
7.37
Reversal Risk Warning
208.37%
Entry 22 Aug 2025 2.39
12 Dec 2025
Entry
KLRS NASDAQ · Kalaris Therapeutics, Inc.
8.87
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 70.05 · ROC 7.40% · RS 27.30
12 Dec 2025
Exit
KRKR NASDAQ · 36Kr Holdings Inc
4.25
20% entry drawdown
-26.72%
Entry 23 May 2025 5.80
12 Dec 2025
Exit
LC NYSE · LendingClub Corp
19.90
Reversal Risk Warning
87.03%
Entry 2 Aug 2024 10.64
12 Dec 2025
Exit
LNC NYSE · Lincoln National Corporation
44.00
Reversal Risk Warning
75.07%
Entry 26 Jan 2024 25.13
12 Dec 2025
Exit
NUTX NASDAQ · Nutex Health Inc
184.89
Reversal Risk Warning
745.40%
Entry 4 Oct 2024 21.87
12 Dec 2025
Exit
OESX NASDAQ · Orion Energy Systems Inc
17.68
Reversal Risk Warning
86.46%
Entry 24 Oct 2025 9.48
12 Dec 2025
Exit
OLMA NASDAQ · Olema Pharmaceuticals Inc
33.05
Reversal Risk Warning
325.35%
Entry 12 Sep 2025 7.77
12 Dec 2025
Entry
PROF NASDAQ · Profound Medical Corp
7.33
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 74.50 · ROC 4.48% · RS 8.96
12 Dec 2025
Exit
QNRX NASDAQ · Quoin Pharmaceuticals Ltd DRC
10.30
20% entry drawdown
-31.47%
Entry 14 Nov 2025 15.03
12 Dec 2025
Entry
SGML NASDAQ · Sigma Lithium Resources Corp
10.93
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 81.53 · ROC 4.23% · RS 18.12
12 Dec 2025
Entry
SSP NASDAQ · E. W. Scripps Co Class A
4.39
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 91.70 · ROC 9.70% · RS 46.76
12 Dec 2025
Entry
TXMD NASDAQ · TherapeuticsMD Inc
1.75
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 94.59 · ROC 3.91% · RS 28.71
12 Dec 2025
Exit
TXO NYSE · MorningStar Partners, L.P.
11.21
20% entry drawdown
-23.70%
Entry 4 Apr 2025 14.69
5 Dec 2025
Exit
ANGO NASDAQ · AngioDynamics Inc
13.47
Reversal Risk Warning
77.00%
Entry 16 Aug 2024 7.61
5 Dec 2025
Exit
ANIX NASDAQ · Anixa Biosciences Inc
4.79
Reversal Risk Warning
39.24%
Entry 18 Jul 2025 3.44
5 Dec 2025
Entry
ATNI NASDAQ · ATN International Inc
20.94
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.66 · ROC 3.87% · RS 11.20