Signal Validation

Trend Performance Index

United States equities with 4-8 positive trend weeks, a weekly close below fair value, positive Market Activity, positive 30-week SMA Rate of Change, and positive Relative Strength.

Latest week 10 Jul 2026 Initial value 100.00
Index Value
437.05
Total Return
337.05%
CAGR
52.28% Annualized from first index week
Edge vs Market
+29.83%/yr Beats SPY on CAGR
Risk Adjusted
Sharpe 2.23 Sortino 3.79
Current Holdings
283
Transactions
4971 Avg 1417.3/yr · 118.1/mo · 27.3/wk
Exit Mix
2344 Stop 57.3% · Warning 42.5% · Other 0.1%

Method

How The Index Works

The index is a weekly, equal-weighted performance model for the selected country’s equities. It starts at 100.00 on the first transaction week after 1 Jan 2023 and is rebuilt from stored weekly closes, indicators, and Smart Money warning data.

01

Universe

Active equities from the selected country only. ETFs, crypto, commodities, and listings outside the selected market are excluded from each country index.

02

Entry Rule

A stock enters at that week’s close when it has 4-8 positive trend signals, the close is below that week’s fair value, Market Activity, 30-week SMA 4-week Rate of Change, and Relative Strength are all above zero, and there is no Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warning that week.

03

Exit Rule

A position exits at the weekly close on the first Reversal Risk Warning or Reversal Danger Warning. It also exits if the weekly close falls 20% or more below the original entry close.

04

Return Math

Each active holding contributes equally. The weekly index return is the average weekly close-to-close return of all positions active during that week, then compounded into the index value.

Assumptions
  • Positions that exit cannot re-enter during the same positive trend run; the trend signal must reset first.
  • New positions are not opened on weeks with Reversal Risk or Reversal Danger Warnings.
  • Positions are closed at the last valid close if a 5x or larger weekly close scale break indicates a price-data unit change.
  • Transaction prices are the stored weekly closes for the entry or exit week, except price scale-break exits, which use the last valid close.
  • Returns are shown before transaction costs, bid-ask spreads, slippage, taxes, and other implementation frictions.

Weekly Index

Cumulative Value

Equal-weighted active positions

Latest Week

Positions In And Out

10 Jul 2026

New Positions In

Entries at weekly close
8
AMCX NASDAQ · AMC Networks Inc
9.92 4 signals · MA 47.92 · ROC 1.23% · RS 4.42
BFRI NASDAQ · Biofrontera Inc
1.10 4 signals · MA 27.02 · ROC 3.25% · RS 2.20
FIVN NASDAQ · Five9 Inc
25.42 6 signals · MA 41.93 · ROC 1.63% · RS 2.87
HPP NYSE · Hudson Pacific Properties Inc
15.18 4 signals · MA 83.69 · ROC 3.64% · RS 4.60
IFBD NASDAQ · Infobird Co Ltd
1.21 4 signals · MA 0.63 · ROC 1.78% · RS 2.44
S NYSE · SentinelOne Inc
17.88 6 signals · MA 36.82 · ROC 1.09% · RS 1.09
STFS NASDAQ · Star Fashion Culture Holdings Limited
18.29 8 signals · MA 81.90 · ROC 18.63% · RS 12.34
SXC NYSE · SunCoke Energy Inc
8.22 7 signals · MA 32.21 · ROC 3.23% · RS 1.72

Positions Out

Closed at weekly close
10
ACDC NASDAQ · ProFrac Holding Corp.
4.92 20% entry drawdown · -23.36%
AMR NYSE · Alpha Metallurgical Resources Inc
146.69 20% entry drawdown · -23.81%
IPWR NASDAQ · Ideal Power Inc
4.57 20% entry drawdown · -25.08%
KELYB NASDAQ · Kelly Services B Inc
23.95 Reversal Risk Warning · 89.47%
LAND NASDAQ · Gladstone Land Corporation
8.56 20% entry drawdown · -20.43%
LESL NASDAQ · Leslies Inc
6.24 20% entry drawdown · -34.93%
LVO NASDAQ · LiveOne Inc
5.23 20% entry drawdown · -24.64%
TROX NYSE · Tronox Holdings PLC
6.14 20% entry drawdown · -20.79%
UNCY NASDAQ · Unicycive Therapeutics Inc
5.21 20% entry drawdown · -22.12%
XWEL NASDAQ · XWELL Inc.
0.95 20% entry drawdown · -25.57%

Live Book

Current Holdings

Showing 121-150 of 283 open
Ticker Entry Last Close Return Signals Activity ROC RS
IHS NYSE · IHS Holding Ltd
7 Feb 20253.79
8.28
118.47%
4
52.72
1.34%
8.33
IIPR NYSE · Innovative Industrial Properties Inc
8 May 202655.59
64.44
15.93%
5
51.06
1.20%
0.90
IMRX NASDAQ · Immuneering Corp
25 Jul 20254.06
5.11
25.86%
4
97.64
14.41%
81.13
IMVT NASDAQ · Immunovant Inc
7 Nov 202523.35
39.71
70.06%
5
64.71
3.59%
6.32
INV NASDAQ · Innventure, Inc.
5 Jun 20265.85
5.01
-14.36%
7
65.96
8.77%
8.65
IPSC NASDAQ · Century Therapeutics Inc
9 Jan 20261.94
2.25
15.98%
4
75.08
16.21%
170.56
IRDM NASDAQ · Iridium Communications Inc
27 Mar 202627.87
50.06
79.63%
4
97.10
0.93%
24.59
IRWD NASDAQ · Ironwood Pharmaceuticals Inc
14 Nov 20253.14
4.47
42.36%
8
98.96
14.26%
56.91
JAKK NASDAQ · JAKKS Pacific Inc
6 Mar 202620.09
22.73
13.13%
5
74.12
2.33%
2.04
JWEL NASDAQ · Jowell Global Ltd.
25 Oct 20241.74
2.01
15.21%
4
48.67
2.74%
0.12
JXG NASDAQ · JX Luxventure Group Inc.
3 Jul 202610.84
11.16
2.95%
4
85.82
12.88%
8.46
KELYA NASDAQ · Kelly Services A Inc
26 Jun 202612.73
13.55
6.44%
6
97.98
4.92%
3.10
KFFB NASDAQ · Kentucky First Federal Bancorp
12 Sep 20253.40
5.00
47.06%
4
60.29
0.53%
2.25
KFRC NYSE · Kforce Inc.
22 May 202641.20
54.63
32.60%
4
93.52
6.61%
12.63
KLXE NASDAQ · KLX Energy Services Holdings Inc
13 Feb 20262.54
2.46
-3.15%
4
79.97
4.26%
4.10
KMX NYSE · CarMax Inc
26 Jun 202652.76
53.49
1.38%
4
86.72
5.19%
3.83
KOP NYSE · Koppers Holdings Inc
20 Mar 202635.02
47.56
35.80%
5
94.22
3.29%
15.17
KPTI NASDAQ · Karyopharm Therapeutics Inc
1 May 20268.77
10.34
17.90%
4
54.99
4.56%
23.02
KRO NYSE · Kronos Worldwide Inc
17 Apr 20266.27
5.89
-6.12%
4
74.90
1.06%
0.35
KTCC NASDAQ · Key Tronic Corporation
5 Jun 20263.73
4.09
9.65%
5
74.39
0.76%
7.72
KW NYSE · Kennedy-Wilson Holdings Inc
7 Nov 20259.08
10.92
20.22%
8
24.09
1.07%
4.38
KZIA NASDAQ · Kazia Therapeutics Ltd ADR
15 May 202613.16
13.56
3.04%
4
94.60
10.82%
35.61
LBTYB NASDAQ · Liberty Global PLC Class B
27 Feb 202612.72
11.65
-8.41%
4
93.64
5.72%
5.87
LEE NASDAQ · Lee Enterprises Incorporated
6 Mar 20269.68
8.11
-16.22%
4
96.98
9.40%
46.54
LEG NYSE · Leggett & Platt Incorporated
26 Dec 202510.95
10.94
-0.05%
4
93.26
3.13%
6.68
LINE NASDAQ · Lineage, Inc. Common Stock
26 Jun 202643.45
43.12
-0.75%
8
90.19
3.36%
0.23
LITB NYSE · LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd ARD
26 Sep 20251.91
3.05
60.10%
4
85.81
9.47%
10.70
LKFT NASDAQ · Lakefront Biotherapeutics NV
11 Jul 202530.30
30.27
-0.10%
6
54.25
0.76%
0.66
LNTH NASDAQ · Lantheus Holdings Inc
20 Mar 202676.43
105.64
38.22%
8
65.14
3.51%
3.69
LPL NYSE · LG Display Co Ltd
25 Jul 20253.83
3.71
-3.13%
4
46.76
1.56%
1.01

Ledger

Transaction History

Showing 1891-1920 of 4971
Date Action Ticker Price Reason Return Qualifiers
14 Mar 2025
Exit
ASMB NASDAQ · Assembly Biosciences Inc
10.86
20% entry drawdown
-21.13%
Entry 5 Apr 2024 13.77
14 Mar 2025
Exit
BKSY NYSE · Blacksky Technology Inc
9.08
20% entry drawdown
-23.50%
Entry 3 Jan 2025 11.87
14 Mar 2025
Exit
BTBD NASDAQ · Bt Brands Inc
1.48
20% entry drawdown
-20.22%
Entry 31 Jan 2025 1.86
14 Mar 2025
Exit
CPSH NASDAQ · Cps Technologies
1.52
20% entry drawdown
-20.83%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 1.92
14 Mar 2025
Exit
DHX NYSE · DHI Group Inc
1.55
20% entry drawdown
-40.84%
Entry 21 Feb 2025 2.62
14 Mar 2025
Exit
DOYU NASDAQ · DouYu International Holdings
8.79
Reversal Risk Warning
481.88%
Entry 28 Jun 2024 1.51
14 Mar 2025
Entry
EFOI NASDAQ · Energy Focu
2.11
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 92.00 · ROC 8.60% · RS 43.34
14 Mar 2025
Exit
EGHT NASDAQ · 8x8 Inc Common Stock
2.14
20% entry drawdown
-24.65%
Entry 24 Jan 2025 2.84
14 Mar 2025
Entry
FET NYSE · Forum Energy Technologies Inc
19.06
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 31.69 · ROC 1.40% · RS 10.37
14 Mar 2025
Entry
FLG NYSE · Flagstar Financial, Inc.
11.81
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 52.26 · ROC 1.89% · RS 11.94
14 Mar 2025
Entry
GEG NASDAQ · Great Elm Group Inc
1.91
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 44.94 · ROC 0.75% · RS 4.13
14 Mar 2025
Exit
IHRT NASDAQ · iHeartMedia Inc Class A
1.61
20% entry drawdown
-27.15%
Entry 15 Nov 2024 2.21
14 Mar 2025
Exit
INSE NASDAQ · Inspired Entertainment Inc
8.37
20% entry drawdown
-22.36%
Entry 28 Feb 2025 10.78
14 Mar 2025
Exit
MATW NASDAQ · Matthews International Corporation
21.42
20% entry drawdown
-23.28%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 27.91
14 Mar 2025
Entry
NTR NYSE · Nutrien Ltd
48.52
Trend inclusion
-
8 signals MA 24.66 · ROC 1.36% · RS 1.66
14 Mar 2025
Entry
OKYO NASDAQ · OKYO Pharma Ltd ADR
1.51
Trend inclusion
-
5 signals MA 69.40 · ROC 3.18% · RS 23.78
14 Mar 2025
Exit
OMCL NASDAQ · Omnicell Inc
33.00
20% entry drawdown
-25.81%
Entry 30 Aug 2024 44.48
14 Mar 2025
Entry
OWLT NYSE · Owlet Inc
4.49
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 8.32 · ROC 0.91% · RS 0.26
14 Mar 2025
Exit
PENN NASDAQ · Penn National Gaming Inc
17.09
20% entry drawdown
-24.81%
Entry 14 Feb 2025 22.73
14 Mar 2025
Exit
RICK NASDAQ · RCI Hospitality Holdings Inc
44.72
20% entry drawdown
-20.07%
Entry 20 Dec 2024 55.95
14 Mar 2025
Entry
SDGR NASDAQ · Schrodinger Inc
22.90
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 21.91 · ROC 1.23% · RS 6.78
14 Mar 2025
Entry
SOGP NASDAQ · Sound Group Inc.
2.02
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 31.34 · ROC 1.84% · RS 2.56
14 Mar 2025
Entry
SQM NYSE · Sociedad Quimica y Minera de Chile SA ADR B
42.51
Trend inclusion
-
6 signals MA 17.19 · ROC 1.39% · RS 3.95
14 Mar 2025
Exit
TOI NASDAQ · Oncology Institute Inc
0.65
20% entry drawdown
-26.62%
Entry 21 Feb 2025 0.89
14 Mar 2025
Entry
VHC NASDAQ · VirnetX Holding Corp Common Stock
8.10
Trend inclusion
-
7 signals MA 36.81 · ROC 4.13% · RS 26.70
14 Mar 2025
Exit
VUZI NASDAQ · Vuzix Corp Cmn Stk
2.36
20% entry drawdown
-30.79%
Entry 10 Jan 2025 3.41
14 Mar 2025
Exit
XPEV NYSE · Xpeng Inc
23.73
Reversal Risk Warning
105.99%
Entry 1 Nov 2024 11.52
14 Mar 2025
Exit
XPOF NYSE · Xponential Fitness Inc
7.46
20% entry drawdown
-51.05%
Entry 29 Nov 2024 15.24
7 Mar 2025
Entry
ADAM NASDAQ · New York Mortgage Trust, Inc.
4.65
Trend inclusion
-
4 signals MA 76.54 · ROC 1.39% · RS 14.60
7 Mar 2025
Exit
AEVA NASDAQ · Aeva Technologies, Inc. Common Stock
3.13
20% entry drawdown
-26.35%
Entry 22 Nov 2024 4.25