Weekly Chart PackCompleted weekly market data ยท Independent research
NYSE ยท Equity ยท United States
FLG
Flagstar Financial, Inc.
Financial ServicesBanks - Regional
Flagstar Financial, Inc. is the bank holding company for Flagstar Bank, N.A. that provides banking products and services in the United States. The company is headquartered in Hicksville, New York.
Last updated
9 Oct 2026
Exchange
NYSE ยท NYSE
Sector
Financial Services
Industry
Banks - Regional
Currency
USD
Market capitalisation
5,105,641,962
Fair value reference
13.53
Next-week expectancy
Undecided ยท 53.14%
Executive chart read
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-10-09, FLG fell 18.27%, moving from 13.85 to 11.32. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 4 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -21.99 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -1.07 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 53.14% based on similar historical setup states.
Week Ending
9 Oct 2026
Latest Close
11.32
12-Week Change
-18.27%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 53.14%
Signal Weeks
4 of 12
Chart views
Completed weekly prices ยท Select a view to explore the evidence.
Weekly Trend
All chart layers are hidden. Open Chart options to select a layer or choose Reset.
Weekly Close
Trend Line
Fair Value
Activity LinesDirection Line
Analysis panels
Choose up to 6 panels. Drag panel headers to reorder.
Price Sponsorship Indicator
What it is
Price Sponsorship Indicator PSI
PSI compares the weekly price move with the market activity behind it. It shows whether price has broad support or whether that support is weakening.
Move across either panel to inspect a week
PricePositive trendNegative trendPossible changeStrong supportPositive supportWeak support
What it shows
Price and the support behind it
Price above, support below. Both panels follow the same completed weeks. Use the controls to show or hide trend segments and support averages.
Current completed-week read ยท 2026-10-09
Support has broken down
Price and PSI are weakening together. An improvement in the bars would be the first sign of recovery.
PSI score
20/1001 completed week
Recent support
-31Building
Readings pointing the same way
100%Activity is weighing on price
01Support buildsGreen bars rise above zero.
02Price confirmsPrice rises with positive bars.
03Support holdsPositive bars remain with price.
04WarningBars weaken before or with price.
What it shows
Is this move specific to the ticker or shared by the market?
This compares the ticker's PSI reading with how widely stocks on its exchange are moving together. It does not change PSI.
Stocks moving together40/100
Broad move building ยท less together
Ticker and market
Weakness is mainly in this ticker
PSI is weak, but the wider market is not showing the same degree of pressure.
PSI
-59.0
Market togetherness
40/100
Ticker supported, market mixed
Positive PSI without a strong shared market move.
Ticker supported, market moving together
Positive PSI within a strong shared market move.
Ticker weak, market mixed
Weak PSI without matching broad market weakness.
Current contextTicker weak, broad market weak
Weak PSI within a strong shared market decline.
Second check
Does Market Dynamics agree?
PSI shows support for the price move. Market Dynamics provides a separate check on whether conditions beneath price point the same way.
What it shows
Both readings are weak
PSI and Market Dynamics point in the same weak direction.
Current reading
-1.07
Four-week change
+0.13
Sharemaestro ยท FLG ยท Weekly price reversals
RMI Reversal Map Indicator
See where price breaks a previous high or low, turns back, and confirms a change in direction.
โ Broke a prior high / lowโ Closed back across the levelโฒ / โผ Reversal confirmedโ โ Confirmation levelโ Average price since the sweep (VWAP)
Observed follow-through
What happened after confirmation?
Direction-adjusted price moves from the next weekly open. Only outcomes completed by the replay date are included. Before costs; no exit rules applied. Overlapping observations are not independent trades or a forecast.
Dated observations
Setup journal
Reading the chart
The chart opens on the latest 152 weeks. Choose 52 or 104 weeks for a closer view. Only confirmed reversals are shown. Clear confirmations is the stricter starting view; All confirmations also includes reversals that did not meet every strength check. Green marks a confirmed turn up; red marks a confirmed turn down. Dashed outlines mark historical setups. A zone marks where the reversal developed; its end does not mean the whole price move ended. Select a journal entry to review a past setup, or use the replay slider to see what was known at an earlier close.
Annotations adds dates and explanations for every visible zone. A separate Follow-up complete marker shows when eight weeks of tracking finished. The price move may continue beyond it. The numbered notes below the chart also let you select a zone to inspect it. Confirmed reversals can fail; failed setups stay in the history. Follow-through figures describe past price moves before costs; they are not a forecast or trading record.
Results use completed weekly prices. Missing or revised source data can affect the saved history.
Adaptive Price Envelope
Price, volatility and confirmation
Adaptive Price Envelope APE
See where price sits inside boundaries that adjust to completed-week direction and volatility, then check whether the wider evidence confirms the move.
Lower-envelope pressure is established. The important distinction is whether price repairs back inside the envelope or continues lower with confirming evidence.
Position
-1%Below the lower envelope
Pressure
-81Cautious
Confirmation
90%Broad confirmation
Underlying support
Market Dynamics context
Use the envelope for price location and Market Dynamics to see whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Supportive Market DynamicsCautious Market DynamicsNeutral line
APE and support read
Market Dynamics confirms lower-envelope pressure
Underlying support is cautious while price is on the lower side of APE. Repair would require price and Market Dynamics to improve together.
Current reading
-1.07
Four-week change
+0.13
Current path
Strengthening
Confirmation checks
What supports or challenges the current read
A band touch is context, not a conclusion. These independent checks show whether the completed-week move has broader support.
Envelope pathCautious-1% of the envelope
Price location and the direction of the adaptive centre are read together.
Trend LineCautiousBelow and falling
Checks whether completed-week price and the primary trend are moving in the same direction.
Market DynamicsMixed-1.07 ยท +0.13 over 4 weeks
Tests whether support beneath price is strengthening or weakening.
Relative strengthCautious-22.0 ยท -13.9 over 4 weeks
Shows whether the listing is strengthening or weakening against its stored comparison benchmark.
ParticipationCautious1.56ร recent volume
Checks whether the current move is attracting more participation than recent completed weeks.
Completed-week analysis
How to interpret this envelope now
Price position
Below the lower envelope
The latest close sits at -1% of the current lower-to-upper envelope span and has held this state for 1 completed week.
Envelope width
Envelope width is expanded
Current width ranks at the 99th percentile of the recent completed-week history. Compression can precede expansion but does not determine direction.
Evidence agreement
Broad confirmation
90% of the available trend, support, relative-strength and participation checks agree with or do not contradict the current envelope pressure.
What to watch next
Persistence, repair or rejection
Watch completed closes around the adaptive centre (12.78), upper boundary (14.59) and lower boundary (11.37).
Recent completed events
What changed around the envelope
Lower-envelope break
Price closed beneath the adaptive lower boundary.
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Upper-envelope break
Price closed above the adaptive upper boundary.
Upper re-entry
Price moved back inside the envelope after an upper break.
Auction Intelligence
Sharemaestro market acceptance
Auction Intelligence
Where the market has accepted value, how that value is moving, and which price pathways remain structurally open.
The auction map
Price path and acceptance geometry
Price shows the journey; the profile shows where that journey developed durable market memory.
The negative weekly move attracted clearly elevated participation.
What happened this week?
The latest completed candle
The latest week is separated into price change, candle character, closing position and path quality.
Weekly move-3.25%
Latest close versus the preceding completed close.
Candle characterWeak close
Price declined and finished in the lower part of the completed weekly range.
Where the week closedLower part of the range
The close finished at 31% of the completed weekly range.
Path qualityUnstable
Frequent recent changes in direction reduce confidence in the current price path.
Current evaluation
What the weekly tape says now
The interpretation combines completed price structure, trend relationship, participation and path quality.
What supports it
The latest close finished below the recent completed price structure.
What would improve it
A sustained close above the nearest completed resistance, supported by firmer participation, would improve confirmation.
What could weaken it
A sustained loss of the nearest completed support would materially weaken the current price structure.
What to watch next
Trend relationship is below a falling trend; participation is strong negative participation, and path quality is unstable.
Statistical perspective
Where the latest close sits in its own completed history
These observations describe the available record. They are market context, not predictions of the next move.
Position in completed history9% of range
The latest close's location between the lowest and highest completed closes available for this market.
Distance from completed high-70.9%
How far the latest close sits below the highest completed close in the available history.
Recovery from completed low+34.2%
How far the latest close has advanced from the lowest completed close in the available history.
Latest move versus typical1.0ร typical
The absolute latest weekly move compared with completed weekly moves available before it.
Completed event history
What changed, and when
Only selected completed events are shown. Each annotation is descriptive, not a standalone instruction.
Support structure lost
The weekly close moved below the preceding completed price structure.
Latest week
Trend lost
The weekly close moved below the completed trend reference.
7 weeks ago
Upside structure cleared
The weekly close moved above the preceding completed price structure.
17 weeks ago
Trend reclaimed
The weekly close moved back above the completed trend reference.
28 weeks ago
High-participation reversal
Price changed weekly direction with elevated participation.
39 weeks ago
Range
Sharemaestro Range
Where price is trading
The fitted range, accepted trading area and strongest price levels are calculated automatically from completed weekly market data.
Current stateBelow the trend range
Range pressureCurrent range pressure ยท 50 is balanced
Weekly closeFitted rangeActivity ribbonEstimated activity at priceAutomatic level
52-week position
15.8%
Low to high
Accepted price
11.50
Latest versus accepted: -1.58%
Fitted direction
Rising
0.30% per week
Range pressure
11/100
Lower pressure
Range condition
Normal
0.96ร normal range
Automatic structure
Strongest price levels
Structural price levels, distance from close and supporting evidence
Reference
Price
From close
Evidence
Touches
Support
10.45
-7.7%
29/100
2
Support
10.86
-4.1%
71/100
3
Resistance
11.50
1.6%
96/100
4
Resistance
12.50
10.5%
88/100
5
Current reading
What the range shows
Current positionBelow the trend range
Price is at 15.8% of its latest 52-week range.
Fitted directionRising
The fitted centre line is moving +0.29% per week.
Range pressureLower pressure
The current pressure reading is 11/100; 50 is balanced.
Next structural level10.86
Support is 4.0% from the latest close with 71/100 evidence strength.
Point & Figure
Price structure ยท volume at price
Point & Figure market structure
Each X marks a rising price box and each O marks a falling price box. Time is removed from the horizontal scale so reversals, breakouts and areas of heavy trading stand out.
MethodAdaptive scale
Smart Money
Completed-week positioning evidence
Smart Money
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the trend or warning of increased risk.
Price, support and published events
Where confirmation strengthened or risk increased
Selected annotations highlight meaningful completed-week events; every existing chart series and marker remains visible.
Close Price
Trend Line
Demand Threshold Line
Reversal Risk Level
Current Smart Money readSmart Money support is weak
The current completed-week evidence is not providing dependable confirmation for price.
Momentum 0.38 ยท Weakening
Trend qualityWeak alignment
The current trend state has persisted for 8 completed weeks; visible confirmation is weak alignment.
Momentum pathSoft ยท Weakening
The latest completed-week level and direction.
Latest positive signalNo recent positive signal
The chart is carrying context rather than a fresh positive event marker.
Risk and warningsNormal
Earlier warnings are outside the recent completed-week window.
Current evaluation
What the Smart Money chart means now
The reading combines the finished chart state, its direction and the timing of published signals.
What supports it
There is limited positive confirmation; the chart should be read cautiously until support improves.
What would improve it
A turn higher in the momentum path, followed by steadier trend confirmation, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
There is no fresh positive event marker, so the current reading depends on continued confirmation rather than a new signal.
Published signal history
What changed, and when
Event markers are observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Reversal danger
The chart registered its strongest reversal warning.
165 weeks ago
Reversal risk
The chart registered elevated reversal risk.
167 weeks ago
Market Dynamics
Price and underlying support
Market Dynamics
See whether the support beneath price is strengthening, weakening, confirming the move or beginning to diverge from it.
Zero lineMarket Dynamics Rate of ChangePrice ActionVolume ActionFlip UpFlip Down
Price and support relationship ยท 12 completed weeks
Market Dynamics is improving ahead of price
Price is -18.3% across this view and is in the lower part of its stored price range, while Market Dynamics is -1.07 after a +0.13 change over the latest 4 completed weeks. Support is improving before price has provided the same confirmation.
Latest 4 weeks in focus
Price change from 2026-07-24Market DynamicsLatest 4 completed weeks
Zone-to-zone journey model
Returned to accumulation; awaiting confirmation
Price has spent 1 completed week back inside the current accumulation zone. Two light-zone closes or one dark-zone close invalidates this transition.
Current journey
Accumulation to distribution ยท Source-zone return
Activated
2026-03-27
Model data
Through 2026-08-21
What Market Dynamics shows
Yes. Market Dynamics follows the completed-week transition between the two sides of a market cycle. Accumulation is the lower zone where selling pressure may be absorbed and support may be forming; distribution is the upper zone where earlier demand may be tiring and supply can begin to take control. The model measures both accumulation to distribution and the reverse journey, and waits for a deeper close or repeated closes before treating a new zone as confirmed. FLG's attempted move from accumulation toward distribution has returned to its original accumulation area for 1 completed week. The transition is therefore at risk, but is not treated as failed until that return is confirmed. For an investor, the value is in separating an apparent price move from a completed change in market character: target confirmation can strengthen the case that a new phase is taking hold, while a confirmed source return warns that the attempted change did not persist and the risk/reward should be reassessed. The completed journeys below show how 1 transitions in this ticker's stored history reached and confirmed the opposite zone.
Source-zone return 1 week
Accumulation to Distribution ยท 28 completed weeks since exit
Complete within 26 weeks 1%
Confirm the current distribution zone first
Complete within 52 weeks 3%
Confirm the target zone using completed weeks
Invalidate within 52 weeks 89%
Confirm a return to the source zone first
Question 1 ยท Where has price travelled?
Current journey through the zone span
Zero is the confirmed starting zone; 100% is the opposite target zone.
Observed zone-span positionStarting-zone sideTarget-zone side
Question 2 ยท What does the model estimate?
Current 52-week outcome probability
These are competing model outcomes for the active journey, not next-week forecasts.
Confirm target within 52 weeksReturn to source within 52 weeks
12 weeks1%
26 weeks1%
52 weeks3%
Accumulation zone
11.64 / deep 8.75
Current close
11.32
Distribution zone
29.01 / deep 31.90
Source-zone dwell
2 completed weeks
Market Dynamics -1.07Latest causal completed-week reading12-week change -1.98Change in underlying supportTrend position -18%Close relative to the Trend LineVolume ratio 1.00รRecent activity versus its baseline
What actually happened before?
Successful zone transitions
Target-confirmed opposite-zone transitions from the latest 156 charted weeks.
Most recent successful journeyDistribution to Accumulation ยท Confirmed accumulation
2024-02-02โ2024-03-08 ยท 6 completed weeks ยท price move -42.8%. Across this chart, 1 journey confirmed an opposite zone: 0 reached distribution and 1 reached accumulation.
0% ยท confirmed source exit100% ยท confirmed opposite zone
Distribution to AccumulationConfirmed accumulation
2024-02-02โ2024-03-08 ยท journey 6w ยท source dwell 7w
Source exit50%Target confirmed
Furthest point
100%
Price move
-42.8%
Time to confirm
6w
Reached and confirmed accumulation after 6 completed weeks. Price moved -42.8% from the confirmed source-zone exit.
Earnings and Price Index
Earnings and Price Index
A three-year index of the relationship between earnings power and market price.
Market price
Earnings power
Repricing spread
Earnings update
Current stateFundamental fracture
Market price is leading earnings power; the spread is closing and has persisted through 10 updates.
Spread
Closing
Persistence
10 quarters
Confirmation
Mixed support
Repricing pressure
Moderate โ price-led
Market move-61.2%
Three-year change
Earnings move-97.9%
Three-year change
Repricing spread-36.7 pts
closing
Current valuation141.5ร
Price relative to earnings power
Fundamental fracture
Earnings have weakened while price has not adjusted to the same degree.
Supporting evidence
Attribution, business confirmation and horizon robustness
The components behind the repricing relationship and the independent evidence that supports or challenges it.
What drove the move?
Earnings and relative valuation contributions
Shows how the earnings move and relative valuation combine into the total market move.
What supports the earnings picture?
Business confirmation
4 of 6 available business-quality checks are supportive.
EarningsRevenue
Cash conversionWhether reported profit is supported by free cash generation.Supportive
Revenue directionWhether top-line progress supports the earnings direction.Caution
Free-cash-flow directionWhether free cash flow is improving with earnings.Caution
Accrual pressureLower accrual pressure is a cleaner confirmation of earnings.Supportive
Share countA stable or falling share count makes per-share progress more durable.Supportive
Signal robustness
Does the relationship persist across time horizons?
Shows whether the same earnings or price lead remains visible from shorter starting points.
Market acceptance
How price responded to each earnings update
Across completed four-week windows, 1 improving update had a non-positive price response; 0 had a meaningful positive price response.
Professional contextPeer rarity, comparable outcomes and state history
Comparable historical outcomes
There are not yet enough comparable point-in-time observations for a responsible outcome summary.
State transitions
Highlights when the dominant relationship between earnings power and market price changed.
Broadly aligned
Earnings ahead
Shared contraction
Fundamental fracture
Price Cycle
Completed-week market perception
Price Cycle
A deep view of whether price pressure is strong, weak, strengthening, fading or moving through a higher-risk transition.
Pressure, price and published transitions
Where market perception strengthened, faded or changed state
The percentage reading is primary. Weekly close is retained only as market context; selected annotations identify meaningful completed transitions.
Market PerceptionPositive pressureNegative pressureWeekly CloseBalanceCrossed upCrossed downPublished transition or Price Action signal
Current Price Cycle readNegative pressure remains established and weakening
Price is holding a weak market-perception position. Negative pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
-16.35% ยท Negative ยท Weakening
Market positionNegative
Price is holding a weak market-perception position.
Pressure directionWeakening
Negative pressure is becoming more forceful across the recent completed path.
Trend qualityUnstable
The recent path has changed direction frequently, reducing confidence in persistence.
Risks and warningsTransition risk
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
Current evaluation
What the Price Cycle says now
The evaluation combines the finished pressure state, its direction, persistence and historical context.
What supports it
There is limited positive pressure; the reading needs improvement before it offers dependable support.
What would improve it
A sustained recovery toward balance, followed by positive pressure, would strengthen the reading.
What could weaken it
Frequent recent changes around balance make the current direction less dependable.
What to watch next
The latest path is weakening with unstable trend quality. Comparable history is constructive follow-through.
Statistical perspective
How unusual, persistent and historically consequential is this position?
Historical observations describe completed evidence. They do not predict the next price move.
Historical positionLower 34% of history
The latest reading is weaker than 66% of completed observations.
State persistence13 completed weeks
The current negative state has persisted without interruption.
Comparable historyConstructive follow-through
Across 111 comparable completed observations, later closes were higher 64% of the time; the typical move was +4.3%. This is context, not a forecast.
Published transition history
What changed, and when
Transitions are completed observations, not standalone instructions to buy or sell.
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
5 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
11 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
14 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
20 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
28 weeks ago
Elevated strength
Positive pressure entered an historically strong position.
39 weeks ago
VWAP Control
Completed-week volume-weighted structure
VWAP Control
Read who has control, whether that control is strengthening, and which price levels would change the picture.
Price, VWAP structure and control transfers
Where control changed
156 completed weeks ยท Reported weekly volume
Price and its referencesThe navy line is price. Compare it with the VWAP lines to see whether it is holding above or below areas of volume-weighted trading.
Control over timeGreen, blue and rose backgrounds mark buyer control, contested conditions and seller control. Circles mark completed changes in control.
Strength of controlThe lower panel follows pressure through the same weeks. Higher readings favour buyers; lower readings favour sellers. This is a strength reading, not a probability.
Control backgroundBuyer controlContestedSeller control
Pressure through time ยท green above 60: buyer control ยท blue between 40 and 60: contested ยท rose below 40: seller control.
Current controlSellers firmly in control
Price is below the core VWAP, which is falling. 73% of recent weighted activity has been accepted below it.
Pressure 18/100 and -16.8 points over four weeks.
VWAP stack0 of 7 below price
6 references converge near 13.27: Swing low, Latest earnings VWAP, 13-week VWAP, 52-week VWAP, Year VWAP, High-activity anchor.
Acceptance73% below
Share of recent completed weighted activity accepted on the prevailing side of the core VWAP.
Core direction-0.4% / week
Four-week direction; change in pace -2.4 pts.
Stretch3.4 normal ranges below
Price is -18.0% from the core VWAP.
Persistence8 completed weeks
Price has remained below the core VWAP.
Current VWAP signals
Control, agreement and concentration
01 ยท Control trajectorySeller control, but extended
The VWAP structure is weak, but price is stretched far enough below the core level for snap-back risk to matter.
02 ยท Price and pressurePrice and VWAP pressure broadly agree
No material six-week disagreement is present between price direction and VWAP control.
03 ยท Reference concentrationVWAP cluster present
6 references converge near 13.27: Swing low, Latest earnings VWAP, 13-week VWAP, 52-week VWAP, Year VWAP, High-activity anchor.
Confirmation and failure levels
Levels that change the current reading
Confirmation12.98
A completed close above Swing low with pressure holding above 60 would strengthen buyer control.
Decision area12.98
Swing low at 12.98, 14.7% above the latest close.
Weakening level13.80
A completed loss of the core VWAP with pressure below 40 would strengthen seller control.
Current VWAP stack
Volume-weighted price levels
View exact VWAP reference values
VWAP references relative to the latest close
Reference
Price
From close
Swing low
12.98
+14.67%
Latest earnings VWAP
13.10
+15.71%
13-week VWAP
13.21
+16.66%
52-week VWAP
13.21
+16.70%
Year VWAP
13.55
+19.70%
High-activity anchor
13.56
+19.79%
26-week VWAP
13.80
+21.89%
Estimated activity position
Activity above and below price
Below price 6%Above price 94%
13%near price
A notable share of recent weighted activity remains above price and may act as overhead supply.
Estimated from completed weekly typical prices and reported activity; it is not holder-level cost-basis data.
Benchmark, sector and industry
VWAP control comparison
Sector and industry comparisons require at least ten constituents with aligned completed history.
Benchmark ยท SPYWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -66.9 points.
Buyers firmly in control ยท 85/100
Sector ยท Financial ServicesWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -27.1 points.
Control is contested ยท 46/100
Industry ยท Banks - RegionalWeaker control than reference
Weaker control than reference; control-score gap -38.9 points.
Control is contested ยท 57/100
Historical VWAP outcomes
Reclaims, losses and similar states
Descriptive outcomes from this ticker's visible historyโnot a forecast.
Weekly reclaim56% favourable
Events
9
Median 4w
+1.53%
Median 13w
+1.95%
Typical best
+11.75%
Typical worst
-5.81%
Completed occasions when price moved back above the core VWAP.
Weekly loss0% favourable
Events
8
Median 4w
+6.27%
Median 13w
+14.77%
Typical best
+18.91%
Typical worst
-1.98%
Completed occasions when price moved below the core VWAP.
Comparable control states16 matched weeks
Positive after 4w
75%
Median 4w
+15.94%
Positive after 13w
88%
Median 13w
+17.07%
Best / worst 13w
+31.3% / -9.4%
Outcomes after completed weeks with a similar control score and the same side of the core VWAP.
VWAP control history
Completed changes
VWAP structure turned lower
The fast VWAP crossed below the core VWAP.
Seller pressure established
The completed control reading moved into negative territory.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Core VWAP lost
Price completed the week below the core VWAP.
Core VWAP test held
Price traded through the core VWAP but recovered above it by the completed close.
Core VWAP reclaimed
Price completed the week back above the core VWAP.
Next-State Map
Next-State Map
Historical one-week transition paths from similar completed-week states.
SMI
Proprietary completed-week evidence
SMI
See whether the underlying conditions beneath price are strengthening, weakening or holding firm.
Price and SMI transitions
Where underlying support changed
Annotations identify selected completed SMI state changes.
Weekly CloseTrend LineFair ValueActivity Lines
SMI pathDirection, persistence and turning points
SMI 0.23 ยท Fragile
ImprovingHolding steadyWeakening
Current SMI readUnderlying support remains weak and requires repair
Price weakness is accompanied by a cautious SMI state. The latest reading is based on completed weekly evidence.
0.23 ยท Fragile
Current stateFragile ยท 0.23
Latest completed-week SMI reading
DirectionWeakening
How the completed SMI path is changing
PersistenceNew
3 completed weeks in the current state
Price relationshipConfirming price weakness
Price weakness is accompanied by a cautious SMI state.
SMI in context
Comparable SMI states have produced mixed historical outcomes
Across 34 comparable completed observations, 52.9% closed higher after 13 weeks. The median move was +1.9%.
Comparable observations
34Completed historical readings
Positive outcomes
52.9%After 13 completed weeks
Median move
+1.9%Over the following 13 weeks
Versus normal baseline
+1.3 ptsDifference in positive outcome rate
Chart Summary
Key Points
Week Ending
9 Oct 2026
Latest Close
11.32
12-Week Change
-18.27%
Trend Signal
Inactive
Next-Week Expectancy
Undecided 53.14%
Signal Weeks
4 of 12
Vs Trend Line
Below
Vs Fair Value
Below
Relative Strength
-21.99
Market Dynamics
-1.07
Over the latest 12 completed weeks ending 2026-10-09, FLG fell 18.27%, moving from 13.85 to 11.32. The latest weekly close is below the Trend Line and below Fair Value. Trend Signal is inactive on the latest week and was active in 4 of the last 12 weeks. Relative Strength is -21.99 and has softened across the 12-week window. Market Dynamics is -1.07 on the latest week. Next-week expectancy is undecided at 53.14% based on similar historical setup states.
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